Southeast Florida: Reasons For A Major Hit Soon

[MiamiensisWx]

Most of those did not even hit Miami... they went north or south of the city

The 1947 hurricane was a Broward event

Inez was in the Keys

1903 looks to be PB

Now... look at th tracks from 1960 on

Cleo... SSE

Betsy: Keys and an exception

Inez: The same

David: SSE

Dennis (1981) south

Floyd (1987) SW

Fabian (1991) SW

Gordon: SSE

Irene: SSW

Michelle: SSW

Charley: South (did bring very high winds to miami briefly)

Dennis: south (similar impacts as Charley)

Katrina: East

Wilma: SW

I know I am missing quite a few TS's into Miami as well

Calling the September 1947 storm "a Broward event" is premature, Ortt, considering the eye actually made landfall in southeastern Palm Beach County where Boca Raton is right now. Also, the storm was huge in size, so Broward County would be far from the only area affected.

[Derek Ortt]

I meant it was not a Miami storm (I was looking at Dade and dade alone)

[MiamiensisWx]

I meant it was not a Miami storm (I was looking at Dade and dade alone)

Then you must have misread what I said. I was not referring solely to Miami.

[terstorm1012]

List is missing Donna, which did a fair amount of damage in South Dade, although at that time South Dade was mostly farmland, orchards, marsh, and Everglades..

[Derek Ortt]

Donna was more SSE though (it turned just before landfall)... yes, I did forget about it

[MiamiensisWx]

You also forgot Andrew, Ortt.

[MiamiensisWx]

By the way, I still think a major hit in southeast Florida may be possible this year because the La Nina may moderate slightly by summer. It is usually rare for a La Nina to remain as strong as it is now for such an extended period of time. Sorry if I'm wrong, but this is just my opinion and thoughts.

[Scorpion]

Doubt it. It is actually extremely rare for a major hurricane to come in from the east into Southeast Florida. The frequency of these events are few, and far in between.

[Windtalker1]

Doubt it. It is actually extremely rare for a major hurricane to come in from the east into Southeast Florida. The frequency of these events are few, and far in between.

I think 15 years qualifies for "far and in between"

[MiamiensisWx]

It has already been fourteen years since Andrew hit. Also, Andrew has been the only major storm to hit southeast Florida as a major hurricane for over twenty years. When you think about it, the day is coming, especially since we have entered this active cycle. Who agrees?

[MiamiensisWx]

The poll is pretty tight right now...

[CHRISTY]

i think this maybe the year that miami's luck runs out!its been pretty bad around here with wilma and katrina but as far as a major hurricane is concern i think our chances are pretty good this year... (bermuda high were will you beeee!)

[MiamiensisWx]

I think that a Palm Beach County or Broward County hit, as well as a hit south of Miami, are the most likely hit locations for a major hurricane this year in southeast Florida.

[CHRISTY]

yep! but iam ready already ive actually done everything early this year with the expectations of another really active season...so i guess its all a matter of just waiting for when the ATTACK BEGINS!

[MiamiensisWx]

It is interesting to point out that more people are saying in this poll that a major hurricane won't hit southeast Florida. Many times, people said that seasons like 2004 and 2005 would not happen. Look what actually happened. Many said storms like Katrina, Rita, and Wilma - as well as incredible 2005 records and many other things - would not happen. Look what happen. Things like this have happened even before 2004. This is why I voted yes in this poll, along with the evidence pointing toward a major southeast Florida hit. I really have a strong feeling it could happen within the next few years, and very possibly this year.

[Rainband]

After last year year anything is possible. Be careful what you wish for. It is impossible to know what next year will bring. BTW being past due has nothing to do what regions get hit.

[CHRISTY]

whatcha think about my new avatar?guess who it is?

[Extremeweatherguy]

whatcha think about my new avatar?guess who it is?

Andrew.

[MiamiensisWx]

After last year year anything is possible. Be careful what you wish for. It is impossible to know what next year will bring. BTW being past due has nothing to do what regions get hit.

Good points; however, I was only expressing my opinion. Also, I am not wishing for it to happen.

[ROCK]

whatcha think about my new avatar?guess who it is?

Zeta