TC 01A SEEMS TO BE FALLING APARTS. THE LAST DVORAK READINGS SAYS "TOO WEAK."
ARABIAN SEA: Remnants of TC 01A should make landfall in Oman
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P.K.
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No update from the IMD all afternoon.
No. ARB/1/2006/02 Dated : 14th January, 2006
Subject : Deep Depression over Arabian Sea
Mornings deep depression over southeast Arabian Sea moved northwestwards and lay centered at 1430 hrs. IST of 14th January, 2006 near Lat. 7.0o N and Long. 73.5o E about 150 km south-southeast of Minicoy. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction.
Under its influence, isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely over southern parts of Lakshadweep islands during next 48 hours.
Strong winds speed reaching 5-60 kmph also likely over southern parts of Lakshadweep during the same period. State of sea will be rough to very rough. Fishermen are advised to be cautious while venturing into open sea.
No. ARB/1/2006/02 Dated : 14th January, 2006
Subject : Deep Depression over Arabian Sea
Mornings deep depression over southeast Arabian Sea moved northwestwards and lay centered at 1430 hrs. IST of 14th January, 2006 near Lat. 7.0o N and Long. 73.5o E about 150 km south-southeast of Minicoy. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction.
Under its influence, isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely over southern parts of Lakshadweep islands during next 48 hours.
Strong winds speed reaching 5-60 kmph also likely over southern parts of Lakshadweep during the same period. State of sea will be rough to very rough. Fishermen are advised to be cautious while venturing into open sea.
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HURAKAN
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WTIO31 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
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WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 7.9N 70.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N 70.7E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 9.2N 67.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS
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24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 10.2N 64.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
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REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 8.2N 70.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM WEST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN DEEP CONVEC-
TION AND A 141348z QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A POORLY ORGANIZED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 01A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
141800Z IS 10 FEET.
WELL, IT WAS GOOD WHILE IT LASTED. GOOD BYE 01A!
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P.K.
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No. ARB/1/2006/04 Dated : 15th January, 2006
Subject : Depression over Arabian Sea weakened into a well marked low pressure area
The depression over southeast Arabian Sea moved west-northwestwards and weakened into a well marked low pressure area this morning. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and weaken further.
In view of the above, the weather over Lakshadweep area is likely to clear off.
This is the last bulletin for this system.
Subject : Depression over Arabian Sea weakened into a well marked low pressure area
The depression over southeast Arabian Sea moved west-northwestwards and weakened into a well marked low pressure area this morning. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and weaken further.
In view of the above, the weather over Lakshadweep area is likely to clear off.
This is the last bulletin for this system.
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Coredesat
WWIO20 KNES 170255
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MET-5 VIS/IRDAY
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JANUARY 17 2006 0230Z
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9.3N 64.3E T2.0/2.0/D0.5/06HRS 01A
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PAST POSITIONS....8.6N 66.9E 16/1430Z IRNIGHT
7.8N 69.1E 16/0230Z VIS/IRDAY
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REMARKS....CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER. 5/10
BANDING DEFINES CENTER FOR A DT=2.0. PAT AND MET ARE BOTH 2.0
THE FINAL-T WAS BASED ON ALL THREE.
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POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
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THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 17/1000Z
T2.0 for the remnants of 01A. I don't see the point of that, seeing as the only convection is just a tiny pinpoint near the center. The rest of the circulation is devoid of convection.
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
NORTH INDIAN OCEAN MET-5 VIS/IRDAY
.
JANUARY 17 2006 0230Z
.
9.3N 64.3E T2.0/2.0/D0.5/06HRS 01A
.
PAST POSITIONS....8.6N 66.9E 16/1430Z IRNIGHT
7.8N 69.1E 16/0230Z VIS/IRDAY
.
REMARKS....CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER. 5/10
BANDING DEFINES CENTER FOR A DT=2.0. PAT AND MET ARE BOTH 2.0
THE FINAL-T WAS BASED ON ALL THREE.
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 17/1000Z
T2.0 for the remnants of 01A. I don't see the point of that, seeing as the only convection is just a tiny pinpoint near the center. The rest of the circulation is devoid of convection.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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