Upcoming cold for the South (Models, Maps, Discussions)

Winter Weather Discussion

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jkt21787
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#701 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Feb 04, 2006 7:06 pm

Something like Feb 96 would be nice, and although not likely at all, there is a slight chance of it. Lowest here in Memphis during that outbreak was 4 degrees, several areas around here got below zero.
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#702 Postby JenyEliza » Sat Feb 04, 2006 7:09 pm

Brent wrote:I love this map... if only it would verify.

Image

I do believe next weekend will be VERY cold here though.


We can dream, can't we? :D

That map looks lovely! Sure hope it verifies. :cool:
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#703 Postby Tyler » Sat Feb 04, 2006 7:13 pm

IMO, that map is very possible considerent such a violent pattern change is going to be taking place. Tanking -AO, +PNA ridge shooting up into NW Canada and Alaska, this is the biggest pattern change I've seen in years. Going from the warmest Jan on record to this is just crazy, and you don't see that very often.
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#704 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 7:53 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Something like Feb 96 would be nice, and although not likely at all, there is a slight chance of it. Lowest here in Memphis during that outbreak was 4 degrees, several areas around here got below zero.
I wouldn't say not likely at all. At this point it seems very possible.
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#705 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:06 pm

Channel 12 in Houston tonight mentioned that it will get colder next weekend and their forecast called for a high of 50 and low of 33 (downtown) on Saturday, but the met mentioned that it "may even be colder than that". Looks like the media is starting to catch on as well.
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#706 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:11 pm

The European (though not showing it AS cold as the GFS) is also onboard for a cold upcoming weekend. Here is the latest look:

Image
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#707 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:13 pm

That is still cold. Real cold.
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#708 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:16 pm

Lowpressure wrote:That is still cold. Real cold.
Yes, and especially for you guys in Charlotte.
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#709 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:20 pm

Local mets not really looking past the Monday event other than to mention several sw passing the south side of the trough and possibly bringing some snow our way on several occasions. Temps on the NWS site really do not reflect the cold models are forecasting as of yet. Saturday showing high of 47 degrees.
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#710 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:27 pm

I almost can't look anymore, the mere mention of teens for Houston almost makes me sick. My backyard would be totaled. A lot of garden shops around town are about to file some major insurance claims too.

I still don't understand how some people hope these models runs verify - for what? To see some number verify on your computer screen in the comfort of your cozy home while some people outside practically (or literally) freeze to death - that's just twisted IMHO. Oh well, hope you guys enjoy it.
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#711 Postby Tyler » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:35 pm

schiltz, I'm not hoping for teens. I hoping for the snow shown for next weekend. I would hope you'd agree that some snow would be very nice. I could live w/o the teens... But, this arctic outbreak next weekend has a push, so we can't rule that out.
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#712 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:39 pm

jschlitz wrote:I almost can't look anymore, the mere mention of teens for Houston almost makes me sick. My backyard would be totaled. A lot of garden shops around town are about to file some major insurance claims too.

I still don't understand how some people hope these models runs verify - for what? To see some number verify on your computer screen in the comfort of your cozy home while some people outside practically (or literally) freeze to death - that's just twisted IMHO. Oh well, hope you guys enjoy it.
I don't HOPE that teens verify...what I do HOPE verifies is some snow! For all I care it could be 32.4 degrees at the coldest...but as long as we get some snow I will be fine. I can't control the weather though...so if the teens do come to town, it is beyond our control. It is not like we are purposely going to pull out the ole' weather machine and make it 11 degrees so that plants and people die. Whatever happens, happens. It is all up to mother nature.
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#713 Postby Tyler » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:46 pm

And anyway, is wishing for some cold weather really all that bad? I understand it could be harmful to those who have no shelter from the cold, but, should I feel guilty for their misfortunes? I give to charity, I help those who need help, but I don't think its "twisted" if someone really did want the teens, IMHO.
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#714 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:50 pm

Tyler wrote:And anyway, is wishing for some cold weather really all that bad? I understand it could be harmful to those who have no shelter from the cold, but, should I feel guilty for their misfortunes? I give to charity, I help those who need help, but I don't think its "twisted" if someone really did want the teens, IMHO.
yeah good points you make. In reality though, I think that I would be a little too cold with teens. I would have to probably wear REAL winter clothing and being outside during the morning or at night would not feel very good at all. Also, all the palm trees in my backyard would be severly damaged or killed. BUT if they did happen, I would realize that I have no control over them and would just let what is, be. Snow would make up for any severe freeze we would have also. AND snow can actually help protect plants from extreme freezes.
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#715 Postby Tyler » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:53 pm

Good points EWG.

Well, I'm going out to eat tonight. Hopefully, when I get back, the 0z GFS brings us all some snow!! :D
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#716 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:27 pm

Sorry guys if I went a little too far, and you're right it is mother nature who is in control. I just saw the maps and lost my head I suppose, and for that I apologize. I think it would be a nice treat to see snow, as long as we stay at 28 or above then I'm on board :D
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#717 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:30 pm

One little caveat though - if someone in Central/South florida or the Rio Grande Valley did wish for teens I do have to say that would be a little twisted - that would be devastating to the economy of those regions.
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#718 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:32 pm

jschlitz wrote:Sorry guys if I went a little too far, and you're right it is mother nature who is in control. I just saw the maps and lost my head I suppose, and for that I apologize. I think it would be a nice treat to see snow, as long as we stay at 28 or above then I'm on board :D
I think the perfect scenario would be a high of 33 and a low of 30 with a good 3" of snow that lasted two days (Sat. and Sun.), but was gone by Monday.
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#719 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:43 pm

You guys are funny! :lol:

If someone's taking orders, I'd like my snow on Monday or Tuesday or maybe Monday AND Tuesday ... don't ruin the weekend.

I'm with y'all about teens and stuff. That's crazy cold for the South and I had enough of that growing up in Ohio. I'm ordering 28-30 degrees and precip. And yes, I want fries with that! :lol:
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#720 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 10:04 pm

I'm with you Portastorm on the days - at least then we can have a "snow day" hehe. Besides, I'll be in NYC next weekend too.
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