EATS OUT on August 9, 2005

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dhweather
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EATS OUT on August 9, 2005

#1 Postby dhweather » Tue Aug 09, 2005 2:34 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Eastern Atlantic Tropical Summary - EATS OUT on August 9, 2005

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/eats20050809.jpg">

The intensity of the dry air, particularly near the equator at 30 degrees,
is unbelievable. I'm talking 7th layer of hell dry. Remarkable.
Not far to the north, it's rather dry too. So yes, dry air continues
to dominate the Eastern Atlantic. This dry air will continue to severely
inhibit the development of tropical waves into tropical cyclones.

We do have to tropical waves, one near 25 degrees, and another near 40.
Neither of these are well defined, and I do not expect tropical cyclone
development from them in the next 24-48 hours. The dry air is hurting
these guys badly.

A small upper level low near 40W/15N will also be an inhibitor for the
tropical wave just to its south.
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#2 Postby SkeetoBite » Tue Aug 09, 2005 2:42 pm

I love these updates. I like the names too!
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#3 Postby dhweather » Tue Aug 09, 2005 2:45 pm

SkeetoBite wrote:I love these updates. I like the names too!


It's all in the marketing! :lol:

Thanks, I'm glad you like them!!
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 3:01 pm

thank you for the updates...man, that is VERY dry...don't worry mjo is on the way...lol
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#5 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 09, 2005 3:18 pm

Conditions west of where TD Irene is now have become a lot more favorable moisture-wise... earlier there was a lot of dry air there that was hurting Irene, along with the shear. Now things have gotten more forgiving, at least for the time being.

The tropical waves coming off Africa must now be saying, "SAL, you're hurting me!". There is a lot of dry air to the north and south... seems to be "squishing" the systems through a tight area of moister air.

The SAL probably won't last all season, though. By the end of the next two weeks (at the most), the SAL should probably be more of a watcher from the sidelines. Even if it is somewhat strong, waves will still develop, although they will probably be somewhat limited (e.g., only the stronger or better organized {"chosen"} waves develop) and moderate. The favorable MJO should help soon enough...
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#6 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 09, 2005 3:20 pm

That new dry air mass (I won't call it s-a-l, that'll make people frustrated :) ) doesn't seem to be as strong, especially out on that western edge. Maybe it'll moisten up in a week or so, and we could still get something out of that wave.

BTW, it's always nice to have these mid-afternoon, gives me something intersting to do :D !
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#7 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 09, 2005 3:21 pm

Sorry about calling it "S-A-L"... :cry:
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MiamiensisWx

#8 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:07 pm

Can I call it SAL now?
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#9 Postby senorpepr » Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:49 pm

No :wink:
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#10 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Nov 30, 2005 12:12 am

SAL was the most OVERRATED feature of the 2005 season. Like it really prevented us from having an active season. :roll:
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#11 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 1:02 am

Stormcenter wrote:SAL was the most OVERRATED feature of the 2005 season. Like it really prevented us from having an active season. :roll:


Yeah, it was mostly the excessive shear in the eastern Atlantic that prevented a huge CV season.
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#12 Postby NCHurricane » Wed Nov 30, 2005 7:51 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:SAL was the most OVERRATED feature of the 2005 season. Like it really prevented us from having an active season. :roll:


Yeah, it was mostly the excessive shear in the eastern Atlantic that prevented a huge CV season.


And just think if the shear was just a little less severe...even a little. We could have had 5-6 more named storms. We could be watching TS Kappa or Lambda instead of Epislon.

34-35 storms in one season. Wouldn't have that been something? :lol:
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#13 Postby jasons2k » Wed Nov 30, 2005 7:55 pm

Wow - this brings back memories. Seems like 2 years ago now. Just a few weeks before this, quite a few people declared the season dead due to SAL ....we even had a poll if we expected Dr. Gray to lower his forecast numbers...hehe.
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#14 Postby Scorpion » Wed Nov 30, 2005 9:47 pm

Lol I remember in early-mid August I was getting quite frustrated and thought the rest of the season would be sheared TS's due to the SAL and the shear.
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#15 Postby mike815 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 11:09 pm

yeah too bad it wasnt its kinda funny looking back at stuff like that.
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#16 Postby Brent » Thu Dec 01, 2005 12:09 am

Those were the days... middle of August and almost every thread was about how the season was a dud, boring, lame, and over. :lol:
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