A Winter Day in South Texas.

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CajunMama
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#21 Postby CajunMama » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:48 pm

Front just came through here at little while ago...at 3pm is was saying to a coworker "I thought we had a front coming through". We both looked up at the blue sky and laughed. The wind is blowing now about 26mph with gusts in the 30's. We've gone from 75° at 3 down to just 63°.
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#22 Postby Johnny » Fri Feb 03, 2006 7:02 pm

It might of taken us by surprised because we have been concentrating on next week and the week after, ya think? :tease:

I was surprised just like everyone else, that's for sure. I guess this is a hint of things to come.
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#23 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Feb 03, 2006 7:05 pm

Here are a few of the top wind gusts seen in SE Texas today...not quite as extreme as the winds a few weeks ago, but windy none the less.

Houston (IAH) = 38mph
Houston (Hobby) = 39mph
Galveston = 44mph
Beaumont = 36mph
Conroe = 31mph
Victoria = 37mph

**More breezy weather is expected with our next front in the Sun - Mon time frame. This (Sun/Mon front) will also be the true start to our pattern change and will mean the end of the 70s for weeks**
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#24 Postby jasons2k » Fri Feb 03, 2006 11:46 pm

Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.
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#25 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Feb 03, 2006 11:52 pm

during early December we went for a 7 day period without hitting 70 and then 2 days later an 8 day period. I think that this pattern change will be as cold or colder than that. Sure we may hit 70-71 one or two days during the overall cooler weather, but it will probably reverse back to below 70 within a day or two.
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#26 Postby jasons2k » Fri Feb 03, 2006 11:59 pm

Well, that's not the same as going for weeks without 70's is it?
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#27 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 12:46 am

jschlitz wrote:Well, that's not the same as going for weeks without 70's is it?
well if you took out those two days of 70s in December that ruined the stretch then it would have been 17 straight days. If this cooler pattern is colder than the one in December, then it is possible that a 14+ day stretch of below 70 could occur.
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#28 Postby Tyler » Sat Feb 04, 2006 12:53 am

jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.
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#29 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 8:57 am

Tyler wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.


we'll see.....the proof will be in the numbers
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#30 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:36 am

jschlitz wrote:
Tyler wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.


we'll see.....the proof will be in the numbers


Even if the 7-14 day period of below 70 does not start this weekend it definitely will next weekend when the arctic air comes down.
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#31 Postby jasons2k » Sat Feb 04, 2006 9:47 am

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
jschlitz wrote:
Tyler wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.


we'll see.....the proof will be in the numbers


Even if the 7-14 day period of below 70 does not start this weekend it definitely will next weekend when the arctic air comes down.


Dude - is it 7 or 14? A week or weeks? I'm not trying to be difficult...but you originally said weeks of no 70's. Now you're saying 7-14 days. So which is it? I don't think a week or so without 70's is at all out of the question. I don't think it will last for 14 days though.

Besides, when you're talking about a stretch that won't even start for another week - nothing is definite.
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#32 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 10:39 am

jschlitz wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
jschlitz wrote:
Tyler wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.


we'll see.....the proof will be in the numbers


Even if the 7-14 day period of below 70 does not start this weekend it definitely will next weekend when the arctic air comes down.


Dude - is it 7 or 14? A week or weeks? I'm not trying to be difficult...but you originally said weeks of no 70's. Now you're saying 7-14 days. So which is it? I don't think a week or so without 70's is at all out of the question. I don't think it will last for 14 days though.

Besides, when you're talking about a stretch that won't even start for another week - nothing is definite.


It may start as early as this upcoming Monday...but there is a chance for a 70 degree reading on Thurs/Fri of next week...and if that happens, then it will begin next Sat. Either way I see at least a 7-14 day stretch of below 70 during this month. If it doesn't happen, then hey your right, but I have a feeling that it will...and looking at the ensembles and models...they just reinforce my prediction.
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#33 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Feb 04, 2006 4:13 pm

The Shreveport, LA and Dallas, TX AFD's mention that this arctic blast next weekend will be as cold or colder than what we got in early December! If that is true then Houston may be in for another sub-40 degree day (for a high) within a week.
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#34 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 05, 2006 7:21 pm

jschlitz wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:
jschlitz wrote:
Tyler wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Even with the pattern change I doubt we will go for weeks without seeing 70's.


Wanna make a bet? Because we will... Again, don't mess with 1050MB highs.


we'll see.....the proof will be in the numbers


Even if the 7-14 day period of below 70 does not start this weekend it definitely will next weekend when the arctic air comes down.


Dude - is it 7 or 14? A week or weeks? I'm not trying to be difficult...but you originally said weeks of no 70's. Now you're saying 7-14 days. So which is it? I don't think a week or so without 70's is at all out of the question. I don't think it will last for 14 days though.

Besides, when you're talking about a stretch that won't even start for another week - nothing is definite.


latest NWS forecast is calling for no 70s during the next 7 days...Monday - Sunday. And beyond those days it looks to stay cold for the following week. It may just be able to happen...
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#35 Postby gboudx » Sun Feb 05, 2006 8:12 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:The Shreveport, LA and Dallas, TX AFD's mention that this arctic blast next weekend will be as cold or colder than what we got in early December! If that is true then Houston may be in for another sub-40 degree day (for a high) within a week.


When did Dallas say it would be as cold as December? I know they said it would be the coldest airmass since December, but not as cold as December. That's 2 different things.
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#36 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Feb 05, 2006 8:17 pm

gboudx wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:The Shreveport, LA and Dallas, TX AFD's mention that this arctic blast next weekend will be as cold or colder than what we got in early December! If that is true then Houston may be in for another sub-40 degree day (for a high) within a week.


When did Dallas say it would be as cold as December? I know they said it would be the coldest airmass since December, but not as cold as December. That's 2 different things.
yeah i realized they said since later that day...but shreveport did say the coldest so far of the winter. This was yesterday though, so the scenario continues to change.
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#37 Postby gboudx » Sun Feb 05, 2006 8:23 pm

No doubt it looks colder. But I don't want to see those December temps again. 10 degrees at my house is just too cold. Unless there's snow, then it's okay. Otherwise, it's just a drain on the utility bills.
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