My Outlook for 5-27 to 6-1...........Map and details.

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My Outlook for 5-27 to 6-1...........Map and details.

#1 Postby Guest » Tue May 27, 2003 1:54 am

Well it looks like there is no end in site for the pattern we are in........In short the East Coast will be dominated by a upper level low thats just stuck over the great lakes which will mean more clouds then sun with bouts of rain and well below average temps.....Mainly in the 50s and 60s in the Ne from MD north.................The center of the nation will be the dividing line which as well means stormy area with bouts of severe weather and near normal temps in the 70s and the 80s except 60s and 70s in Mich and Ohio.................The central and southern rockies down into the southwest will remain very dry with the best chance if any of precip beeing found on the front range...............The sw as well will be baking in 100+ temps with alot of the destert areas seeing temps up into the 110s...............The CA coastal areas looks like the place to be if you wanna cool off from the extreme heat further inland..................The Pacific nw may be the only area out west that sees some rain especially along the Washington and Oregon coast where towards the end of the week the ridge out thier may break down a little and allow for a cold front to approach the area from the pacific and temps should be near normal from i5 to the coast and normal to slightly above east of the i5 corridor..................The gulf coast states looks to be another stormy area with bouts of severe weather as well possible this is especially true along the immediate gulf coast states from Houston, TX over to Jacksonville, FL along the i10 corridor and should have near normal temps....................The best chance for severe weather this week looks to be in the northern plaines down into the Lower Ohio Valley from Tuesday---->Upper Plaines. Wednesday---->Midwest,Central Plaines & Ohio valley possible. And the Southern Plaines and possibly the SE & Mid Atlantic come Thursday.................Check back in for further updates on the severe weather as it is still a bit early yet to say exactly who or when the severe weather will strike...................Below is my map for the week with highlights to show what areas what kind of weather to expect..........................Any comments are more then welcome..

Image
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weatherlover427

#2 Postby weatherlover427 » Tue May 27, 2003 2:07 am

Since they say today (now that it's 12:06 am) will be a much warmer day, we shall see how warm it gets here seeing as how I live a few miles from the beach. ;)
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#3 Postby Guest » Tue May 27, 2003 2:19 am

Yea you guys will warm up at the coast mainly from LA on south where you all should have temps from the 70s to the 80s depending on wind and location to the beach as i am very sure you know all about Josh...........You shouldnt see nothing extreme like areas further inland like Palm Springs and Vegas who will probably easly break the 100º mark...........Have a good one Josh:)
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#4 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 9:12 am

I'll have a Severe wx outlook out in a few minutes so stay tuned!
Jeremy
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#5 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 9:25 am

Image
This is the probability map for today. As King mentioned, there is a risk area in the Northern plains today. I expect this area to shift tomorrow to include the lower OH valley. Then Thursday it looks like the mid-atlantic region may be at risk. One thing that King did not mention was the continuing slight risk of severe wx in the SE... esp. from GA north to NC and VA.
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#6 Postby Guest » Tue May 27, 2003 9:35 am

Thanks for that update rock..............I will add that i made a mention of severe weather possible in the Se more or less along the i10 corridor...........In my map above i have areas at risk for off and on storms which covers areas inside the green lines..........I wasnt sure though about the severe aspect of it along the Carolina and Va coast seeing how like you said it being a slight risk which is true i may add................Anyways thanks for your update for the forecast...........Your map looks right on target............Keep them updates comming rock......:)
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#7 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 10:07 am

I sure will... another one about 930pm tonight.
Jeremy
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#8 Postby Stephanie » Tue May 27, 2003 10:12 am

Well King, you're in agreement with TWC and all of the local meteorologists! :( Are there any signs of a pattern shift coming soon?
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Update:

#9 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 2:42 pm

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This is an updated map for today. Due to increasing instability in the atmosphere over KY and WV, this area is now under a slight risk. Already storms are popping and will continue the next 2-3 hours.
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MonsoonDude

#10 Postby MonsoonDude » Tue May 27, 2003 5:45 pm

King you forgot the possible Thunderstorms in AZ,and Southern California, Mountains and deserts
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#11 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 7:38 pm

I think we both did. Yes there is that possibility the next few hours but those should not be severe.
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#12 Postby therock1811 » Tue May 27, 2003 8:17 pm

These are risk areas tomorrow afternoon.
Image
Much of the same areas as the last 3 days but the OH valley is in a slight risk for severe storms tomorrow.
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#13 Postby MonsoonDude » Tue May 27, 2003 8:56 pm

I like that alot Rock! hehe, finally the thunderstorms are nearing the CA deserts!

