Zeta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[mike815]

thank good as stewart said on the discussion this morn. "finially...bring the 2005 atlamtic hurricane season to an end...possibly as early as this afternoon or evening." 2005 is FINIALLY ALMOST OVER!

[sponger]

Where are those Nov " the season is over threads" If I recall, we had a few in Oct as well! Its hard to believe that we are still reading advisories in Jan!

[HurricaneGirl]

Bye Bye Zeta.. it was interesting having you around!!

[cycloneye]

I was not expecting to make these long threads that are reserved for the hurricane season but here is a thread of 22 pages long in january for a system.

[MiamiensisWx]

I was not expecting to make these long threads that are reserved for the hurricane season but here is a thread of 22 pages long in january for a system.

ANOTHER RECORD IS BORN! JUST BEYOND WORDS!

[HURAKAN]

I THINK IT'S PRETTY SAFE TO SAY THAT ZETA IS NO MORE!

[aerojad]

For what it's worth, a picture of Zeta's track overlayed with SST's, here.

Like we expect Zeta to adhere to any sort of logic, though, heh.

Good night 2005 season!

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA (AL302006) ON 20060106 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060106 1800 060107 0600 060107 1800 060108 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.3N 50.0W 21.5N 51.3W 19.6N 52.9W 18.0N 54.6W
BAMM 23.3N 50.0W 22.8N 52.0W 22.6N 54.4W 23.0N 56.5W
A98E 23.3N 50.0W 23.5N 51.0W 23.4N 52.6W 23.3N 54.7W
LBAR 23.3N 50.0W 22.8N 50.9W 22.1N 52.4W 21.8N 54.0W
SHIP 25KTS 18KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 25KTS 18KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060108 1800 060109 1800 060110 1800 060111 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.7N 56.1W 14.6N 58.6W 13.5N 59.9W 12.1N 59.4W
BAMM 23.8N 58.4W 26.0N 59.5W 25.5N 62.2W 27.0N 66.1W
A98E 24.0N 56.6W 25.7N 57.9W 26.2N 59.3W 28.7N 59.7W
LBAR 21.7N 56.1W 19.2N 56.2W 16.4N 54.7W 17.6N 53.7W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.3N LONCUR = 50.0W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 23.2N LONM12 = 49.1W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 22.6N LONM24 = 47.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


This will be the final model guidance for Zeta.Finnally we can say that the 2005 season is over.

[MiamiensisWx]

THE END IS HERE! BELIEVE IT OR NOT, MORE RECORDS HAVE BEEN BROKEN! JUST LISTEN TO THIS EXCELLENT 4PM DISCUSSION BY STEWART...

000
WTNT45 KNHC 062031
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST FRI JAN 06 2006

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE AND IS NOW LIMITED TO JUST
A FEW SKINNY BANDS OF SHALLOW CONVECTION WELL TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER. AS SUCH... ZETA NO LONGER MEETS THE CRITERIA OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE... WHICH MEANS THAT BOTH IT AND THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE
SEASON HAVE ENDED.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/6. ZETA HAS MADE A JOG BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST... BUT THE AVERAGE MOTION OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS HAS
BEEN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT ABOUT 06 KT. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF
ZETA IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWESTWARD
DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS... AND TURN NORTHWARD AFTERWARDS
AS THE REMNANT LOW COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASING
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. BY 72 HOURS... THE SKELETAL
REMAINS OF ZETA ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OR BE ABSORBED BY THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM.

I SUPPOSE IT IS ONLY FITTING THAT THE RECORD-BREAKING 2005 ATLANTIC
HURRICANE SEASON ENDS WITH A RECORD BREAKING STORM. TODAY... ZETA
SURPASSED 1954 ALICE #2 AS THE LONGEST-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE TO
FORM IN DECEMBER AND CROSS OVER INTO THE NEXT YEAR. ZETA WAS ALSO
THE LONGEST-LIVED JANUARY TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...ZETA
RESULTED IN THE 2005 SEASON HAVING THE LARGEST ACCUMULATED CYCLONE
ENERGY...OR ACE... SURPASSING THE 1950 SEASON. SO... UNTIL THE 2006
SEASON BEGINS... UNLESS ZETA SOMEHOW MAKES AN UNLIKELY MIRACLE
COMEBACK... THIS IS THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER SIGNING OFF FOR
2005... FINALLY.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2100Z 23.4N 50.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 07/0600Z 24.0N 52.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 07/1800Z 25.4N 54.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/0600Z 27.8N 56.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 08/1800Z 30.2N 57.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$

ZETA HAS BEATEN ALICE! IN ADDITION, THE 2005 ATLANTIC SEASON NOW HAS THE MOST ACE NUMBERS, SURPASSING ALL OTHER ATLANTIC SEASONS! SEVERAL RECORDS IN A DAY! WHAT A WAY TO END THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON! HASTA LA VISTA! SAVE THE 4PM AND 5PM DISCUSSION AND ADVISORY BY STEWART! WHAT A GREAT DISCUSSION AND ADVISORY! IT IS DONE! WHAT A SEASON!

HERE IS THE 5PM ADVISORY BY STEWART...

000
WTNT35 KNHC 062037
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI JAN 06 2006

...ZETA AND THE RECORD-BREAKING 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON
FINALLY COME TO AN END...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST OR ABOUT
900 MILES...1450 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ZETA IS RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... AND
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...23.4 N... 50.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$

[WxGuy1]

THE END IS HERE! BELIEVE IT OR NOT, MORE RECORDS HAVE BEEN BROKEN! JUST LISTEN TO THIS EXCELLENT 4PM DISCUSSION BY STEWART...

Hmm... I put my ear up to the computer, tried as hard as I could to listen, but I just couldn't hear anything.

[mike815]

STEWART IS THE MAN!!!!! WOW what a perfect ending by i too like stewart am very happy its over. stewart is the best the NHC has.

[whereverwx]

And I think that was also Stewart's last discussion... he's leaving the NHC, right?

[brunota2003]

Ok, ITS OVER!!! And Sterwart, YOU CANT LEAVE US!!! *crys* A drink to Mr. Stewart:

[recmod]

And I think that was also Stewart's last discussion... he's leaving the NHC, right?

HUH???? Is this true??,,,, Someone please comment...

I ALWAYS look forward to Stewart's very informative discussions... I would hate to see him leave.

Lou

[DESTRUCTION5]

And I think that was also Stewart's last discussion... he's leaving the NHC, right?

HUH???? Is this true??,,,, Someone please comment...

I ALWAYS look forward to Stewart's very informative discussions... I would hate to see him leave.

Lou

Very True

[WindRunner]

And I think that was also Stewart's last discussion... he's leaving the NHC, right?

HUH???? Is this true??,,,, Someone please comment...

I ALWAYS look forward to Stewart's very informative discussions... I would hate to see him leave.

Lou

Very True

and very sad

[mike815]

Why Stewart is the best his dis. and adv. are amazing. He weighs everything and keeps things interesting and not boring im going to miss him very very much. i cant believe hes really going i dont believe it.

[tornadochaser1986]

WOW what a season WOW Zeta

[Coredesat]

Did you HAVE to bump this old, old topic?

[cycloneye]

Did you HAVE to bump this old, old topic?

He has bumped some threads also at off-topic forum.I dont know if he has nothing more to do.