North Texas Winter Weather Outlook/Updates 2005-06

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
230 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-072330-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
230 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

.NOW...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME NORTHWEST AND
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 600 AM THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER LOCATIONS THROUGH
600 AM THURSDAY...

A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED ALONG A LINE
FROM PARIS...TO GIDDINGS AND EAGLE PASS AT 230 PM. A STRONG
TEMPERATURE GRADIENT EXISTS WITH THIS COLD FRONT...AND SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING RAPIDLY FOLLOWING FRONTAL
PASSAGE. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PERSISTENT NORTHERLY
WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WILL ALLOW WIND CHILL VALUES TO DROP
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS.

MEANWHILE...DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BEGUN
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA FROM NORTHERN MEXICO. PRECIPITATION HAS
DIMINISHED ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS AS A RESULT OF
THIS...WITH THE TREND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER NEW MEXICO
WILL APPROACH NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...AND MAY ENHANCE FREEZING AND
FROZEN PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA ONCE AGAIN.

DESPITE A DECREASE IN PRECIPITATION...TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY
HAZARDOUS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING OUT ONTO AREA ROADWAYS THIS AFTERNOON.
IT IS ALSO ADVISED THAT YOU CHECK WITH YOUR LOCAL HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT
CONCERNING ROAD CONDITIONS IN YOUR AREA.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...
335 PM CST

IMPULSE EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY HELPING TO SUSTAIN PRECIP MAINLY
NORTH OF I-20. SOME RAIN NE...MAINLY SLEET AND SNOW SHOWERS. SLEET
SHOWER AT NWS FORT WORTH AT THE MOMENT...TEMP 21.5F.

ISENTROPIC LIFT PROGGED TO INCREASE AS ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO
DEEPEN. IN ADDITION...IMPULSES RIDING AROUND BASE OF CENTRAL
PLAINS TROUGH WILL AID IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP NEXT 12
HRS OR SO. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE TO MAXIMIZE AROUND 385K WHERE 18Z
SOUNDING SHOWS SATURATED WARM NOSE NOW SUBFREEZING. NEAR-FREEZING
SATURATED LAYER LIKELY CONTAINS CONSIDERABLE SUPERCOOLED DROPLETS
THAT WILL RESULT IN SOME SLEET AND SNOW GRAINS...BUT FURTHER
LIFTING OF NOSE SHOULD EVENTUALLY YIELD ALL SNOW. COLUMN LIKELY
ALREADY ALL SNOW N AND W OF METROPLEX...PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR SNOW
TO MOVE S AND E THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN STILL LIKELY SE THIS EVENING...GLAZE AND
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE IN SE WWA.
ELSEWHERE...ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE...HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO BE FROM METROPLEX NORTHEASTWARD.

VERY COLD TONIGHT...TEENS NORTHWEST THIRD. WINDS WILL STAY UP
OVERNIGHT. WIND CHILLS MAY APPROACH ZERO F FAR WEST. NO WIND CHILL
ADVISORY NEEDED.

TEMPS THURSDAY HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON SNOWCOVER. EXPECT COOL START
AND FURTHER COLD ADVECTION. DESPITE CLEARING...HIGHS UPPER 20S NW
TO UPPER 30S SE. ANOTHER BITTERLY COLD NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPS WILL REBOUND INTO THE WEEKEND.

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP TOWARD END OF FORECAST PERIOD. POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY SOUTH...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

CORRECTED LEVEL OF ISENTROPIC SURFACE...SORRY!

.DISCUSSION...
335 PM CST

IMPULSE EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY HELPING TO SUSTAIN PRECIP MAINLY
NORTH OF I-20. SOME RAIN NE...MAINLY SLEET AND SNOW SHOWERS. SLEET
SHOWER AT NWS FORT WORTH AT THE MOMENT...TEMP 21.5F.