Kev
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#14 Postby Guest » Tue May 27, 2003 10:00 pm

Well as of tonight i am updating the map a little as well as some of the details..............SW US looks to be hot and dry with a slight chance of thunderstorms in N.AZ, and CA deserts and a better shot at showers and thunderstorms in NM and into Colorado and as well down into Western and southern TX........Alot of places away from the CA coast will see temps well above the 100º mark..........The Pacific NW may get some showers and possible thunderstorms later in the week as the ridge out that way breaks down a little...............The NE And MA looks to hold onto its cool and wet weather the rest of the week with temps in the 50s in the NE to near 70 in the MA............The Ohio Valley looks to be on the wet and cool side as well with temps ranging from the 60s to the 70s...............The SE will see its share of storms as well especially from NC south into N. Florida.....S.Fla as well may see some showers and thunderstorms as well from a disturbance in the Gulf moving across the Keys into the atlantic..................The gulf coast states looks to be a little bit drier with maybe some hit and miss thunderstorms....................The best chance for rain right now looks to be in the Ohio Valley over into the MA from eastern KY into WVA and on over to the Baltimore Washington metro areas of the MA..........The best chance for severe weather looks to be in the midwest on wednesday from southern WI down into Ill,Ind, and as far south as KY.........Other then that the chances are less likely but still cant be ruled out where there is thunderstorm development occurs..........Beyond this time there is hints that this pattern we have been in for so long may begin to break down by the middle of next week...........Lets all hope it does. :D ..................Any comments or input of your own is more then welcome.....................rock will help keep you updated on any severe weather that takes place................Thanks


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#15 Postby Rainband » Wed May 28, 2003 7:29 am

Thanks for the updates guys!!!! Send me some rain!!! :lol: :lol: :wink:
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#16 Postby chadtm80 » Wed May 28, 2003 8:11 am

Ill take some of it to please


Great update.. Keep up the great work
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#17 Postby therock1811 » Wed May 28, 2003 8:24 am

I'll put out a map for today in about 15 minutes so stay tuned!
Jeremy
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#18 Postby JCT777 » Wed May 28, 2003 8:26 am

Good updates, King of Weather and therock1811. Here are some facts regarding the cool and damp weather in my area this year:

1) It is May 28 and I have yet to experience any type of thunderstorm this year
2) There have been more days in the past month with high temps below 60 than above 70 (and the average high temp is now 75 degrees)
3) Almost every night during the month of May, the heat has been running in my house
4) I can count the number of times I have been able to wear shorts outside on one hand
5) It has only gone above 80 degrees three times this year, and only once since the beginning of May

And last but not least…

6) The air conditioning in my car does not work, but I haven't even noticed

Now if I still need to use my heat on the 4th of July.... :roll:
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#19 Postby therock1811 » Wed May 28, 2003 8:34 am

Image
Image
These are hail and wind probability maps today. The greatest risk is from C OH back into C KY and TN, as well as southern Indiana.
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#20 Postby Guest » Wed May 28, 2003 8:45 am

WOW JCT...........Your weather sounds alot like my own here in Ohio other then the thunderstorms which i have had a few.................Like you i can probably count the amount of days with high temps above 70 this month...........Which honestly does'nt bother me after the endless heat we had last summer..............The same could be almost said for the days i have seen the sun this month like the temps...............Either way like i mentioned in the forecast next week we may get a pattern change.............Keep our fingers crossed.........And hopefully Chad some of that rain south of you will make its way north...........And thanks again rock for your updates...............
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