Will New Orleans be hit by another major hurricane?

[Pearl River]

Zoeyann wrote

Why do the areas west of this storm seem to flood when that did not happen for Katrina? What is the diiference between these storms that would make that happen?

Thats a good question. The answer is "Pam" is coming in at the Betsy angle and not due north like Katrina and slower.

[gatorcane]

nope has never happened....

[Audrey2Katrina]

nope has never happened....

Uh, care to explain that one? Ya lost me!

A2K

[Audrey2Katrina]

Nevermind... this has GOT to be another one of those who believe New Orleans has "never" experienced a Cat 3 hurricane... go figure.

A2K

[Jake8898]

This link is to hypothetical Hurricane Pam. It is a worst case scenario for New Orleans. Unfortunately is does load slow.

http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pam.htm

Any idea why the graphic shows the water rise not crossing the I-12 on the Northshore? Is it because they just didn't bother to calculate for that area or is that a true limit to the flooding?

[Audrey2Katrina]

Perhaps it's because it's a worse case scenario for the city of New Orleans and focuses primarily on that. That's just a guess, but from what I see of the graphic, the Northshore gets pounded pretty hard as it moves inland, and those red tides seem pretty scary up there.

A2K

[canetracker]

This link is to hypothetical Hurricane Pam. It is a worst case scenario for New Orleans. Unfortunately is does load slow.

http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pam.htm

Any idea why the graphic shows the water rise not crossing the I-12 on the Northshore? Is it because they just didn't bother to calculate for that area or is that a true limit to the flooding?

Because past the I-12 on the Northshore is considered a safe zone for flooding. When we are told to evacuate, this is a safe boundary of evacuation for flooding reasons.

[Jake8898]

This link is to hypothetical Hurricane Pam. It is a worst case scenario for New Orleans. Unfortunately is does load slow.

http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pam.htm

Any idea why the graphic shows the water rise not crossing the I-12 on the Northshore? Is it because they just didn't bother to calculate for that area or is that a true limit to the flooding?

Because past the I-12 on the Northshore is considered a safe zone for flooding. When we are told to evacuate, this is a safe boundary of evacuation for flooding reasons.

I know that they always claim that it's safe from flooding but the graphic shows 4-5 meters of water stopping at the I-12. I'd suspect that the I-12 is not that elevated and that the water would wash across it as well. I hope I'm wrong, am I?

[bob rulz]

I'm a naturally optimisitc person, so I don't think anything more than a brush from a weak hurricane or tropical storm will occur.

[Pearl River]

jake8898 wrote

canetracker wrote:
Jake8898 wrote:
Pearl River wrote:
This link is to hypothetical Hurricane Pam. It is a worst case scenario for New Orleans. Unfortunately is does load slow.

http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pam.htm


Any idea why the graphic shows the water rise not crossing the I-12 on the Northshore? Is it because they just didn't bother to calculate for that area or is that a true limit to the flooding?


Because past the I-12 on the Northshore is considered a safe zone for flooding. When we are told to evacuate, this is a safe boundary of evacuation for flooding reasons.


I know that they always claim that it's safe from flooding but the graphic shows 4-5 meters of water stopping at the I-12. I'd suspect that the I-12 is not that elevated and that the water would wash across it as well. I hope I'm wrong, am I?

If it did cross I-12 it wouldn't go very far north of it.

[Jake8898]

jake8898 wrote

canetracker wrote:
Jake8898 wrote:
Pearl River wrote:
This link is to hypothetical Hurricane Pam. It is a worst case scenario for New Orleans. Unfortunately is does load slow.

http://www.nd.edu/~adcirc/pam.htm


Any idea why the graphic shows the water rise not crossing the I-12 on the Northshore? Is it because they just didn't bother to calculate for that area or is that a true limit to the flooding?


Because past the I-12 on the Northshore is considered a safe zone for flooding. When we are told to evacuate, this is a safe boundary of evacuation for flooding reasons.


I know that they always claim that it's safe from flooding but the graphic shows 4-5 meters of water stopping at the I-12. I'd suspect that the I-12 is not that elevated and that the water would wash across it as well. I hope I'm wrong, am I?

If it did cross I-12 it wouldn't go very far north of it.

Thanks. Problem is is that I'm only about 400 yards north of it.

[Pearl River]

jake8898 wrote

Thanks. Problem is is that I'm only about 400 yards north of it

Just pray it never happens. Hopefully they are wrong.