Chris Again

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cycloneye
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Chris Again

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Dec 08, 2005 2:42 pm

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS (AL892005) ON 20051208 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051208 1200 051209 0000 051209 1200 051210 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.0N 80.0W 21.6N 81.2W 24.3N 80.9W 27.6N 76.1W
BAMM 20.0N 80.0W 21.2N 82.1W 22.9N 83.2W 25.2N 82.6W
A98E 20.0N 80.0W 20.6N 81.1W 21.8N 82.0W 23.7N 82.0W
LBAR 20.0N 80.0W 21.0N 81.4W 22.4N 82.5W 23.6N 82.7W
SHIP 50KTS 47KTS 38KTS 25KTS
DSHP 50KTS 47KTS 39KTS 26KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051210 1200 051211 1200 051212 1200 051213 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.8N 63.1W 23.6N 44.9W 16.4N 39.1W 17.0N 22.5W
BAMM 28.0N 79.3W 33.7N 63.1W 32.1N 50.5W 26.7N 48.2W
A98E 25.7N 80.3W 31.0N 68.9W 36.1N 55.3W 36.9N 46.6W
LBAR 25.0N 82.1W 25.7N 78.4W 25.2N 75.4W 15.1N 90.9W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.0N LONCUR = 80.0W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 19.6N LONM12 = 78.9W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 19.2N LONM24 = 77.8W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 40NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 40NM

Around 2 months ago they did a test on Tropical Storm Chris and now again Chris comes back with another test.I thought that they would take a Christmas vacation and have a well deserved rest. :)
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#2 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Dec 08, 2005 4:55 pm

They're a little early. Chris is supposed to come after Alberto and Beryl. Wait your turn, Chris!
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#3 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Dec 08, 2005 5:00 pm

Hmmm... the models seem a little bullish on Chris.

:lol: :eek:

Just kidding...

Yep... I remember that the models did a test on Chris around two months ago.
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#4 Postby WindRunner » Thu Dec 08, 2005 6:11 pm

Undergoing some strengthening now:

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS (AL892005) ON 20051208 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051208 1800 051209 0600 051209 1800 051210 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.1N 80.9W 21.6N 82.2W 23.9N 82.2W 27.1N 78.3W
BAMM 20.1N 80.9W 21.1N 83.1W 22.1N 84.7W 23.2N 86.0W
A98E 20.1N 80.9W 20.5N 82.1W 21.5N 83.2W 22.9N 83.8W
LBAR 20.1N 80.9W 20.9N 82.1W 22.3N 83.0W 23.1N 83.4W
SHIP 60KTS 59KTS 49KTS 34KTS
DSHP 60KTS 59KTS 49KTS 38KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051210 1800 051211 1800 051212 1800 051213 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.7N 65.7W 23.7N 47.5W 17.6N 46.2W 13.5N 45.3W
BAMM 25.0N 84.9W 31.9N 70.6W 42.5N 60.4W 52.4N 57.9W
A98E 23.9N 83.1W 27.7N 74.5W 34.8N 59.7W 38.2N 54.1W
LBAR 24.9N 82.5W 25.5N 77.4W 24.9N 73.0W 11.8N 95.0W
SHIP 16KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 19KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.1N LONCUR = 80.9W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 19.8N LONM12 = 79.4W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 19.3N LONM24 = 77.4W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 996MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 50NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....


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#5 Postby WindRunner » Thu Dec 08, 2005 6:11 pm

And we have a hurricane! :lol:

It's going to hit SW Florida in a day or two :roll:

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE CHRIS (AL892005) ON 20051209 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051209 0000 051209 1200 051210 0000 051210 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.4N 82.4W 22.5N 83.0W 25.2N 81.4W 28.5N 75.1W
BAMM 20.4N 82.4W 21.4N 84.4W 22.5N 85.9W 23.8N 86.4W
A98E 20.4N 82.4W 21.2N 84.3W 22.5N 85.4W 24.2N 85.2W
LBAR 20.4N 82.4W 21.8N 84.0W 23.6N 84.4W 25.1N 83.7W
SHIP 65KTS 61KTS 46KTS 27KTS
DSHP 65KTS 61KTS 47KTS 28KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051211 0000 051212 0000 051213 0000 051214 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 30.2N 62.6W 23.4N 44.6W 16.9N 34.3W 22.0N 17.8W
BAMM 25.3N 83.1W 32.6N 67.1W 43.1N 58.0W 52.3N 59.1W
A98E 25.3N 82.9W 28.3N 75.8W 32.6N 63.2W 34.9N 57.7W
LBAR 28.2N 80.3W 31.4N 64.1W 32.5N 53.9W .0N .0W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.4N LONCUR = 82.4W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 20.0N LONM12 = 80.0W DIRM12 = 282DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 19.6N LONM24 = 78.9W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 992MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 155NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....


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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Dec 08, 2005 6:40 pm

Maybe there seeing something going to happen next year :eek:
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Dec 08, 2005 7:02 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Maybe there seeing something going to happen next year :eek:


Don't even say it!
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Dec 08, 2005 7:03 pm

Interesting that they have that name for tests but doesn't mean that the real Chris will be the same way in the 2006 season. :)
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#9 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 08, 2005 7:04 pm

WindRunner wrote:And we have a hurricane! :lol:

It's going to hit SW Florida in a day or two :roll:


:eek: :lol:
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#10 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Dec 08, 2005 10:50 pm

{only a joke, not real}

BULLETIN
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY 1A
HURRICANE CHRIS
11PM ET THURS DEC 8TH 2005

HURRICANE CHRIS MAKING HISTORY.. BARRELING TOWARDS FLORIDA.

