What are your early 2006 predictions?

[Windtalker1]

Named Storms: 20 .... Hurricanes: 11 .... Majors: 7 ... Cat 5's: 4 .... 4 Hurricanes......2 Majors and 1 Cat 5 will hit the US

[Swimdude]

I'm thinking it's possible that everyone is going to look at this season... And predict REALLY high... And then we'll have a season like 1992. That would be entirely hilarious.





... I wish.

[JamesFromMaine2]

I'm thinking it's possible that everyone is going to look at this season... And predict REALLY high... And then we'll have a season like 1992. That would be entirely hilarious.





... I wish.

Ok well then I am going to say we will get 1 named storm and it will be a Major Cat 5 Hurricane thats a fish! lol

[cycloneye]

Remember folks that I will start the storm2k 2006 poll on march 15 and runs until may 31 so you will have plenty of time to think and finetune your forecasts so what you are posting now may not be what you will post at the official storm2k poll.

[wlfpack81]

18/11/5 (2 Cat 5's)

[cycloneye]

Bumping for more early predictions.

[johngaltfla]

Unless something dramatic happens with the Atlantic SSTs in the next 4-5 months, I'm gonig with:

26/15/5

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

A new update as of January 1st....

The area of cold water off south America over the Eastern Pacific seems to have gotten colder=LA NINA...

The area of warm water off the cape verde area is a sign of more cape verde canes for 2006.

Which means a lower pressure near the cape verdes=stronger subtropical ridge...Kind of like 2004.

So I expect a season like 2004...But a 2004 that produces 22 to 23 named storms. Which 13 hurricane,7 major hurriacane,3 cat5s.

40 west to the African coast below 25 north...
The Cape verde season will have 5 named storms(Some of these will wait into the western or central Atlatnic to become hurricanes,majors)...In which 3 of those will become hurricanes,1 majors.

The Central Atlatnic,Eastern Caribbean to 70 west below 25 north...Will have 5 named storms,3 hurricanes,2 majors form in that area.

The western caribbean,eastern Gulf of Mexico...5 named storms,3 hurricanes,2 majors...Maybe a Wilma class storm forming in this area.

The Gulf of Mexico west of 88...3 named storms,2 hurricanes,1 major hurricane.

The western Atlatnic north of 20 north...East coast to 60 west...4 named storms,2 hurricanes,1 major.

The extratropical to Tropical cyclone over the north Atlatnic later on into the season...Maybe 1 to 2 named storms...

Cat5s
I think there will be one Wilma like storm...

Then another Isabel maybe into the islands then into Florida or like Hugo into the East coast.

In another in around the Andrew area....In which could hit Florida(1926 hurricane like)

Florida will get hit with 5 tropical cyclones in 2006...3 on the Eastern 2 on the western side. Texas will likely get hit with a major hurricane. Also the East coast may have another Hugo or maybe Isabel.

[johngaltfla]

Gee thanks Matt. 2 on the western coast? That's pretty much guranteeing that either Tampa or Ft. Myers will take it on the chin.

[aaaaaa]

30/15/10

[Innotech]

20/10/4

[vbhoutex]

Named Storms: 21 .... Hurricanes: 12 .... Majors: 8 ... Cat 5's: 5 .... 7 Hurricanes......3 Majors and 1 Cat 5 will hit the US

[skywarn]

22/13/7

[Andrew92]

Conservatively, I go with 17/10/5.

On a side note, Michael is the name I think sounds the most like a big one, with Ernesto (despite his history) and then Joyce right behind that.

-Andrew92

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

NOT Official:
28/16/7 We may be in some super-crazy active cycle
3-5 Cat 5's
Since the hot Cape Verde Waters were untouched in 2005,
2006 may feature a
Very Severe Cape Verde Season with landfalls along the
US East Coast and Carolinas

[Astro_man92]

I think that it will probably be around 21/10/5

Category 5: 1
Category 4: 2
Category 3: 2
-------------
Category 2: 2
Category 1: 3
-------------
Tropical Storms: 11
-------------
Tropical Depressions: 1-5

I think the season will start leter then this year probably in July peak at mid-august to mid-september and probably end in mid november. I'm expecting an active season but no where near as active as 2005.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

30/14/7 , and 3 cat. fives.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Named storms: 23
Hurricanes: 15
Major: 7
Cat 5: 2

Here is the breakdown of where I think the most storm activity will be.
1 = Highest area of activity
2 = High activity
3 = moderate activity
4 = Low activity
5 = Very little activity

WESTERN GULF = 1

CENTRAL GULF = 2

EASTERN GULF = 2

FLORIDA = 2

SE COAST = 2

MID ATLANTIC COAST = 3

NE COAST = 4

***The reason I favor the western Gulf the most is that it seems like a trend has set up. In 2004 the storms favored Florida and the eastern Gulf, in 2005 they favored the central Gulf, so if the trend to the left continues then the western Gulf will be in for a bad season next year. Houston has not been hit by a REAL hurricane (hurricane force winds in the city) since 1983. They are way overdue. Even with the western Gulf being the most favored, I still think the rest of the Gulf and Florida see a rough year.***

[Extremeweatherguy]

I'm thinking it's possible that everyone is going to look at this season... And predict REALLY high... And then we'll have a season like 1992. That would be entirely hilarious.





... I wish.

Well even 1992, though it had very few storms, there was still Andrew which was a monster. All it takes is one bad storm to make a season memorable.

[Hurricaneman]

Im going to say 25 11 8
So Texas 1
No Texas 2
Western gulf 1
Eastern gulf 1
west coast Florida 2
East coast Florida 2
SE Coast 1
Carolina coast 3
Mid Atl 1
NOrtheast 2

Note some of the numbers may be repeat storms