SE Indian Ocean: TC Clare

[HURAKAN]

[P.K.]

45kts

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE

PRIORITY

WIND WARNING
for coastal waters between Kuri Bay and Cape Preston
Issued at 6:15 am WST on Sunday, 8 January 2006

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

At 6:00 AM WST Tropical Cyclone Clare was located within 25 nautical miles of
latitude fifteen decimal three degrees South [15.3 S]
longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal four degrees East [121.4 E]
about 110 nautical miles northwest of Cape Leveque
and 165 nautical miles north northwest of Broome.
Recent movement: west southwest at 13 knots.
Maximum winds: 45 knots.
Central pressure: 990 hectopascals.

At 5:00 AM WST Monday forecast to be within 60 nautical miles of
latitude eighteen decimal three degrees South [18.3 S]
longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal one degrees East [118.1 E]
about 125 nautical miles north northwest of Port Hedland.

Storm Warning
Within 40 nautical miles of centre:
Clockwise winds increasing to 45/60 knots during Sunday. Scattered squalls to 80
knots. Combined seas and swell rising to 6m.

Gale Warning
Within 50 nautical miles of centre increasing to 90 nautical miles of centre by
Monday morning:
Clockwise winds 30/45 knots. Scattered squalls to 60 knots. Combined seas and
swell rising to 4m.

Strong Wind Warning
For coastal waters elsewhere between Kuri Bay and Cape Preston:
Northerly to easterly winds 25/33 knots north of Wallal extending to Port
Hedland by midnight and to remainder on Monday morning. Scattered squalls to 45
knots. Seas rising to 2.5 m and swell to 2.5 m.

The next warning will be issued by 9:00 am WST Sunday 8 January.

[WindRunner]

For once, the JTWC is a little slow on the adviosries.

[P.K.]

Cat 2 with gusts to 130 km/hr

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 7
Issued at 8:55 am WST on Sunday, 8 January 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 2 TROPICAL CYCLONE is now current for coastal
areas between Cape Leveque and Dampier.

A CYCLONE WATCH is current from Dampier southwest to Exmouth, extending inland
to include Marble Bar, Pannawonica and Tom Price.

At 8am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE CLARE was located
240 kilometres west northwest of Cape Leveque and
295 kilometres north northwest of Broome and
moving west southwest at 24 kilometres per hour.

The cyclone is expected to move roughly parallel to the coastline for the next
24 hours. Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop on the
coastline between Cape Leveque and Dampier during this time. The cyclone is
expected to intensify into a severe tropical cyclone and move closer to the
Pilbara coast during Monday and Tuesday.

PILBARA COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR A POSSIBLE SEVERE IMPACT BY
TUESDAY.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Clare at 8am WST.
Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of
Latitude 15.7 South Longitude 120.8 East.
Recent movement : west southwest at 24 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 985 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 130 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : 2.
The next warning will be issued at midday WST.

The State Emergency Service Advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in, near or between the communities of Broome, Wallal, Port
Hedland, South Hedland, Marble Bar, Karratha, Onslow, Pannawonica, Tom Price and
Exmouth. Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are
available by
dialling 1300 659 210

[MiamiensisWx]

Looking very good!

[P.K.]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0054UTC 8 JANUARY 2006

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 25 nautical miles of
Latitude 15.7 south
Longitude 120.8 east
Recent movement: west southwest at 14 knots.
Maximum winds: 50 knots.
Central pressure: 985 hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of
the centre by 08/1200UTC.


FORECAST
Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 50 knots increasing
to 70 knots by 09/0000UTC, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy
swell.
Within 25 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 45 nautical miles by
09/0000UTC: 45/60 knot winds with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy
swell.
Within 70 nautical miles of centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of
centre by 09/000UTC winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate to heavy swell.

At 1200UTC 08 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.3 south 119.1 east
Central pressure 975 hPa.
Winds to 60 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 09 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 18.5 south 117.6 east
Central pressure 965 hPa.
Winds to 70 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 08 January 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

[JonathanBelles]

does anyone have a km/h to mph conversion chart and also an australian cyclone severity scale like the american saffir-simpson scale?

[HURAKAN]

LOOKING REALLY GOOD!

[HURAKAN]

does anyone have a km/h to mph conversion chart and also an australian cyclone severity scale like the american saffir-simpson scale?

1 miles = 1.609344 kilometers
1 kilometer = 0.621371192 miles

[JonathanBelles]

no not kilometers, kilometers per hour to miles per hour

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

no not kilometers, kilometers per hour to miles per hour

IT'S THE SAME THING!

1 mph = 1.609344 kph
1 kph = 0.621371192 mph

[RattleMan]

no not kilometers, kilometers per hour to miles per hour

The conversion for length is the same as speed.

EDIT: Bah, too late...^_^

[JonathanBelles]

didnt have to yell

[mike815]

lol quiet down

[HURAKAN]

WTXS31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/072021ZJAN2006//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 15.6S 121.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 121.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 16.8S 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 18.0S 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 19.4S 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 21.1S 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 23.2S 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9S 120.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S IS BENE-
FITING FROM A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION THAT
INCLUDES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD WESTWARD
AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. IT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU 48. THIS WARNING SUPERCEDES
AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 072021ZJAN2006 TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 072030 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIF-
ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080600Z AND 081200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE)
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//




IF THE JTWC IS CORRECT, THEN THIS IS THE BEST LOOKING 40 MPH STORM I HAVE EVER SEEN!

[JonathanBelles]

thats not right its an 81mph cat 2 (aus) cyclone

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It looks about 60 or 65 mph to me. Got to see some what of a eye forming before I would say its a 75 to 80 mph cyclone.

[whereverwx]

It looks about 60 or 65 mph to me. Got to see some what of a eye forming before I would say its a 75 to 80 mph cyclone.

Last year, that was not the case with Stan.

[HURAKAN]

It would be wonderful to have a RECON on this cyclone.