ISENTROPIC LIFT PROGGED TO INCREASE AS ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO
DEEPEN. IN ADDITION...IMPULSES RIDING AROUND BASE OF CENTRAL
PLAINS TROUGH WILL AID IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP NEXT 12
HRS OR SO. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE TO MAXIMIZE AROUND 285K WHERE 18Z
SOUNDING SHOWS SATURATED WARM NOSE NOW SUBFREEZING. NEAR-FREEZING
SATURATED LAYER LIKELY CONTAINS CONSIDERABLE SUPERCOOLED DROPLETS
THAT WILL RESULT IN SOME SLEET AND SNOW GRAINS...BUT FURTHER
LIFTING OF NOSE SHOULD EVENTUALLY YIELD ALL SNOW. COLUMN LIKELY
ALREADY ALL SNOW N AND W OF METROPLEX...PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR SNOW
TO MOVE S AND E THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN STILL LIKELY SE THIS EVENING...GLAZE AND
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE IN SE WWA.
ELSEWHERE...ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE...HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO BE FROM METROPLEX NORTHEASTWARD.

VERY COLD TONIGHT...TEENS NORTHWEST THIRD. WINDS WILL STAY UP
OVERNIGHT. WIND CHILLS MAY APPROACH ZERO F FAR WEST. NO WIND CHILL
ADVISORY NEEDED.

TEMPS THURSDAY HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON SNOWCOVER. EXPECT COOL START
AND FURTHER COLD ADVECTION. DESPITE CLEARING...HIGHS UPPER 20S NW
TO UPPER 30S SE. ANOTHER BITTERLY COLD NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPS WILL REBOUND INTO THE WEEKEND.

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP TOWARD END OF FORECAST PERIOD. POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY SOUTH...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

[TexasStooge]

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NORTH TEXAS WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT BROUGHT VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WINTERY
PRECIPITATION TO NORTH TEXAS TODAY. FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW
WAS REPORTED ACROSS THE REGION AS ICY ROAD CONDITIONS CONTINUED TO
PRESENT A HAZARD FOR DRIVERS. THE PRECIPITATION WAS MOVING FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.

WINDS TODAY HAVE BEEN OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10-20 MPH. THIS
HAS HELPED TO KEEP WIND CHILLS BELOW 25 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES AT 3
PM WERE IN THE LOWER 20S ACROSS THE WESTERN 2/3RDS OF THE REGION. 
THE EASTERN 1/3RD WAS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. THE FRONT HAS
ALREADY MOVED THROUGH MOST OF THE STATE...BUT THE ARCTIC COLD AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURE EXTREMES AT 3
PM WERE 52 DEGREES IN PALESTINE AND 21 DEGREES AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS
IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
735 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-080330-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
735 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

.NOW...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME NORTHWEST AND
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER LOCATIONS THROUGH
6 AM THURSDAY...

A POWERFUL ARCTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
TEXAS THIS EVENING...WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF
A CLARKSVILLE...TYLER...HUNTSVILLE LINE AT 730 PM. THE COLD AIRMASS
HAS OVERSPREAD ALL OF NORTH TEXAS...WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE
20S...EXCEPT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST...WHERE TEMPERATURES WERE
STILL SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH IN SOME SPOTS...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF THE WIND...AND THE COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

MEANWHILE...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO APPROACH
NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING...WITH THE COVERAGE
OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE I-35 CORRIDOR
EASTWARD. A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW IS ANTICIPATED FROM THE
METROPLEX NORTHWARD...WITH FREEZING RAIN MORE LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM BONHAM...TO TERRELL AND WACO.

PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...BUT SUBSTANTIAL ENOUGH TO
CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING OUT ONTO AREA ROADWAYS THIS EVENING. IT
IS ALSO ADVISED THAT YOU CHECK WITH YOUR LOCAL HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT
CONCERNING ROAD CONDITIONS IN YOUR AREA.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

TXZ091>094-102>104-117>120-131>134-080030-

COLLIN-COOKE-DALLAS-DENTON-ELLIS-FANNIN-GRAYSON-HOOD-JOHNSON-
MONTAGUE-PARKER-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-TARRANT-WISE-
530 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 530 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SEVERAL BANDS OF A MIXTURE OF MAINLY LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT SNOW
NORTH OF A GLEN ROSE...TO HILLSBORO...TO ENNIS LINE. THESE BANDS OF
PRECIPITATION WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY SLEET ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GLEN
ROSE...TO MCKINNEY...TO BONHAM LINE. TO THE NORTH OF THIS LINE...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW...AND THEN WILL BE
MOSTLY ALL SNOW FROM BRIDGEPORT...TO BONHAM NORTHWARD.

