Will this happen again somewhere in the US? only 2006 knows.

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CHRISTY

Will this happen again somewhere in the US? only 2006 knows.

#1 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:19 pm

ImageImageImageafter listening to the noaa press conference today i truly believe hurricanes like katrina will become something normal in upcoming hurricanes seasons all signs indicate such but of course we just to wait... but for me and my family i will take these six months and prepare for what may be another extremely active hurricane season.
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#2 Postby hicksta » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:26 pm

Dont say that i like my house!!!
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Re: Will this happen again somewhere in the US? only 2006 kn

#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:37 pm

CHRISTY wrote:after listening to the noaa press conference today i truly believe hurricanes like katrina will become something normal in upcoming hurricanes seasons all signs indicate such but of course we just to wait... but for me and my family i will take these six months and prepare for what may be another extremely active hurricane season.


Well in terms of destruction- possibly normal...but

Please explain what signs you refer to when you say "all signs indicate
such". I don't mean to be picky or anything...but I also have theories
concerning global warming's impact on the intensity of storms due
to higher SSTs and oceanic heat contents...just want to see your
reasons... :wink:
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Tue Nov 29, 2005 9:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:46 pm

It has always been a risk that such a storm would hit somewhere in the US and it will always remain a risk. It's just a matter of where and when. As nasty as Katrina was, I shudder to think what would have happened if Katrina had been more like the size and power of Carla in 1961 when it hit.

Steve
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:49 pm

Carla was never a cat5 it had a pressure of 931 millibars!
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#6 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Nov 29, 2005 8:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Carla was never a cat5 it had a pressure of 931 millibars!


Winds are determined by pressure Gradient, not pressure alone. :wink:
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#7 Postby Scorpion » Tue Nov 29, 2005 10:02 pm

Wow, I never realized just how huge Katrina was. She definitely dwarfed Floyd. I cannot imagine a hurricane that big bearing down on Florida from the east. That would be incredible.
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#8 Postby Aslkahuna » Tue Nov 29, 2005 11:36 pm

I was talking about Carla's intensity at landfall and not at sea, Carla produced 172 mph measured gusts at Port Lavaca TX with a storm surge over 20 feet. More importantly, Carla was larger than Katrina with hurricane force winds out 175 miles from the center and is considered as second in size only to the Great Atlantic Hurricane of 1944. What I was trying to impress on everyone the potential for disaster should another Carla size and intensity storm hit.

Steve
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#9 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Nov 30, 2005 12:59 am

Incidentally, FWIW the track data I have been able to retrieve shows Carla as a Cat 5 storm with 150kt winds with a Cat 4 landfall. I don't know if the storm has been reanalyzed yet or not though. I suspect that the maximum intensity will be downgraded to a 4. Carla peaked close to shore so it's hard to say if the surge can give any clues. Certainly it was a rather blustery storm to say the least.

Steve
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Anonymous

#10 Postby Anonymous » Wed Nov 30, 2005 4:24 am

Aslkahuna wrote:Incidentally, FWIW the track data I have been able to retrieve shows Carla as a Cat 5 storm with 150kt winds with a Cat 4 landfall. I don't know if the storm has been reanalyzed yet or not though. I suspect that the maximum intensity will be downgraded to a 4. Carla peaked close to shore so it's hard to say if the surge can give any clues. Certainly it was a rather blustery storm to say the least.

Steve


It looks like a similar thing happened to Carla that did Katrina. They each peaked at 175 mph, but weakened to Category 4's before landfall.
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Re: Will this happen again somewhere in the US? only 2006 kn

#11 Postby f5 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 12:35 pm

CHRISTY wrote:ImageImageImageafter listening to the noaa press conference today i truly believe hurricanes like katrina will become something normal in upcoming hurricanes seasons all signs indicate such but of course we just to wait... but for me and my family i will take these six months and prepare for what may be another extremely active hurricane season.


Katrina takes up the entire GOM.How common is it to see a hurricane that Big &powerful also beautiful with that annular structure.Recon called her the perfect storm i can see why she is as neat&organized as any hurricane can get.NHC in their advisories always says Katrina is a VERY LARGE HURRICANE.were they calling her fat?
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MiamiensisWx

#12 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Nov 30, 2005 12:39 pm

JUST INCREDIBLE.
Image
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#13 Postby f5 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 12:49 pm

Image
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#14 Postby Swimdude » Wed Nov 30, 2005 1:43 pm

Oh, memories of this year. They'll last a lifetime for most of us. I must admit, in Houston, the only way we were effected by the season was the "Rita scare."

I drove through Beaumont and Lake Charles to Lafayette for Thanksgiving... And i'm glad I had nothing do with that storm... Gave me a new appriciation. That's the first hurricane damage i've ever seen. All those blue tarps...
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