Weekend winter storm thread

[JenyEliza]

UNLESS...

850 TEMPS ARE GOING TO GET QUITE COLD. WINDS BLOWING OUT OF THE
WEST/NORTHWEST. TENNESSEE RIVER WATER TEMPERATURES ESTIMATED TO BE
IN THE 40S. DARE I SUGGEST.........RIVER EFFECT SNOW??

That is just a sad sad indicator that this met is suffering from SDS.

Cold winter rain it is, my AL/GA friends.

[Extremeweatherguy]

UNLESS...

850 TEMPS ARE GOING TO GET QUITE COLD. WINDS BLOWING OUT OF THE
WEST/NORTHWEST. TENNESSEE RIVER WATER TEMPERATURES ESTIMATED TO BE
IN THE 40S. DARE I SUGGEST.........RIVER EFFECT SNOW??

That is just a sad sad indicator that this met is suffering from SDS.

Cold winter rain it is, my AL/GA friends.

River effect snow??? haha. Talk about -removed-...

[Brent]

UNLESS...

850 TEMPS ARE GOING TO GET QUITE COLD. WINDS BLOWING OUT OF THE
WEST/NORTHWEST. TENNESSEE RIVER WATER TEMPERATURES ESTIMATED TO BE
IN THE 40S. DARE I SUGGEST.........RIVER EFFECT SNOW??

That is just a sad sad indicator that this met is suffering from SDS.

Cold winter rain it is, my AL/GA friends.

River effect snow??? haha. Talk about -removed-...

I've heard of it before. Last January, a band from LAKE MICHIGAN made it down to North Alabama and dropped about an inch...

[JuliannaMKH]

I'm crossing my fingers and hoping I wake up to a white Saturday morning here.

[WaitingForSiren]

Never heard of it. Sounds like jibberish to me.

[Lowpressure]

Winter storm watches up for the mountains and foothills of North Carolina. Looking at 3-5 inches per NWS.

[beachbum_al]

My students think it is going to snow 3" here in South Alabama. Bless their hearts. They are so excited that they might actually get to see snow and I don't think it is going to happen.

[Nimbus]

Judging from the morning satellite loop the system is starting to deepen near the Texas/Louisiana border. Going to be some cold air pulled down behind the system for sure. This does kind of look like the same pattern as the New England '93 blizzard at least in the early stages.

[Brent]

I haven't given up yet... I think I'm going to see some falling at some point tomorrow.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
140 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-111225-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
140 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER WEST ALABAMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND OVER
ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES.
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM...THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW ACROSS
MARION COUNTY. BETWEEN 3 AM AND 6 AM...THE SNOW LINE WILL DROP
SOUTH TO NEAR INTERSTATE 59. THIS WILL BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
STORM SYSTEM...AND ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE
INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ON SATURDAY...COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INVADE THE FORECAST
AREA...AND SOME ICE IS POSSIBLE ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES SATURDAY
MORNING NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 59.

WITH LINGERING SHALLOW MOISTURE...SNOW FLURRIES AND OCCASIONAL SNOW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. THESE SNOW SHOWERS COULD SPREAD
INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BUT
AGAIN ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH.

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ON SATURDAY WILL MAKE IT FEEL
EVEN COLDER. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED.

ADDITIONALLY...THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS YEAR ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER AREAS
MAY DIP INTO THE UPPER TEENS DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SEE SPSBMX
(SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT) FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
WILL NOT BE NECESSARY.

[Brent]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
228 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

...A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA
TONIGHT...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
EASTWARD...MOVING ACROSS GEORGIA TONIGHT AND OUT OF THE STATE BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

GAZ001>009-011>016-110330-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.060211T0500Z-060211T1400Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND
228 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY.

PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING OVER NORTHWEST GEORGIA...
THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE OVERNIGHT. IN AREAS NORTH
OF A LINE FROM SUMMERVILLE...TO DAWSONVILLE...TO CLEVELAND...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN AND BECOME A MIX OF RAIN MIXED
WITH SNOW AND SLEET OVERNIGHT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE FREEZING...THUS LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...SOME BRIEF ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
TOWARD MORNING OVER ELEVATED SURFACES...WHICH COULD CREATE SOME
SLICK SPOTS ACROSS AREA BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...ESPECIALLY IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF RAIN...SNOW...OR SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

[GeneratorPower]

I'm with you in hoping for some snow. I think I'm about at the point where the forecast is finished and we have to wait to see what verifies.

[drezee]

It is time out for forecasting. FACT: It is snowing at the 0C 850mb line right now in Extreme NW MS. I have ground confirmation of it!! Heavy precip rates have done the job!!! Let it ride to N AL!!! It is also snowing like crazy in West Memphis!! It is colder than the models are giving it credit for. More updates to follow!

West Memphis: 10 13:53 N 6 0.50 Snow Fog OVC003 33 31 30.08 1018.9 0.05

Memphis Airport: 1514 34 34 86 NNW/3 30.08 1/2 SNOW

Tunica, MS 1520 34 23 93 N/13 30.07 1 1/4 SNOW

[Brent]

I'm with you in hoping for some snow. I think I'm about at the point where the forecast is finished and we have to wait to see what verifies.

Your under a Winter Storm Watch... I would expect a couple of inches there at least.

[JenyEliza]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
228 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

...A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA
TONIGHT...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
EASTWARD...MOVING ACROSS GEORGIA TONIGHT AND OUT OF THE STATE BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

GAZ001>009-011>016-110330-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.060211T0500Z-060211T1400Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND
228 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY.

PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING OVER NORTHWEST GEORGIA...
THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE OVERNIGHT. IN AREAS NORTH
OF A LINE FROM SUMMERVILLE...TO DAWSONVILLE...TO CLEVELAND...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN AND BECOME A MIX OF RAIN MIXED
WITH SNOW AND SLEET OVERNIGHT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE FREEZING...THUS LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...SOME BRIEF ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
TOWARD MORNING OVER ELEVATED SURFACES...WHICH COULD CREATE SOME
SLICK SPOTS ACROSS AREA BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...ESPECIALLY IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF RAIN...SNOW...OR SLEET
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

That is for far north GA. Doesn't include the Atlanta area.

[Brent]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
301 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT - MONDAY NIGHT)

CURRENTLY ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 50S WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. MEASURABLE RAINFALL HAS
NOW MADE IT THROUGH EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND STRETCHES BACK INTO
EASTERN TEXAS. THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION IN WESTERN ALABAMA IS
BEGINNING NOW AS MOISTURE OVERCOMES THE DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE
AREA. FARTHER UPSTREAM...THE SNOW LINE HAS NOW REACHED SOUTH
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND WESTERN TENNESSEE WITH THE RAIN/SNOW CHANGE
OVER OCCURRING AT THE 1305 1000-850 THICKNESS AND 543 1000-500
THICKNESS. WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO USE THOSE VALUES FOR OUR COUNTIES.

SO FIRST THING FIRST, ITS ALL RAIN THROUGH THE MIDNIGHT HOUR AS WARM
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT TAKE CONTROL OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA.
PLAN TO USE THE GFS AS THE STARTING POINT FOR THE FORECAST. AREAS
WEST OF I-65 AND SOUTH OF I-20/59 COULD SEE CLOSE TO AN INCH OF
RAINFALL BETWEEN 4 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AND WILL MENTION HEAVY RAINFALL
IN THE ZONES FOR THE SOUTH. AFTER MIDNIGHT THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL
WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARDS MGM, AUO AND TOI. NORTH OF I-20...STORM
TOTALS WILL AVERAGE AROUND ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS INCH WITH MOST
OF THAT FALLING IN LIQUID FORM. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE 100 PERCENT
POPS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

SO THAT BRINGS US TO WINTER PRECIPITATION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE
SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX (543 AND 1305 THICKNESS)
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AND THEN SWITCHING TO A MOSTLY SNOW
EVENT FOR OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES (LAMAR TO CHEROKEE) AROUND 3
AM...WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE DOWN TO AN ALICEVILLE TO ROANOKE
LINE. IT LOOKS LIKE PRECIPITATION WILL REALLY START TAPERING OFF
RIGHT ABOUT THIS TIME...WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S. SO ACCUMULATIONS, IF ANY, SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN AN
INCH. A SNOW ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THOSE NORTHERN TIER
COUNTIES. WATCH FOR SLICK SPOTS ON BRIDGES AND OVER
PASSES...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-59.

FOR SATURDAY, WITH LARGE UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY,
SENDING BITS OF ROTATING ENERGY THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST...FLURRIES OR
SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF. IT WILL BE POSSIBLE TO SEE A DUSTING OF SNOW IF YOU
ARE CAUGHT UNDER ONE OF THE SNOW SHOWERS. STRONG COLD ADVECTION AND
OVERCAST SKIES WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES THE 30S TO LOW 40S. CONTINUED
COLD ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND WILL STAY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE.

[Brent]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
313 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT...

.A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS NORTH ALABAMA
TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA. JUST BEFORE
THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO TAPER OFF LATE TONIGHT...THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES OF ALABAMA. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONE INCH
OR LESS IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

ALZ011>015-017-018-020-110515-
/O.NEW.KBMX.SN.Y.0001.060211T0900Z-060211T1400Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CHEROKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...CENTRE
313 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST SATURDAY.

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN MARION COUNTY AROUND 3 AM
SATURDAY...AND SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST TO LAMAR...FAYETTE...WINSTON...AND
WALKER COUNTIES BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH QUICKLY OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA SATURDAY MORNING...AND
SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONE INCH OR LESS.

RAIN WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW ACROSS BLOUNT...ETOWAH...AND
CHEROKEE COUNTIES BETWEEN 5 AND 7 AM SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY OVER
NORTHEAST ALABAMA SATURDAY MORNING...AND SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE ONE INCH OR LESS.

OCCASIONAL SNOW FLURRIES AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
DAY ON SATURDAY...WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

[Brent]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
339 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA TONIGHT. THIS
WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO
MIX WITH SNOW OVER NORTHWEST ALABAMA AROUND 10 PM AND ACROSS THE
REST OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RAIN WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY 3 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY
MID MORNING ON SATURDAY...HOWEVER LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LITTLE OR NO
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

ALZ002>004-007-008-010-016-111215-
/O.NEW.KHUN.SN.Y.0003.060211T0600Z-060211T1600Z/
COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-MORGAN-MARSHALL-DE KALB-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSCLE SHOALS...RUSSELLVILLE...
MOULTON...DECATUR...GUNTERSVILLE...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN
339 PM CST FRI FEB 10 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST
SATURDAY.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TURN TO SNOW BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA. TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1/2 TO 1
INCH BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

[JuliannaMKH]

So it's going to be chaos in north Alabama, eh? Y'all stay safe up there and everywhere this storm is hitting.

And send a few flurries down to central AL, please!

[terstorm1012]

they seem to be backing down on the class 3 kill storm* here in harrisburg...no more then 4" most of the stations are saying.


*obscure simpsons reference

[LTHLBLU]

they seem to be backing down on the class 3 kill storm* here in harrisburg...no more then 4" most of the stations are saying.


*obscure simpsons reference

hahaha..as soon as i read that I laughed. Simpsons > *