Doomsday storms

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MiamiensisWx

#21 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 7:29 pm

Here is another illustration of a general nasty hurricane disaster...

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This storm forms just to the north-northeast or east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. It moves west-northwest to westward, steadily strengthening. Just before it reaches the lower Florida Keys, it turns more to the west and strengthens to a Category Five storm. The eye passes near Key West and the Dry Tortugas when the storm has 165MPH sustained winds. The storm is fairly large in size. Later on, the storm gradually starts to weaken; however, any storm is still very dangerous. It then makes landfall in south-central Louisiana as a Category Three storm with 125MPH sustained winds before moving inland.
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Jim Cantore

#22 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jan 19, 2006 7:54 pm

Heres a trillion dollar, multi million deaths hurricane

Disclaimer: this is totally impossible and meant for amusment only.
Image
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#23 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:06 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:Heres a trillion dollar, multi million deaths hurricane

Disclaimer: this is totally impossible and meant for amusment only.
Image


well nothing is impossible. Ivan was close to doing something like this (but only regained TS status after the first loop). As for probable...deffinatly not. The chance of a single low pressure area gaining Cat. 5 status three times and hitting major cities each time is highly unlikey. But I wouldn't say there is no chance, because over the last 2 years we have seen everything but the possible so there is always a "chance" (but it is probably a one in 5 trillion chance).
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Jim Cantore

#24 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:08 pm

heres one thats quite possible

Image
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whereverwx
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#25 Postby whereverwx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:10 pm

This is an interesting topic. Here are a few I made, as you can see, none of them peaked at cat 5, since those are the rarest--well maybe not after last season.

The lucky front saves all.
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"The storm that thought it could", puts two major cities at risk and ultimately strikes just south of Houston with 120 mph winds.
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This storm made landfall in Tampa with 120 mph winds, then one day later, makes landfall in New York City as a 105 mph category 2.
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This storm was a lot of trouble. A slow mover it was, lasting over 13 days in the Caribbean before peaking in the Gulf of Mexico as a 140 mph category 4. It would make landfall in Tampa and finally impact the east coast as a minimal category 3.
Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#26 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:13 pm

I would say the first loop it would stay a tropical storm as it moving to the southwest. Then the second one it would weaken to a remant low over land. I say its possible.
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Jim Cantore

#27 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:13 pm

very intresting tracks
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#28 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:26 pm

probally possible but i hope the dont come true cuz i live in tampa and we're due and have been due since 1921 (#6) and hurricane easy (1950)
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Scorpion

#29 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jan 19, 2006 8:50 pm

I love making theoretical tracks when I am bored. Here is one:

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MiamiensisWx

#30 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:02 pm

Here is another scenario track...

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This storm is a long-tracking Cape Verde system that reaches a peak intensity at 145MPH sustained winds three times in all three periods when it was a Category Four. Before Florida landfall, it weakens slightly. It makes landfall near Jupiter in east-central Florida as a Category Three with 130MPH sustained winds. It weakens as it crosses the state, eventually moving into the extreme eastern Gulf of Mexico, making landfall near Cedar Key as a Category One storm with 80MPH sustained winds. It moves inland and east-northeast to northeast across the southeastern U.S., exiting into the Atlantic off Charleston, South Carolina, as a tropical storm. It regains hurricane status as a Category One off North Carolina before weakening back to tropical storm status and racing out to sea.
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JonathanBelles
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#31 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:05 pm

how do u make those theoretical tracks?
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MiamiensisWx

#32 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:07 pm

fact789 wrote:how do u make those theoretical tracks?


First, I save a tracking map of a storm (I got the one for my fake storm above from WeatherUnderground.com). I then used Adobe Photoshop to draw my track and type on the tracking map. Do you understand it a bit now?
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JonathanBelles
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#33 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:09 pm

ok not as hard as i thought
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#34 Postby whereverwx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:13 pm

I just remembered that Storm2K has it's own markup maps (Click Here)

Example:
Image
Last edited by whereverwx on Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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JonathanBelles
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#35 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:15 pm

i wish those maps weren't as blue as they r.
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Scorpion

#36 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:30 pm

I saved the 1914 Unisys map and simply erased the lone storm. I just use paint to make my storms.
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JonathanBelles
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#37 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:33 pm

yea i thought about that
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MiamiensisWx

#38 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:33 pm

Here's yet another one...

Image

This storm forms in the eastern Caribbean, gradually but steadily strengthening as it moves through the Caribbean Sea. As it approaches Jamaica, it rapidly strengthens into a Category Five with sustained 165MPH winds. It is large in size. It makes landfall on Jamaica with the same intensity. It weakens to a Category Four as it crosses Jamaica; however, it restrengthens back to 165MPH sustained winds and Category Five strength as it crosses over the Cayman Islands. It undergoes an ERC and weakens to a Category Four as it approaches western Cuba. Once it is finished with the ERC, it reintensifies back to 165MPH and Category Five strength once again as it makes landfall over western Cuba. Just after it crosses western Cuba, the storm weakens to a Category Four. It starts to feel the effects of a trough and starts to move north-northeast, northeast, or east-northeast. It weakens to a high-end Category Two as it makes landfall in Tampa Bay; however, it is still highly dangerous. It was also a Category Three very shortly before landfall. The storm crosses the southeastern U.S. as a tropical storm, moves into the Atlantic, regains hurricane status as a Category One off North Carolina and the Mid-Atlantic states, then finally weakens back to a tropical storm as it speeds out to sea.
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#39 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:35 pm

yikes
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Scorpion

#40 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jan 19, 2006 9:39 pm

I wouldnt call upon weakening to a Cat 2 before Tampa. 110 kts would be a good intensity for landfall.
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