My outlook for Tommorow Through Monday..Map included!

weatherlover427 · #21 Postby **weatherlover427** » Fri May 23, 2003 9:10 pm

Looks good overall.

Keep up the good work.

therock1811 · #22 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 10:35 am

Yeah... couldn't have done that without King. He provided the background map if you will. Thanks again, King!

Rainband · #23 Postby **Rainband** » Sat May 24, 2003 3:31 pm

Thanks King!! Nice map..keep us updated!! :wink:

therock1811 · #24 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 4:37 pm

I'll update this map btwn 9-10pm so stay tuned!
Jeremy

Rainband · #25 Postby **Rainband** » Sat May 24, 2003 4:56 pm

therock1811 wrote:I'll update this map btwn 9-10pm so stay tuned!
Jeremy

Sorry Jeremy. :oops:

.Good forecast!!! :wink:

therock1811 · #26 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 6:32 pm

That's alright buddy, didn't think I could do it did you?

Rainband · #27 Postby **Rainband** » Sat May 24, 2003 6:38 pm

therock1811 wrote:That's alright buddy, didn't think I could do it did you?

You can do anything you can put your mind to..YOU did GREAT!! :wink:

therock1811 · #28 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 8:00 pm

This is my probability map for tomorrow. Actually, this one is extremely close to the SPC's forecast. Will have a similar map up in a few listing categories (slight, mod., high).

therock1811 · #29 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 8:10 pm

Notice there are 2 areas at risk tomorrow. The first is in Northern MS, extreme Western AL, and Eastern AR as well as extreme NE LA. The second is in Northern TX. Tornadoes are not to be ruled out, but hail and wind are the primary threats in these areas, as well as heavy rain and vivid cloud-to-ground lightning.

mf_dolphin · #30 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Sat May 24, 2003 9:20 pm

Good job Jeremy! Keep those maps coming :-)

ColdFront77 · #31 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat May 24, 2003 9:24 pm

I assume these maps are easy to make, not sure how you just learn how to make them (all at once).

therock1811 · #32 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 24, 2003 9:40 pm

I had a bit of help. But they are easy.
Mf, I'll do that. Look for more tomorrow.

therock1811 · #33 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 11:58 am

I'm getting ready to put up some info for this afternoon's wx... stay tuned!
Jeremy

therock1811 · #34 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 12:16 pm

This is a probability map for 60+ mph winds. The three areas of greatest concern are C ID and extreme W MT... W TX and E NM... and eastern portions of GA, SC and NC.

This hail probability map essentially outlines the three areas of greatest concern mentioned above. However... the hail threat area in TX/NM is expanded to also include southern and central CO... as well as portions of N CO.

therock1811 · #35 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 12:20 pm

BTW... I did not include a tornado prob. map... you should still be on the alert as they are still possible.

therock1811 · #36 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 2:47 pm

Cape in the Denver area was 6.66 at 12Z. However, at Charleston, it was in the 1983 range. Keep an eye to the skies in the SE this afternoon.

therock1811 · #37 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 2:49 pm

Jacksonville, FL had a CAPE of 1963.7 at 12Z. Needless to say, things are gonna get interesting in the next 2-3 hours, if it isn't storming already!
Jeremy

Stormsfury · #38 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sun May 25, 2003 3:24 pm

therock1811 wrote:Jacksonville, FL had a CAPE of 1963.7 at 12Z. Needless to say, things are gonna get interesting in the next 2-3 hours, if it isn't storming already!
Jeremy

The seabreeze boundary isn't penetrating inland ATT in that area.
There may be too much of a capping inversion and/or lack of a triggering mechanism to initiate thunderstorms right now. However, those numbers do support the potential for some strong development if a triggering mechanism can get storms going.

ColdFront77 · #39 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun May 25, 2003 3:29 pm

That's true, Mike. The numbers do support potential for some strong development in the Jacksonville area if and when there is a triggering mechanism... there must be a CAP, which was known about; otherwise there wouldn't be only a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms for the northern Florida. A 20 percent chance means about one-fifth of the area being forecast will see rain.

therock1811 · #40 Postby **therock1811** » Sun May 25, 2003 7:35 pm

Stay tuned... update out momentarily!
Jeremy

My outlook for Tommorow Through Monday..Map included!

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