AT 530 PM...TEMPERATURES WERE BELOW FREEZING ALONG AND WEST OF A
BONHAM...GREENVILLE...CORSICANA...FRANKLIN LINE. THE MIXTURE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE MANY ROADWAYS SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS
IN THESE AREAS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
540 PM CST WED DEC 7 2005

.AVIATION...
LIGHT WINTRY PRECIP WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 06Z OR SO...WHEN ISENTROPIC
LIFT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA. EXPECTING MOSTLY FROZEN PRECIP AS
LOW LEVEL TEMPS COOL EVEN MORE. CIGS/VISBYS WILL BE MOSTLY MVFR WITH
SOME TEMPO IFR. CIGS WILL SCATTER OUT IN THE 15-18Z TIME FRAME.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AROUND 15KT THRU THE PERIOD.  /13

&&

.DISCUSSION...
335 PM CST

IMPULSE EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY HELPING TO SUSTAIN PRECIP MAINLY
NORTH OF I-20. SOME RAIN NE...MAINLY SLEET AND SNOW SHOWERS. SLEET
SHOWER AT NWS FORT WORTH AT THE MOMENT...TEMP 21.5F.

ISENTROPIC LIFT PROGGED TO INCREASE AS ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO
DEEPEN. IN ADDITION...IMPULSES RIDING AROUND BASE OF CENTRAL
PLAINS TROUGH WILL AID IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP NEXT 12
HRS OR SO. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE TO MAXIMIZE AROUND 285K WHERE 18Z
SOUNDING SHOWS SATURATED WARM NOSE NOW SUBFREEZING. NEAR-FREEZING
SATURATED LAYER LIKELY CONTAINS CONSIDERABLE SUPERCOOLED DROPLETS
THAT WILL RESULT IN SOME SLEET AND SNOW GRAINS...BUT FURTHER
LIFTING OF NOSE SHOULD EVENTUALLY YIELD ALL SNOW. COLUMN LIKELY
ALREADY ALL SNOW N AND W OF METROPLEX...PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR SNOW
TO MOVE S AND E THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN STILL LIKELY SE THIS EVENING...GLAZE AND
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE IN SE WWA.
ELSEWHERE...ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE...HEAVIEST
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO BE FROM METROPLEX NORTHEASTWARD.

VERY COLD TONIGHT...TEENS NORTHWEST THIRD. WINDS WILL STAY UP
OVERNIGHT. WIND CHILLS MAY APPROACH ZERO F FAR WEST. NO WIND CHILL
ADVISORY NEEDED.

TEMPS THURSDAY HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON SNOWCOVER. EXPECT COOL START
AND FURTHER COLD ADVECTION. DESPITE CLEARING...HIGHS UPPER 20S NW
TO UPPER 30S SE. ANOTHER BITTERLY COLD NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
TEMPS WILL REBOUND INTO THE WEEKEND.

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP TOWARD END OF FORECAST PERIOD. POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY SOUTH...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

[TexasStooge]

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
442 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     SLEET            FORT WORTH              32.75N  97.34W
12/07/2005                   TARRANT            TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED A QUARTER INCH OF ICE AT
            I-35 AND GOLDEN TRIANGLE.

[TexasStooge]

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
322 PM CST WED DEC 07 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     ICE STORM        GRANBURY                32.44N  97.79W
12/07/2005                   HOOD               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LIGHT SLIGHT OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. MOST ROADS ARE ICY.
            THERE HAVE BEEN OVER 50 ACCIDENTS REPORTED TODAY.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
430 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-081330-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
430 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

.NOW...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
10 AM...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE EXTREME NORTHWEST COUNTIES OF
NORTH TEXAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR REMAINDER OF THE REGION CANCELLED...

PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED EARLY THIS MORNING BUT BITTER NORTHWEST WINDS
CONTINUE OVER THE REGION...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES FALLING BELOW ZERO
IN NORTHWEST PORTIONS. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE AREA ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A COMANCHE...DALLAS...SHERMAN LINE
THROUGH 10 AM. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND WIND SPEEDS
BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL
REMAIN BITTERLY COLD AND DANGEROUS TO THOSE WHO VENTURE OUTDOORS.

