What Area is at most risk this season?OPINONS WELCOME...

[CHRISTY]

i was wondering what area do you guys think is at most risk in the upcoming 2006 huricane season??OPINOINS WELCOME...if i had to guess it will all depend were the bermuda ends up parking itself,and of course many other factors also have to come into play..

[Extremeweatherguy]

I would say the east coast from Miami to NC and the western gulf from Mexico to Beaumont...and as always the caribbean will be vulnerable as well.

[Audrey2Katrina]

If by "at risk" you mean "likely to be hit", I agree with Extreme. I've said for some time now that I feel this year will be the year of more E. Coastal storm strikes. God Bless em! If you mean "most vulnerable", there's no question that the area LEAST in need of another storm right now would be pretty much any area in the North Central Gulf of Mexico coastline: although it's unlikely we'll escape completely unscathed, we can certainly do without another storm for quite a while.

A2K

[Opal storm]

The East coast might see some hits but I think most of the action will be in Florida and the Gulf coast again.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I tend to also agree. Florida to NC is most likely to get hit with the possible set up the seasonal forecasts are hinting at (the long long range trends if you would). In addition North of NC through New England is prone to be effected, though less certainly than more Southern Coastal areas as always, and Nova Scotia is more likely to get side swiped, or directly hit, by recurving storms too. Of course this is merely my educated guess, and the pattern could end up being quite different than that being possibly indicated at this very early stage.

[vbhoutex]

Weel, with La Nina set up we can expect antoher active season. Areas more likely to be hit will mostly depend on the actual set up as the storm develops and begins tracking towards???? I do expect some Cape Verde activity this year, which we had little of last year. That would tend to open up the East coast to more probabilities imo. NC would be the most obvious for the simple reason it juts out. However I would expect the whole East coast to be under the gun somewhat with the "barrel" pointed morfe at the SE up to NC. Unfortunately, due to geography and the simple "nature of the beast" Florida would seem to be as vulnerable as ever this year. The Carribean Islands would be even more at risk than normal if the Cape Verde season does develop. The GOM is a tough call. However, there, imo, does seem to be a trend Westward with each of the last few seasons as far as landfalls are concerned, so I would have to go with a"more vulnerable" Western GOM meaning from Central LA Westward. Personally, I hope I am wrong on all counts!!!!

[JonathanBelles]

I would say the east coast from Miami to NC and the western gulf from Mexico to Beaumont...and as always the caribbean will be vulnerable as well.

i will have to agree

[Lindaloo]

I am praying that no one gets hit by a hurricane in 2006. I know that is highly unlikely but I can still pray for it just the same.

[ROCK]

I would say the east coast from Miami to NC and the western gulf from Mexico to Beaumont...and as always the caribbean will be vulnerable as well.

agreed....04 and 05 strikes have been trending ever so westward. I think the NGOM coast will get a break though I wouldnt rule out a West coast FL event.

[whereverwx]

[JonathanBelles]

why isnt the whole map in red?

[windycity]

How about Nebr ?

[MiamiensisWx]

Huh? Do you mean Nebraska, windycity?

[windycity]

Ya, and of course im kidding!!!!!

[windycity]

I have family in Nebr, and they are clueless about what we go through after a hurricane.And i mean clueless.

[Jim Cantore]

as of now with the La nina I say the carolinas

depends on the Bermuda high

[conestogo_flood]

[MiamiensisWx]

This map shows several of the areas I think will be most at risk.

[windycity]

i hear ya. if the bermuda high sits south, like 04 ,then florida is well.....we know the rest, dont we ?

[Extremeweatherguy]

i hear ya. if the bermuda high sits south, like 04 ,then florida is well.....we know the rest, dont we ?

yeah...could be bad news. The thing that is bad for me is that I will be going back and forth between east FL and Houston for most of the summer...the two places that may be most vulnerable this season. And with my luck...I will prob. be hit with multiple storms in both places. Great...

lol.