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cycloneye
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#161 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 02, 2005 1:43 pm

HURRICANE EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051202 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051202 1800 051203 0600 051203 1800 051204 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.9N 47.9W 35.0N 44.8W 36.0N 42.5W 37.1N 40.7W
BAMM 33.9N 47.9W 34.8N 45.9W 35.3N 44.1W 35.3N 42.0W
A98E 33.9N 47.9W 34.9N 45.9W 35.5N 43.3W 36.0N 39.8W
LBAR 33.9N 47.9W 35.1N 45.5W 36.0N 43.4W 36.6N 41.2W
SHIP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS
DSHP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051204 1800 051205 1800 051206 1800 051207 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.8N 38.9W 43.1N 33.4W 47.7N 18.7W 45.4N .3W
BAMM 35.4N 39.6W 34.3N 35.7W 30.5N 35.2W 27.5N 39.3W
A98E 36.8N 37.3W 38.2N 32.7W 38.1N 29.8W 37.6N 27.7W
LBAR 37.2N 38.8W 38.5N 32.8W 40.6N 28.7W 40.0N 22.2W
SHIP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS
DSHP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.9N LONCUR = 47.9W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 32.5N LONM12 = 49.8W DIRM12 = 47DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 51.4W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 60KT
CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 90NM



Still a hurricane this afternoon according to the 18:00z run of the models.
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#162 Postby P.K. » Fri Dec 02, 2005 1:47 pm

Remember they didn't follow the mid-day model guidance though.

987hPa is nothing special..... (Currently 974hPa here :lol: )
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#163 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 02, 2005 1:48 pm

P.K. wrote:Remember they didn't follow the mid-day model guidance though.

987hPa is nothing special..... (Currently 974hPa here :lol: )


P.K. you will have to watch this one as it may go to your area. :)
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#164 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Dec 02, 2005 1:52 pm

:eek: Holy Crap!! :eek: It's a Cane!
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#165 Postby P.K. » Fri Dec 02, 2005 1:58 pm

Have to admit I haven't really been looking at this in the models. Most of the models seem to show a high blocking it from heading here, but the Met Office model is a bit more complicated.
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#166 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:27 pm

Image
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#167 Postby fuzzyblow » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:42 pm

Jim Hughes wrote:Epsilon's strengthening should not surprise anyone if you have been monitoring space weather activity. We have seen a considerable increase during the prior 36 hours. Especially the last 12 hours.

I wrote about the importance of some energetic particle levels in my AMO discussion. These levels have been reached.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=78570

Certain levels during the past 48 hours have not been seen since around the times of Katrina and Rita.

I will post something later on about what has exactly occurred along with some links.


Jim Hughes


Yes and wow, this is very interesting. I don't understand half of that but it inspiring me so much that I think I'll compose a new music works on that, kind of abstract cosmic drama related to earth climate and human life... with poems and all.
Science always inspiring me, even when I was a rock drummer. :band: :wink: :wink:
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#168 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:46 pm

By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.
Last edited by HURAKAN on Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#169 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:49 pm

actually, Hurricane Nicole occurred in 1998 in the month of December
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#170 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:49 pm

HURAKAN wrote:By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.


Image

Dont forget Olga. :)
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#171 Postby whereverwx » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:56 pm

I don't think Olga counts as a hurricane for the month of December. She was a hurricane on the 26th-29th of November. Though, she did last into December only as a tropical storm. So, I don’t know.
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#172 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:57 pm

Oh forget the above post of Olgas track as she was a hurricane at late november ( 26th to the 29th).I should haved looked first but nobody is perfect. :D
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#173 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:57 pm

cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.


Image

Dont forget Olga. :)


Noel 2001?
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#174 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:58 pm

HURAKAN wrote:By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.


Let me explain myself. The last time we saw a hurricane develop in December (the storm could have formed in November, but reached hurricane status in December) was Lili in 1984.

Nicole reached hurricane status in November and lasted until December 1st as a hurricane.

Olga reached hurricane status in November and dissipated in December.

Therefore, they don't count!
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#175 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:59 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.


Image

Dont forget Olga. :)


Noel 2001?


Noel lasted from Nov. 5 to the 6th!
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#176 Postby P.K. » Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:35 pm

Stacey Stewart must have been reading this thread :lol:

GOING BACK TO 1851... HISTORICAL RECORDS INDICATE EPSILON IS ONLY
THE FIFTH HURRICANE TO FORM DURING THE MONTH OF DECEMBER. OTHER
DECEMBER HURRICANES ARE... UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED 1925... ALICE #2
IN 1954... AND LILI 1984. EPSILON IS ALSO ONLY THE SIXTH HURRICANE
TO EVER OCCUR DURING DECEMBER... INCLUDING UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED
1925... ALICE #2 IN 1954... LILI 1984... AND NICOLE 1998.
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#177 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:50 pm

P.K. wrote:Stacey Stewart must have been reading this thread :lol:

GOING BACK TO 1851... HISTORICAL RECORDS INDICATE EPSILON IS ONLY
THE FIFTH HURRICANE TO FORM DURING THE MONTH OF DECEMBER. OTHER
DECEMBER HURRICANES ARE... UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED 1925... ALICE #2
IN 1954... AND LILI 1984. EPSILON IS ALSO ONLY THE SIXTH HURRICANE
TO EVER OCCUR DURING DECEMBER... INCLUDING UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED
1925... ALICE #2 IN 1954... LILI 1984... AND NICOLE 1998.


Nicole was the one i was thinking of...I knew it was an N
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#178 Postby danman » Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:51 pm

just another day, just another RECORD!!!!!! :eek:
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#179 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:52 pm

Did someone forget to tell Epsilon that this is December?!?!?! This is way past freaking insane!!!! Even a similarity to this year next season will be too much!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#180 Postby f5 » Fri Dec 02, 2005 3:56 pm

Its no suprise to me that 2005 would have a Hurricane in december this year didn't follow the rules of climotology anyways
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