ALTHOUGH MAJOR ROAD CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED SINCE YESTERDAY...SOME
PROBLEM AREAS STILL EXIST. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE
STILL SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO LEAVE EARLY
AND EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
510 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005


.AVIATION...
SYSTEM PULLING AWAY AS DENOTED BELOW IN PUBLIC DISCUSSION. STILL
HAVE MVFR CIGS ALL SITES...BUT CIGS WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO VFR
RANGE BY 14-15Z...AS DRIER ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTS TO INFILTRATE THE
AREA. CLEARING LINE SHOULD BE ACROSS I-35 CORRIDOR 16Z-18Z.
OTRW...GDNT AND MIXING UNDER THE FRONTAL INVERSION TO MAINTAIN
GSTY N-NW FLO 15-20KTS...BEFORE SETTLING 8-14KTS BY 21Z. AFTER 00Z
WITH SFC HI SETTLING IN AND DECOUPLING...XPCT LGT/VRB WNDS 3-5 KTS
UNDER SKC CONDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 337 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005/

..WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST THIRD THROUGH MID
MORNING...

DISCUSSION...EXTREMELY DRY AIR (DP -5 TO 5 DEGREES) OFF TO THE
NORTHWEST AND POISED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST THIRD DURING THE
MORNING. COMBINATION OF COLD...WIND AND LOW DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILL VALUES OF ZERO OR LESS UNTIL 1000 AM. THUS WE WILL ISSUE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY NORTHWEST OF A COMANCHE-DALLAS-SHERMAN LINE
UNTIL 1000 AM.

THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS ENDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES SO
WILL CANCEL OUR WINTER WEATHER WARNING/ADVISORY WITH THE RELEASE OF
NEW FORECAST AT 400 AM. HOWEVER...WILL LINGER 20 POPS OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES JUST TO BE SAFE. A PRONOUNCED CLEARING EDGE WAS
ENTERING THE FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES AT 09Z AND SHOULD REACH
BONHAM-DFW-GOLDTHWAITE LINE BY MID MORNING THEN EXIT THE SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH ROADWAYS WILL BE SLICK DURING THE
EARLY MORNING COMMUTE...SUNSHINE...DRY AIR AND WIND WILL HELP
SUBLIMATE GROUND ICE QUICKLY....THUS ROADS WILL BE IN GOOD SHAPE BY
AFTERNOON.

VERY COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS.  RECORD LOW FOR DFW (17 IN
1919) IS EXPECTED TO BE BROKE TONIGHT.  RECORD AT WACO (14 IN 1898)
SHOULD REMAIN INTACT.  ENTIRE AREA WARMS INTO THE 40S FRIDAY WITH
50S EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

EXTENDED...CONFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT WITH COLD TROUGH OFF TO THE EAST
AND A RIDGE OVER TROUGH BLOCK ALONG THE WEST COAST...THUS MODERATING
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL. THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF WESTERLIES
DRIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN BY
MID WEEK. AS FOR COLD FRONT....ONE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS
WEEK...BUT LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES DO NOT INDICATE MUCH COOLING
WITH IT. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT NEXT WEDNESDAY WILL DROP
TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL.

[TexasStooge]

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NORTH TEXAS WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
446 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

THE WINTER STORM THAT PRODUCED THE FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SOME
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...GENERALLY CONTINUED ACROSS THOSE
AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ADDITIONAL
AMOUNTS WERE MINIMAL...EXCEPT DOWN OVER PALESTINE...FAIRFIELD...
CAMERON...HEARNE AND CENTERVILLE...WHERE SOME 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH
AMOUNTS OF ICE WERE REPORTED. GENERALLY...MOST LOCATIONS SAW 1/4 OF
AN INCH OR BELOW OF ICE AND ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET.
CLOUDY SKIES WERE GENERALLY THE RULE OVER THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...
WITH A CLEARING LINE STARTING TO ENTER NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS AS OF 4 AM. NORTH AND NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH
WERE COMBINING WITH BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS
FROM AROUND ZERO AT GRAHAM AND GAINESVILLE...TO THE UPPER TEENS
AROUND HEARNE AND PALESTINE.

AT 4 AM CST...SKIES WERE CLOUDY OVER THE MAJORITY OF NORTH
TEXAS. TEMPERATURE EXTREMES RANGED FROM 14 DEGREES AT GRAHAM WITH A
WIND CHILL OF 2 ABOVE ZERO...TO 28 DEGREES AT PALESTINE WITH A WIND
CHILL OF 20 DEGREES.

