Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics

[cycloneye]

An eye feature trys to pop up but some dry air from the north also is trying to wrap around the center.

[wxman57]

Here's a little closer shot. Not a true eye, but nice structure today.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/epsilon8.gif">

[quandary]

Convection looks shallow at the moment. Still, its getting organized and convection can form quickly.

[cjrciadt]

Not a true eye, but it looks like one?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Epsilon's structure has clearly gotten much better.

[JamesFromMaine2]

well its looking alot better IMO then Delta ever did! If only the convection could increase then I think it would be well on its way to becoming a Hurricane! On WV it looks like the Dry air is almost gone or atleast the very dry air is almost gone!

[cycloneye]

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EPSILON AT 30/1500 UTC IS NEAR
30.7N 53.9W OR ABOUT 565 NM/1050 KM EAST OF BERMUDA...AND ABOUT
1400 NM/2590 KM WEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. EPSILON IS MOVING
WEST 8 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB.
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/
WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/WTNT24 KNHC AND THE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER
MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EPSILON HAS BEEN
STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE CENTER OF
EPSILON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 190 NM/350 KM
FROM THE CENTER. LARGE OCEAN SWELLS THAT ARE BEING GENERATED
WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF EPSILON WILL MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD AND
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY SURF AND ROUGH WAVE CONDITIONS AROUND
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH EPSILON IS NOT
EXPECTED TO AFFECT BERMUDA DIRECTLY. EPSILON HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WRAPPING AROUND ABOUT
75 PERCENT OF THE CENTER. THE GENERAL SENSE OF THE FORECAST
TRACK FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS IS THAT EPSILON WILL MOVE WEST...
SLOW DOWN ITS FORWARD SPEED AND/OR STALL...AND THEN BE SHOT TO
THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST AS TROUGH APPROACHES IT FROM THE
WEST. IT IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL...AND STILL BE A
SIGNIFICANT FEATURE...AFTER 72 HOURS. SOME MIDDLE LEVEL DRY AIR
IS MIXING ITSELF AROUND THE CENTER. THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES
OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE CENTER OF EPSILON
HAVE BEEN WARMING DURING THE LAST 3 TO 4 HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED
TO SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FOUND FROM 27N TO 32N BETWEEN 49W AND 57W. THE SOUTHERN END OF
A STATIONARY FRONT REACHES 34N57W...NORTHWEST OF EPSILON.
A WARM FRONT IS ABOUT 750 TO 800 NM NORTHEAST OF EPSILON.
EPSILON FINDS ITSELF ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY BURIED
IN A BROAD AREA OF DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW. SURFACE CYCLONIC
FLOW AROUND EPSILON COVERS THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 21N TO 36N
BETWEEN 40W AND 60W. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS SEEN
ALONG 26N57W 20N59W 12N65W RUNNING FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. A SOLID AREA OF DRY AIR IS
WITHIN 250 TO 600 NM TO THE WEST OF EPSILON. THIS DRY AIR IS
FOUND NORTH OF 22N BETWEEN 59W AND 67W...AND SOUTH OF EPSILON
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 45W AND 67W.

1 PM EST discussion.

[f5]

looks like a clone of vince

[JamesFromMaine2]

30/1745 UTC 30.0N 54.2W T3.0/3.0 EPSILON -- Atlantic Ocean

[cjrciadt]

60kt!!

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051130 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051130 1800 051201 0600 051201 1800 051202 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 30.1N 54.2W 30.0N 53.8W 30.6N 51.3W 32.2N 48.0W
BAMM 30.1N 54.2W 30.2N 54.4W 30.5N 53.1W 31.6N 50.5W
A98E 30.1N 54.2W 29.3N 55.3W 28.8N 53.3W 29.4N 49.2W
LBAR 30.1N 54.2W 30.1N 54.4W 30.4N 53.5W 31.3N 51.9W
SHIP 60KTS 62KTS 62KTS 58KTS
DSHP 60KTS 62KTS 62KTS 58KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051202 1800 051203 1800 051204 1800 051205 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.0N 44.9W 36.9N 41.4W 40.2N 40.0W 44.7N 38.1W
BAMM 33.0N 47.8W 34.4N 43.9W 35.5N 40.2W 36.6N 36.3W
A98E 30.5N 43.9W 31.6N 36.2W 33.4N 28.5W 36.5N 23.9W
LBAR 32.1N 49.8W 32.6N 45.1W 32.5N 39.8W 32.8N 33.2W
SHIP 53KTS 42KTS 35KTS 33KTS
DSHP 53KTS 42KTS 35KTS 33KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 30.1N LONCUR = 54.2W DIRCUR = 240DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 31.1N LONM12 = 52.5W DIRM12 = 251DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 50.8W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 990MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 120NM RD34NW = 190NM

[JamesFromMaine2]

yup 60kts and pressure down 3mb to 990!

[CHRISTY]

maybe it will make to cane status...

[DESTRUCTION5]

maybe it will make to cane status...

It should...

[HURAKAN]

[Brent]

Geez... I guess this should be asked, has there ever been a hurricane in December? Peter briefly got close in 2003...

[sponger]

We will be watching to se if that swell can make it to the east coast. I have never surfed a hurricane swell in Dec. If its 2 foot I'll still be on it!

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Hurricane LILI 12-24 DEC 1984 WIND 70 KT PRES 980 MB

One of a few

[cjrciadt]

Now moving S.?

[DESTRUCTION5]

5 more MPH to put the season for canes way in the history books..