Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics

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cycloneye
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#581 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 7:55 am

Epsilon is still resisting against all the unfavorable elements around.

Image
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Dec 07, 2005 8:34 am, edited 3 times in total.
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#582 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 7:57 am

HURRICANE EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051207 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051207 1200 051208 0000 051208 1200 051209 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.4N 37.3W 27.1N 38.5W 23.6N 39.1W 19.9N 38.9W
BAMM 29.4N 37.3W 28.1N 38.8W 25.7N 40.0W 22.7N 41.2W
A98E 29.4N 37.3W 28.0N 39.3W 25.7N 40.2W 23.3N 39.1W
LBAR 29.4N 37.3W 28.3N 38.2W 26.4N 38.5W 24.3N 37.9W
SHIP 65KTS 56KTS 42KTS 28KTS
DSHP 65KTS 56KTS 42KTS 28KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051209 1200 051210 1200 051211 1200 051212 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.9N 36.7W 14.3N 27.5W 17.3N 12.1W 22.7N 5.2E
BAMM 20.0N 42.5W 15.6N 45.3W 13.5N 49.5W 12.4N 55.7W
A98E 21.6N 37.4W 19.2N 32.6W 17.9N 26.5W 19.0N 20.9W
LBAR 22.3N 36.5W 21.6N 30.1W 24.3N 22.3W 25.9N 12.0W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.4N LONCUR = 37.3W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 30.7N LONM12 = 34.9W DIRM12 = 226DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 32.3N LONM24 = 33.7W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 110NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 130NM


No change.65kts.
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#583 Postby TheEuropean » Wed Dec 07, 2005 8:19 am

07/1200 UTC 29.4N 37.1W T4.0/4.0 EPSILON -- Atlantic Ocean

Nothing new....
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#584 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Dec 07, 2005 8:28 am

Image
It keeps going and going and going......
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#585 Postby djtil » Wed Dec 07, 2005 8:54 am

is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
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#586 Postby curtadams » Wed Dec 07, 2005 9:41 am

djtil wrote:is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
What movie is THAT from? I want to make sure to miss it. :D :D
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#587 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Dec 07, 2005 9:44 am

curtadams wrote:
djtil wrote:is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
What movie is THAT from? I want to make sure to miss it. :D :D


GOOD ONE! REALLY, GOOD ONE!
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#588 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Dec 07, 2005 9:46 am

curtadams wrote:
djtil wrote:is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
What movie is THAT from? I want to make sure to miss it. :D :D
Tomorrow is always a day away!!!!
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#589 Postby yzerfan » Wed Dec 07, 2005 10:25 am

I'm starting to feel for Avila. He obviously lost the rock-paper-scissors tournament big time and got stuck with all the overnight shifts while Epsilon was active.
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#590 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 12:53 pm

Image

It looks like the definite weakening has commenced as it is less convective and the eye is very ragged and not circular anymore but open.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Dec 07, 2005 1:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#591 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Dec 07, 2005 1:12 pm

:(
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#592 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 1:32 pm

07/1800 UTC 28.7N 38.2W T3.0/4.0 EPSILON -- Atlantic Ocean


Borderline cane/Tropical Storm.They can go both ways at 4 PM EST.
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#593 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 1:49 pm

HURRICANE EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051207 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051207 1800 051208 0600 051208 1800 051209 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 28.7N 38.2W 26.0N 39.0W 22.2N 39.4W 18.7N 38.8W
BAMM 28.7N 38.2W 27.1N 39.1W 24.4N 39.8W 21.5N 40.7W
A98E 28.7N 38.2W 27.1N 40.3W 25.0N 41.1W 22.9N 39.8W
LBAR 28.7N 38.2W 27.5N 38.9W 25.4N 39.0W 23.5N 38.1W
SHIP 65KTS 55KTS 41KTS 27KTS
DSHP 65KTS 55KTS 41KTS 27KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051209 1800 051210 1800 051211 1800 051212 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.9N 37.1W 13.1N 29.9W 14.5N 17.9W 19.6N 3.7W
BAMM 19.0N 41.4W 15.3N 43.1W 13.2N 46.2W 12.0N 51.5W
A98E 21.7N 37.9W 19.7N 33.1W 18.3N 26.2W 19.3N 20.0W
LBAR 22.1N 36.2W 23.0N 29.7W 25.9N 22.1W 27.1N 13.4W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.7N LONCUR = 38.2W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 30.1N LONM12 = 36.0W DIRM12 = 231DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 31.6N LONM24 = 34.2W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 110NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 130NM


Models stayed at 65kts.
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#594 Postby aerojad » Wed Dec 07, 2005 2:01 pm

djtil wrote:is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
Yes, but only after one thunderstorm produces 30 tornadoes at the same time in Los Angeles.
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#595 Postby Buck » Wed Dec 07, 2005 2:06 pm

aerojad wrote:
djtil wrote:is there any chance that epsilon taps into the troposphere causing the instant freeze of the atlantic?
Yes, but only after one thunderstorm produces 30 tornadoes at the same time in Los Angeles.


And another storm produces monster hail in Hong Kong. Or was it Tokyo?
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#596 Postby cycloneye » Wed Dec 07, 2005 2:09 pm

TPNT KGWC 071845
A. HURRICANE EPSILON (TWENTY-NINE)
B. 07/1731Z (127)
C. 28.7N/7
D. 38.1W/2
E. TWO/MET7
F. T3.5/4.0/D0.5/24HRS/STT: W0.5/06HRS -07/1731Z-
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

07A/ PBO 22NM IRRG CLD FLD EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE IS
LOCATED 110NM INTO AN OW GREY SHADE FOR AN E NUMBER
OF T4.0. EYE ADJUSTMENT, SUBTRACTED 0.5 FOR OW EYE
WITHIN AN OW RING YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. FT BASED ON
DT. PT YIELDED A T4.0 WHILE MET YIELDED T2.5.

AODT: T3.6 (CURVED BAND)

KRAMER/KAMINSKI



Air Force T Number also like SSD bordrerline Cane/Tropical Storm.Look how they describe the eye.
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#597 Postby quandary » Wed Dec 07, 2005 3:50 pm

My guess is that it is probably going down now. Of course that, that might make it vengeful and come back like it always does. We'll see.
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#598 Postby P.K. » Wed Dec 07, 2005 3:56 pm

Still a hurricane in the latest advisory. Note it has been issued by the HPC as happens sometimes. :)
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#599 Postby txwatcher91 » Wed Dec 07, 2005 4:03 pm

Team Ragnarok wrote:It seems to be punching a hole in the area of shear ahead of it:

Image


Yeah,this storm has resisted shear and cool water temps. NOW, it appears to be punching a hole right through the shear. I am not surprised it hasn't dissipated yet, as this is hurricane season 2005 with a hurricane that just doesn't know when to stop. They should have maned it Energizer instead :wink: I hate to think what might happen if it makes it to the warm waters around PR. With decreasing shear and warm water temps down there,it could possibly become a cat 3 or higher IMO.
Image
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#600 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Dec 07, 2005 4:12 pm

It is not looking very healthy any more and does not look very much like a hurricane. Shear now appears to be impacting it.
Image
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