[TexasStooge]

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
352 AM CST THU DEC 08 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 AM     ICING ON ROADS   12 NW CAMERON           30.98N  97.12W
12/08/2005                   MILAM              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 36 IMPASSABLE BETWEEN CAMERON AND BUCKHOLTS DUE TO
            ICE.

[TexasStooge]

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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
715 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-081600-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
715 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

.NOW...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH
10 AM...

SKIES WERE CLEARING OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF NORTH
TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING...AS THE CLEARING LINE PUSHED SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION. BY LATE MORNING...ALL BUT THE SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION SHOULD BE SEEING SUNNY SKIES. HOWEVER...
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...OR EVEN BELOW ZERO...UNTIL AT
LEAST 10 AM. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONLY SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW FREEZING WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED.


ALTHOUGH MAJOR ROAD CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED SINCE YESTERDAY...SOME
PROBLEM AREAS STILL EXIST. IN ADDITION...MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE
STILL SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO LEAVE EARLY
AND EXERCISE CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1041 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

.UPDATE...
1040 AM CST

UPDATE TO REMOVE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. MINOR CHANGES OTHERWISE TO
ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS. LOWS MAINLY 10-15F NW THIRD...13.6F AT
NWS FORT WORTH. SOME SINGLE DIGITS IN AREAS OF HIGHEST SNOWCOVER.
DUE TO COLD START...BUMPED DOWN HIGHS A BIT...PARTICULARLY WHERE
SNOW/SLEET AREA WILL BE SUBLIMATING...GENERALLY NORTH OF METROPLEX.
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE COLD ADVECTION...STIFFLING MOST OF THE
WARMTH THE SUN WILL PROVIDE. UPDATE OUT. UPDATED NUMBERS BELOW. 25

&&

.AVIATION...
510 AM CST

SYSTEM PULLING AWAY AS DENOTED BELOW IN PUBLIC DISCUSSION. STILL
HAVE MVFR CIGS ALL SITES...BUT CIGS WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO VFR
RANGE BY 14-15Z...AS DRIER ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTS TO INFILTRATE THE
AREA. CLEARING LINE SHOULD BE ACROSS I-35 CORRIDOR 16Z-18Z.
OTRW...GDNT AND MIXING UNDER THE FRONTAL INVERSION TO MAINTAIN
GSTY N-NW FLO 15-20KTS...BEFORE SETTLING 8-14KTS BY 21Z. AFTER 00Z
WITH SFC HI SETTLING IN AND DECOUPLING...XPCT LGT/VRB WNDS 3-5 KTS
UNDER SKC CONDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
337 AM CST

..WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST THIRD THROUGH MID
MORNING...

DISCUSSION...EXTREMELY DRY AIR (DP -5 TO 5 DEGREES) OFF TO THE
NORTHWEST AND POISED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST THIRD DURING THE
MORNING. COMBINATION OF COLD...WIND AND LOW DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILL VALUES OF ZERO OR LESS UNTIL 1000 AM. THUS WE WILL ISSUE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY NORTHWEST OF A COMANCHE-DALLAS-SHERMAN LINE
UNTIL 1000 AM.

THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS ENDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES SO
WILL CANCEL OUR WINTER WEATHER WARNING/ADVISORY WITH THE RELEASE OF
NEW FORECAST AT 400 AM. HOWEVER...WILL LINGER 20 POPS OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES JUST TO BE SAFE. A PRONOUNCED CLEARING EDGE WAS
ENTERING THE FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES AT 09Z AND SHOULD REACH
BONHAM-DFW-GOLDTHWAITE LINE BY MID MORNING THEN EXIT THE SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH ROADWAYS WILL BE SLICK DURING THE
EARLY MORNING COMMUTE...SUNSHINE...DRY AIR AND WIND WILL HELP
SUBLIMATE GROUND ICE QUICKLY....THUS ROADS WILL BE IN GOOD SHAPE BY
AFTERNOON.

