Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics
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- cycloneye
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HURRICANE EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051202 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051202 1800 051203 0600 051203 1800 051204 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.9N 47.9W 35.0N 44.8W 36.0N 42.5W 37.1N 40.7W
BAMM 33.9N 47.9W 34.8N 45.9W 35.3N 44.1W 35.3N 42.0W
A98E 33.9N 47.9W 34.9N 45.9W 35.5N 43.3W 36.0N 39.8W
LBAR 33.9N 47.9W 35.1N 45.5W 36.0N 43.4W 36.6N 41.2W
SHIP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS
DSHP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051204 1800 051205 1800 051206 1800 051207 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.8N 38.9W 43.1N 33.4W 47.7N 18.7W 45.4N .3W
BAMM 35.4N 39.6W 34.3N 35.7W 30.5N 35.2W 27.5N 39.3W
A98E 36.8N 37.3W 38.2N 32.7W 38.1N 29.8W 37.6N 27.7W
LBAR 37.2N 38.8W 38.5N 32.8W 40.6N 28.7W 40.0N 22.2W
SHIP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS
DSHP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.9N LONCUR = 47.9W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 32.5N LONM12 = 49.8W DIRM12 = 47DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 51.4W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 60KT
CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 90NM
Still a hurricane this afternoon according to the 18:00z run of the models.
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051202 1800 051203 0600 051203 1800 051204 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.9N 47.9W 35.0N 44.8W 36.0N 42.5W 37.1N 40.7W
BAMM 33.9N 47.9W 34.8N 45.9W 35.3N 44.1W 35.3N 42.0W
A98E 33.9N 47.9W 34.9N 45.9W 35.5N 43.3W 36.0N 39.8W
LBAR 33.9N 47.9W 35.1N 45.5W 36.0N 43.4W 36.6N 41.2W
SHIP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS
DSHP 65KTS 60KTS 54KTS 49KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051204 1800 051205 1800 051206 1800 051207 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 38.8N 38.9W 43.1N 33.4W 47.7N 18.7W 45.4N .3W
BAMM 35.4N 39.6W 34.3N 35.7W 30.5N 35.2W 27.5N 39.3W
A98E 36.8N 37.3W 38.2N 32.7W 38.1N 29.8W 37.6N 27.7W
LBAR 37.2N 38.8W 38.5N 32.8W 40.6N 28.7W 40.0N 22.2W
SHIP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS
DSHP 45KTS 36KTS 28KTS 19KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.9N LONCUR = 47.9W DIRCUR = 50DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 32.5N LONM12 = 49.8W DIRM12 = 47DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 51.4W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 60KT
CENPRS = 987MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 90NM
Still a hurricane this afternoon according to the 18:00z run of the models.
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- cycloneye
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P.K. wrote:Remember they didn't follow the mid-day model guidance though.
987hPa is nothing special..... (Currently 974hPa here)
P.K. you will have to watch this one as it may go to your area.

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- HurricaneGirl
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- fuzzyblow
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Jim Hughes wrote:Epsilon's strengthening should not surprise anyone if you have been monitoring space weather activity. We have seen a considerable increase during the prior 36 hours. Especially the last 12 hours.
I wrote about the importance of some energetic particle levels in my AMO discussion. These levels have been reached.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=78570
Certain levels during the past 48 hours have not been seen since around the times of Katrina and Rita.
I will post something later on about what has exactly occurred along with some links.
Jim Hughes
Yes and wow, this is very interesting. I don't understand half of that but it inspiring me so much that I think I'll compose a new music works on that, kind of abstract cosmic drama related to earth climate and human life... with poems and all.
Science always inspiring me, even when I was a rock drummer.



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- HURAKAN
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By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.
Last edited by HURAKAN on Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- cycloneye
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Oh forget the above post of Olgas track as she was a hurricane at late november ( 26th to the 29th).I should haved looked first but nobody is perfect. 

Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Dec 02, 2005 2:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- DESTRUCTION5
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- HURAKAN
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HURAKAN wrote:By the way, the last time we saw a hurricane in December was in 1984 when Lili reached hurricane status.
Let me explain myself. The last time we saw a hurricane develop in December (the storm could have formed in November, but reached hurricane status in December) was Lili in 1984.
Nicole reached hurricane status in November and lasted until December 1st as a hurricane.
Olga reached hurricane status in November and dissipated in December.
Therefore, they don't count!
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- P.K.
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Stacey Stewart must have been reading this thread
GOING BACK TO 1851... HISTORICAL RECORDS INDICATE EPSILON IS ONLY
THE FIFTH HURRICANE TO FORM DURING THE MONTH OF DECEMBER. OTHER
DECEMBER HURRICANES ARE... UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED 1925... ALICE #2
IN 1954... AND LILI 1984. EPSILON IS ALSO ONLY THE SIXTH HURRICANE
TO EVER OCCUR DURING DECEMBER... INCLUDING UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED
1925... ALICE #2 IN 1954... LILI 1984... AND NICOLE 1998.

GOING BACK TO 1851... HISTORICAL RECORDS INDICATE EPSILON IS ONLY
THE FIFTH HURRICANE TO FORM DURING THE MONTH OF DECEMBER. OTHER
DECEMBER HURRICANES ARE... UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED 1925... ALICE #2
IN 1954... AND LILI 1984. EPSILON IS ALSO ONLY THE SIXTH HURRICANE
TO EVER OCCUR DURING DECEMBER... INCLUDING UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED
1925... ALICE #2 IN 1954... LILI 1984... AND NICOLE 1998.
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- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
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- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
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P.K. wrote:Stacey Stewart must have been reading this thread
GOING BACK TO 1851... HISTORICAL RECORDS INDICATE EPSILON IS ONLY
THE FIFTH HURRICANE TO FORM DURING THE MONTH OF DECEMBER. OTHER
DECEMBER HURRICANES ARE... UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED 1925... ALICE #2
IN 1954... AND LILI 1984. EPSILON IS ALSO ONLY THE SIXTH HURRICANE
TO EVER OCCUR DURING DECEMBER... INCLUDING UNNAMED 1887... UNNAMED
1925... ALICE #2 IN 1954... LILI 1984... AND NICOLE 1998.
Nicole was the one i was thinking of...I knew it was an N
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