Tyler wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:ocracoke wrote:Tyler wrote:You don't have a mix of rain and snow. Your surface temps don't support it. Your in the mid 40s right now!fact789 wrote:ive got a mix of rain snow it was raining an hour ago will it turn to snow?
It's actually not as hard as you might think to have snow (especially wet, partially melted snowflakes mixed with rain) when surface temps are in the mid 40's. All that is necessary is a deep layer of subfreezing air just above the surface. If the layer of above freezing air near the ground is shallow enough, the snow won't completely melt on the way down. This morning's sounding from KTBW clearly supported such a situation. It was 0 degrees Celsius at just 987 meters above sea level (that's 3,238.2 feet); most certainly conducive for some wet snowflakes to mix in with the rain.
3,238.2 feet is actually quite a long way up for snowflakes to stay intact as they reach the ground...especially if ground temps. are above 40F. Now if it was 500 feet up, then yes it is very possible. The places that saw some light mixture were places that were most likely below 40F at the time. And even then it sounds like a non-event. You must of had to look quite hard to see the flakes. If they did make it, they were probably tiny. In most cities they would probably not even be noticed when mixing with the rain...but since it is the west coast of Florida I understand. May be you guys in Tampa can get a real good snowstorm one day soon. you deserve it.When I lived in Orlando, I remember I would always wish for a snowstorm that never came. I am sure that is how most of you have felt as well.
I agree with Extreme. I highly doubt with mid 40s as surface temps, that FLORIDA saw flurries. Its rare to see snow in the mid 40s, and I'm not about to think it happened in Florida. I think some people who reported flurries this morning were just seeing things, and just got excited... Temperatures DID NOT support flurries in the Tampa area, St. Pete area...
Wow. I don't know who you think you are arguing with. I most certainly know what I'm talking about. It is possible with the right thermal profile. At the time of this morning's sounding from Tampa Bay, the surface temp was 4.8 degrees C, with a wetbulb of 2.3. Now, maybe I wasn't specific enough, but I know that I clearly said the sounding supported some wet snowflakes mixing in; and it did (I had been arguing that would even be possible under the right set of conditions, in the mid 40's, this was cooler than that if you would have looked at the Skew-T yourself). A freezing level just above 3,000 feet with that type of a temperature profile is most definitely not high enough to completely melt snowflakes. I don't care if you two don't agree with solid meteorological principles. Someone has a little more learning to do, especially before having the gall to try to refute something that is sound science.