VERY COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS.  RECORD LOW FOR DFW (17 IN
1919) IS EXPECTED TO BE BROKE TONIGHT.  RECORD AT WACO (14 IN 1898)
SHOULD REMAIN INTACT.  ENTIRE AREA WARMS INTO THE 40S FRIDAY WITH
50S EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

EXTENDED...CONFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT WITH COLD TROUGH OFF TO THE EAST
AND A RIDGE OVER TROUGH BLOCK ALONG THE WEST COAST...THUS MODERATING
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL. THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF WESTERLIES
DRIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN BY
MID WEEK. AS FOR COLD FRONT....ONE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS
WEEK...BUT LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES DO NOT INDICATE MUCH COOLING
WITH IT. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT NEXT WEDNESDAY WILL DROP
TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1135 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY.  NORTH TO
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS...WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10
KNOTS BY SUNSET. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT... RESULTING IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. WINDS WILL COME
AROUND TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. #58

&&

.UPDATE...
1040 AM CST

UPDATE TO REMOVE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. MINOR CHANGES OTHERWISE TO
ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS. LOWS MAINLY 10-15F NW THIRD...13.6F AT
NWS FORT WORTH. SOME SINGLE DIGITS IN AREAS OF HIGHEST SNOWCOVER.
DUE TO COLD START...BUMPED DOWN HIGHS A BIT...PARTICULARLY WHERE
SNOW/SLEET AREA WILL BE SUBLIMATING...GENERALLY NORTH OF METROPLEX.
NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE COLD ADVECTION...STIFFLING MOST OF THE
WARMTH THE SUN WILL PROVIDE. UPDATE OUT. UPDATED NUMBERS BELOW. 25

&&

.AVIATION...
510 AM CST

SYSTEM PULLING AWAY AS DENOTED BELOW IN PUBLIC DISCUSSION. STILL
HAVE MVFR CIGS ALL SITES...BUT CIGS WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO VFR
RANGE BY 14-15Z...AS DRIER ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTS TO INFILTRATE THE
AREA. CLEARING LINE SHOULD BE ACROSS I-35 CORRIDOR 16Z-18Z.
OTRW...GDNT AND MIXING UNDER THE FRONTAL INVERSION TO MAINTAIN
GSTY N-NW FLO 15-20KTS...BEFORE SETTLING 8-14KTS BY 21Z. AFTER 00Z
WITH SFC HI SETTLING IN AND DECOUPLING...XPCT LGT/VRB WNDS 3-5 KTS
UNDER SKC CONDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
337 AM CST

..WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE NORTHWEST THIRD THROUGH MID
MORNING...

DISCUSSION...EXTREMELY DRY AIR (DP -5 TO 5 DEGREES) OFF TO THE
NORTHWEST AND POISED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST THIRD DURING THE
MORNING. COMBINATION OF COLD...WIND AND LOW DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN
WIND CHILL VALUES OF ZERO OR LESS UNTIL 1000 AM. THUS WE WILL ISSUE
WIND CHILL ADVISORY NORTHWEST OF A COMANCHE-DALLAS-SHERMAN LINE
UNTIL 1000 AM.

THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS ENDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES SO
WILL CANCEL OUR WINTER WEATHER WARNING/ADVISORY WITH THE RELEASE OF
NEW FORECAST AT 400 AM. HOWEVER...WILL LINGER 20 POPS OVER THE FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES JUST TO BE SAFE. A PRONOUNCED CLEARING EDGE WAS
ENTERING THE FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES AT 09Z AND SHOULD REACH
BONHAM-DFW-GOLDTHWAITE LINE BY MID MORNING THEN EXIT THE SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH ROADWAYS WILL BE SLICK DURING THE
EARLY MORNING COMMUTE...SUNSHINE...DRY AIR AND WIND WILL HELP
SUBLIMATE GROUND ICE QUICKLY....THUS ROADS WILL BE IN GOOD SHAPE BY
AFTERNOON.

VERY COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS.  RECORD LOW FOR DFW (17 IN
1919) IS EXPECTED TO BE BROKE TONIGHT.  RECORD AT WACO (14 IN 1898)
SHOULD REMAIN INTACT.  ENTIRE AREA WARMS INTO THE 40S FRIDAY WITH
50S EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

EXTENDED...CONFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT WITH COLD TROUGH OFF TO THE EAST
AND A RIDGE OVER TROUGH BLOCK ALONG THE WEST COAST...THUS MODERATING
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR NORMAL. THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF WESTERLIES
DRIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN BY
MID WEEK. AS FOR COLD FRONT....ONE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS
WEEK...BUT LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES DO NOT INDICATE MUCH COOLING
WITH IT. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT NEXT WEDNESDAY WILL DROP
TEMPERATURES BACK BELOW NORMAL.

