Zeta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#362 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 2:27 pm

Convection is almost gone so Zeta's hours as a cyclone are numbered.But it has made history.

#363 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 2:29 pm

well if it continues to head sw to w it will run into warmer but willl it help?

#364 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 2:36 pm

nice pic capeverde

Coredesat · #365 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 2:44 pm

The models and the official forecast take it NWwd. Shear is stronger up there, plus the waters are colder. Zeta will probably be a remnant low in a few hours, and regeneration is unlikely unless something really freaky happens. Like everything that happened with Epsilon.

But that can't happen twice...can it?

#366 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 2:46 pm

2005 is in double overtime, will it go to triple overtime?

Astro_man92 · #367 Postby **Astro_man92** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 3:25 pm

Wow Zeta is experiencing shear and Dry air and is giving an amazing January LLC. Zeta is really fighting hard it looks like

Water Vapor

#368 Postby **brunota2003** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 3:32 pm

4 PM Discussion:

Zeta consists of a very vigorous low-level circulation but the
convection appears to be rapidly vanishing. There are a few
clusters of thunderstorms within cyclonically curved bands to the
east of the center. The current satellite presentation suggests
that Zeta has continued to weaken and the best estimate of the
intensity is 45 knots. These winds are probably confined to the
north and east of the center. It seems that finally shear and
dry air are disrupting the cyclone...and a faster weakening trend
should begin soon. However...the system could linger as a remnant
low for several more days.
Now that Zeta is becoming a shallow system...it will probably be
steered by the low level flow between the subtropical high and an
approaching cold front. Zeta should then turn more to the northwest
and continue on this general track until dissipation.

#369 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 3:33 pm

ZETA ON A WEAKENING TREND...IT IS ABOUT TIME...

Above is the header that Avila wrote at the 4 PM Public Advisorie.Farewell very soon for Zeta but it made it's history and was unique.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #370 Postby **senorpepr** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 4:15 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
slartibartfast wrote:Do we continue to count the ACE numbers in the 2005 column despite the storm surviving into 2006?
Mark

According to what I read in this same forum, 1954 received the ACE numbers of Alice life in 1955 since the storm formed in 1954. So, I think since Zeta formed in 2005, its ACE numbers of 2006 will go toward 2005!

That is true. As a matter of fact, this morning, Zeta pushed 2005 into the lead for ACE.

MiamiensisWx · #371 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 4:31 pm

#372 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 5:12 pm

Astro_man92 · #373 Postby **Astro_man92** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 5:26 pm

How are you guys making those!? :eek:

Those are very cool!

#374 Postby **sponger** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 5:29 pm

Another record? Are their any left! So long Zeta, thanks for the perfect ending to 2005.

Astro_man92 · #375 Postby **Astro_man92** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 5:31 pm

Wow has anyone noticed that not one greek letter storm has made landfall on the mainland

EDIT: whoops I take that back beta did

RattleMan · #376 Postby **RattleMan** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 7:09 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:Wow has anyone noticed that not one greek letter storm has made landfall on the mainland

EDIT: whoops I take that back beta did

So did Alpha.

#377 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 7:31 pm

TPNT KGWC 050006
A. TROPICAL STORM ZETA (THIRTY)
B. 04/2331Z (139)
C. 21.6N/9
D. 45.4W/3
E. FOUR/GOES12
F. T1.5/2.5/W1.0/24HRS -04/2331Z-
G. IR/EIR

17A/ PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. ZETA IS ALMOST DEVOID OF
CNVCTN...EXCPT FOR A FEW ELEMENTS TO THE NE OF CNTR.
LLCC IS LOCATED 70NM TO THE SW OF NEAREST DG AREA GIVING
A DT OF 1.5. FT IS BASED ON DT...BOTH PT AND MET AGREE.

AODT: T2.0 (SHEAR)

LAURENTI

Air Force sat estimates has Zeta barely as a storm.Let's say goodbye to Zeta which made a unique appearence and crossed from one year to another.

#378 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 7:45 pm

TROPICAL STORM ZETA (AL302006) ON 20060105 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060105 0000 060105 1200 060106 0000 060106 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.7N 45.6W 22.3N 43.3W 23.7N 42.3W 24.7N 42.5W
BAMM 21.7N 45.6W 22.1N 46.8W 23.4N 47.6W 24.1N 48.6W
A98E 21.7N 45.6W 22.0N 47.0W 22.6N 47.7W 22.8N 48.3W
LBAR 21.7N 45.6W 22.4N 45.6W 23.3N 45.4W 24.2N 44.7W
SHIP 35KTS 21KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 35KTS 21KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060107 0000 060108 0000 060109 0000 060110 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.8N 43.6W 22.9N 48.3W 20.8N 53.4W 19.9N 56.7W
BAMM 24.3N 50.3W 25.5N 55.4W 31.2N 57.9W 37.5N 45.2W
A98E 22.6N 49.0W 22.4N 52.3W 22.7N 56.3W 23.3N 59.7W
LBAR 25.7N 44.8W 27.1N 49.1W 26.1N 53.0W 24.7N 54.3W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.7N LONCUR = 45.6W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 21.9N LONM12 = 43.6W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 22.7N LONM24 = 42.5W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 240NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 25NM RD34NW = 100NM

00:00z Models decrease intensity to a minimal storm.Adios Zeta.

MiamiensisWx · #379 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 7:46 pm

HASTA LA VISTA!

Astro_man92 · #380 Postby **Astro_man92** » Wed Jan 04, 2006 7:49 pm

Honestly... I hate to see zeta go :cry:

Zeta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Who is online