Thoughts on the system monday/tuesday

[dashwildwood]

I was wondering if anyone had any thoughts about the system headed across the SE Monday and Tuesday. I see the big disagreement between the NAM and GFS on its track. I as just wondering if anybody had a better idea or handle on it. Basically I just want it to snow here in Raleigh

[Skywatch_NC]

According to the NWS as of right now for Raleigh:

Monday Night:

A chance of snow or rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

[JenyEliza]

Here's what they're saying for the Atlanta area:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/html/afd.php?pil=FFCAFDFFC

Sunday Night: A chance of rain and snow after 1am. Increasing clouds, with a low near 30. West wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: A chance of rain and snow before 1pm, then a slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. North wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

AFTER TONIGHT...SHOULD BE CLEAR ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUED GUSTY BUT WEAKER THAN TODAY. NEXT CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM TO TAKE A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THAN PREVIOUS CLIPPERS THIS WINTER. THIS PUTS US IN A MORE FAVORABLE TRACK FOR MEASURABLE PRECIP. PRECIP TYPE WILL BE VERY TRICKY AS BUFR SOUNDINGS FROM GFS AND NAM INDICATE VERY GOOD CHC OF SNOW OVER NORTH GA AND RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL GA. 1000-850MB AND 850-700MB THICKNESSES ON THE LINE FOR SNOW HOWEVER MODEL SFC TEMPS AND MAV/MET GUIDANCE INDICATE IT MAY BE A LITTLE TOO WARM AT THE SFC FOR MUCH SNOW.

FOR LATE SUN NIGHT...HAVE CHC R/S MIX OVER N GA AND ALL SNOW OVER FAR NE GA. BY MON...TEMPS MAY RISE SOME AND LIFT AND PRECIP SLIDES SOUTHEAST. GUIDANCE TEMPS ON MONDAY MAY BE WAY TOO WARM IF CLOUDS AND PRECIP HOLD FIRM DURING THE DAY. PRECIP AMOUNTS APPEAR TO RANGE FROM 0.10 TO 0.25 LIQUID EQUIV SO WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS CLOSELY.

[brandybugg4180]

They are still guessing on this one which is nothing new where im from SC. They put out the winter storm watches and things when they hit lol

[Weatherfreak14]

What is it showning for Southern South Carolinia... Loccal mets say flurries possible in chrleston and savannah areas.