[TexasStooge]

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NORTH TEXAS WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1150 AM CST THU DEC 8 2005

SKIES HAVE STARTED TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AS YESTERDAY'S WINTER
STORM PUSHED FURTHER OUT OF THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES...HOWEVER...HAVE
STAYED VERY COLD WITH WINDCHILLS BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING. 
TEMPERATURES SO FAR TODAY HAVE ONLY BEEN IN THE TEENS OVER THE
PANHANDLE AND 20S OVER THE REMAINDER OF NORTH TEXAS.  EXTREMES
INCLUDED 25 DEGREES IN MESQUITE AND BROWNWOOD...AND 17 DEGREES IN
AMARILLO.  WINDS HAVE BEEN NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
301 PM CST THU DEC 8 2005

CORRECTED TO IMPROVE CLARITY OF LAST PARAGRAPH

.DISCUSSION...
300 PM CST

SNOW/SLEET ON GROUND DIMINISHING STEADILY...DESPITE TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO REACH FREEZING. DEW POINTS ABOVE 10F MOST AREAS...
BUT DRIER AIR REMAINS UPSTREAM. DIMINISHING WINDS AND HUMIDITY
WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR RECORD COLD TONIGHT AS ARCTIC HIGH
SETTLES INTO NORTH TEXAS. CENTER OF RIDGE WILL BE OVER CWA AT
DAYBREAK. SINGLE DIGITS NORTH...TO UPPER TEENS SOUTH. TEENS IN
URBAN DFW...NEAR 10F SOME SUBURBAN AREAS.

SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL PUSH MERCURY ABOVE 40F
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY UNTIL
WEAK FRONT ARRIVES. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE MONDAY OR
TUESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN MIDWEEK...NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN
EXPECTED THOUGH THE CHANCE IS CERTAINLY WELCOMED.

AFTER THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK THIS WEEK...ARCTIC AIR LOOKS TO BE
BOTTLED UP ONCE AGAIN...THOUGH CP AIR WILL OOZE INTO NORTH TEXAS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS. CPC 6-10 AND 8-14DAY OUTLOOKS
KEEP NORTH TEXAS IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.

[TexasStooge]

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NORTH TEXAS WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
200 PM CST THU DEC 8 2005

A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM, NOW EXTENDS STATE WIDE

NORTH TEXAS SKIES HAVE CLEARED. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES HAVE SOARED
TO NEAR 30 DEGREES REGION WIDE. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH PUT A
CHILL IN THE AIR HOWEVER.

OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM SINGLE DIGIT READINGS
ALONG THE RED RIVER TO AROUND 20 DEGREES IN THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF
NORTH TEXAS

[TexasStooge]

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 PM CST THU DEC 8 2005

.AVIATION...
NO WORRIES THIS TAF PERIOD. VFR FOR NEXT 24 HRS. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BEFORE BECOMING
SOUTHERLY BY 16Z. /13

&&

.DISCUSSION...
300 PM CST

SNOW/SLEET ON GROUND DIMINISHING STEADILY...DESPITE TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLING TO REACH FREEZING. DEW POINTS ABOVE 10F MOST AREAS...
BUT DRIER AIR REMAINS UPSTREAM. DIMINISHING WINDS AND HUMIDITY
WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR RECORD COLD TONIGHT AS ARCTIC HIGH
SETTLES INTO NORTH TEXAS. CENTER OF RIDGE WILL BE OVER CWA AT
DAYBREAK. SINGLE DIGITS NORTH...TO UPPER TEENS SOUTH. TEENS IN
URBAN DFW...NEAR 10F SOME SUBURBAN AREAS.

SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL PUSH MERCURY ABOVE 40F
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY UNTIL
WEAK FRONT ARRIVES. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE MONDAY OR
TUESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN MIDWEEK...NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN
EXPECTED THOUGH THE CHANCE IS CERTAINLY WELCOMED.

AFTER THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK THIS WEEK...ARCTIC AIR LOOKS TO BE
BOTTLED UP ONCE AGAIN...THOUGH CP AIR WILL OOZE INTO NORTH TEXAS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS. CPC 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS KEEP
NORTH TEXAS IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.