AT 11PM ET. HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED JUST 125 MILES TO THE EAST OF VERO BEACH, MOVING DUE WEST AT 10 MPH

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FT LAUDERDALE NORTHWARD TO THE SPACE COAST

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 3 AT LANDFALL.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 09, 2005 3:14 pm

HURRICANE CHRIS (AL892005) ON 20051209 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051209 1200 051210 0000 051210 1200 051211 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.6N 84.3W 24.1N 83.3W 27.3N 78.7W 30.7N 69.8W
BAMM 21.6N 84.3W 22.7N 85.5W 24.3N 85.4W 26.2N 81.3W
A98E 21.6N 84.3W 22.7N 86.0W 24.5N 85.9W 27.2N 82.4W
LBAR 21.6N 84.3W 23.3N 85.0W 25.3N 84.1W 27.3N 80.6W
SHIP 70KTS 59KTS 40KTS 22KTS
DSHP 70KTS 59KTS 43KTS 25KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051211 1200 051212 1200 051213 1200 051214 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 57.8W 23.6N 45.7W 16.3N 38.3W 15.5N 25.3W
BAMM 29.2N 73.8W 38.4N 58.6W 48.8N 60.0W 55.0N 61.6W
A98E 30.2N 75.3W 32.1N 68.0W 36.2N 57.8W 41.2N 57.3W
LBAR 31.1N 73.2W 32.6N 54.9W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.6N LONCUR = 84.3W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 20.4N LONM12 = 82.4W DIRM12 = 289DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 20.0N LONM24 = 80.0W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 988MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 155NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM

Still testing as a hurricane with 70kts.
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#12 Postby fuzzyblow » Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:32 pm

:crazyeyes: WOW !! convection juste exploding now...
What is water temp. around ?
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#13 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 09, 2005 5:35 pm

Wasn't that the area in which Katrina, Rita, and in a lesser way Wilma, exploted? :lol:
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#14 Postby fasterdisaster » Fri Dec 09, 2005 8:05 pm

NOT REAL...

...HURRICANE CHRIS STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT HITS WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NAPLES FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...

INTERESTS ON THE REST OF THE GULF COAST AND THE EAST COAST FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CHRIS...

CHRIS IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA...

CHRIS IS MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...ON THIS TRACK...CHRIS WILL CLIP THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA IN THE NEXT 3-5 HOURS...AND HIT WESTERN FLORIDA IN 36-48 HOURS...

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHRIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 STORM TOMORROW...
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 09, 2005 9:06 pm

HURRICANE CHRIS (AL892005) ON 20051209 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051209 1800 051210 0600 051210 1800 051211 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.3N 84.8W 25.1N 82.8W 28.5N 76.7W 31.7N 66.2W
BAMM 22.3N 84.8W 23.6N 85.3W 25.2N 83.5W 27.7N 78.9W
A98E 22.3N 84.8W 23.6N 85.6W 24.9N 84.0W 28.2N 78.1W
LBAR 22.3N 84.8W 24.1N 84.4W 26.2N 82.4W 28.4N 77.6W
SHIP 70KTS 55KTS 36KTS 17KTS
DSHP 70KTS 55KTS 36KTS 17KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051211 1800 051212 1800 051213 1800 051214 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.4N 54.7W 23.0N 47.8W 16.4N 46.1W 15.2N 40.8W
BAMM 32.0N 70.5W 43.9N 58.5W 55.3N 56.5W 61.7N 53.4W
A98E 31.2N 71.7W 32.3N 63.7W 33.6N 54.5W 40.9N 45.8W
LBAR 32.2N 69.2W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 22.3N LONCUR = 84.8W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 21.0N LONM12 = 83.8W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 20.1N LONM24 = 80.9W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 70KT
CENPRS = 988MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 155NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM

New run for Chris stays the same 70kts.
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#16 Postby WindRunner » Fri Dec 09, 2005 9:24 pm

They're having entirely too much fun with this.
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#17 Postby fuzzyblow » Fri Dec 09, 2005 11:58 pm

Whee, it's fun :yow: do you think that we can reach greek-winter name before summer? :boog:
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#18 Postby gatorcane » Sat Dec 10, 2005 2:49 am

they ought to just call it "boca_chris". lol.
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#19 Postby fuzzyblow » Sat Dec 10, 2005 9:30 am

boca_chris wrote:they ought to just call it "boca_chris". lol.

in boca al lupo !!! yes... :lol:
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#20 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Dec 10, 2005 10:43 am

This is just for fun... not real...

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHRIS
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL
5AM EST

...CHRIS STRENGTHENS EXPLOSIVELY INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BUT EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF FLORIDA...

HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS OF WESTERN CUBA.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM FLAMINGO AND CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO SARASOTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM HOMESTEAD AND THE UPPER TIP OF THE KEYS NORTHWARD TO STUART.

AT 5AM EST... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS NEAR 20N/90W... OR ABOUT A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF WESTERN CUBA.

CHRIS IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, FOLLOWED BY AN EAST-NORTHEAST TO NORTHEAST TURN.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145MPH. IT'S DECEMBER... NEED I SAY MORE?

FORECASTER AVILA
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