SW Pacific: TD 9

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P.K.
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SW Pacific: TD 9

#1 Postby P.K. » Mon Jan 30, 2006 4:34 am

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
issued from RSMC NADI Jan 30/0844 UTC 2006 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F [994 HPA] CENTRE LOCATED NEAR 25.5S 171.5E AT
300600 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT/IR IMAGE WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHEREAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
SST AROUND 27C. CONVECTION REMAINS DETACHED FROM CENTRE AND IS ACTIVE
IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SOUTH OF AN UPPER [250
HPA] OUTFLOW AND IS BEING STEERED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING
ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR. MOST GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE 09F
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WITHOUT FURTHER DEVELPOMENT.
POTENTIAL FOR 09F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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#2 Postby Coredesat » Mon Jan 30, 2006 6:09 am

There's nothing on NRL, and it's hard to see anything at that position:
Image
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#3 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jan 30, 2006 6:21 am

You can't see anything? There is ample cloudiness in that location.

Image
Image
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Coredesat

#4 Postby Coredesat » Mon Jan 30, 2006 10:13 am

Well, that I can see, I just couldn't make out a circulation there.
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#5 Postby P.K. » Mon Jan 30, 2006 10:29 am

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
issued from RSMC NADI Jan 30/1130 UTC 2006 UTC.

***CORRECTION TO POSITION***

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F [994 HPA] CENTRE LOCATED NEAR 21S 168.5E AT
300900 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT/IR IMAGE WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
SST AROUND 27C. CONVECTION REMAINS DETACHED FROM CENTRE AND IS ACTIVE
IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS SOUTH OF AN UPPER [250
HPA] OUTFLOW AND IS BEING STEERED INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING
ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR. MOST GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE 09F
SOUTHEAST WITHOUT FURTHER DEVELPOMENT.
POTENTIAL FOR 09F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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