Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics

[cjrciadt]

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html
Now on Epsilon

[Recurve]

what is keeping these storms from keeping west into the eastern us? is it even possible now in the season with the current weather pattern?

Cold fronts sweeping across the US won't allow anything to track very far west.

[wxman57]

what is keeping these storms from keeping west into the eastern us? is it even possible now in the season with the current weather pattern?

Giant upper-level trof developing along the east U.S. coast and constant cold fronts pushing out into the Atlantic. Nothing to keep them moving west to the U.S..

[HURAKAN]

Epsilon establishes a new record aside from being the 26th storm, this system is the third names storm in November and that has never happened before since records began.

[mike815]

Whoa geez another record. Commonplace now.

[EDR1222]

Just found out about Epsilon. I have to say, this is absolutely incredible.

[caribepr]

my god i seriously hope 2005 is not a sign of things to come in 2006 because once the cape verde season starts its gonna get very scary for us in the US especially for FLORIDA because i believe if conditions around africa would have been a little more favorable in 2005 we would have had 30 some storms.... so 2006 iam waiting!

Sigh. We've been so fortunate here and we know it...our weather talk is about 2006 and the odds, but frankly, we have basically put it to bed here on Culebra - knowing that whatever will happen will happen, and in the meantime life is to be lived regardless. We'll donate the extra hurricane food and other preps (market is this weekend, for the Catholic church charities), and start all over again, enjoying the season of what we call winter.
Sadly, others in the States will, if they are wise, or already have, begin to live this way now...always aware of it, always ready and thinking of ways to be more ready. Solar anyone?

[mvtrucking]

my god i seriously hope 2005 is not a sign of things to come in 2006 because once the cape verde season starts its gonna get very scary for us in the US especially for FLORIDA because i believe if conditions around africa would have been a little more favorable in 2005 we would have had 30 some storms.... so 2006 iam waiting!

Sigh. We've been so fortunate here and we know it...our weather talk is about 2006 and the odds, but frankly, we have basically put it to bed here on Culebra - knowing that whatever will happen will happen, and in the meantime life is to be lived regardless. We'll donate the extra hurricane food and other preps (market is this weekend, for the Catholic church charities), and start all over again, enjoying the season of what we call winter.
Sadly, others in the States will, if they are wise, or already have, begin to live this way now...always aware of it, always ready and thinking of ways to be more ready. Solar anyone?

Solar is a excellent option. My Uncle up in the Pacific Northwest has been using it in his log home in the mountains for 15 years with a couple of upgrades. He swears by it.
Back to topic: Unbelievable season. Is this it?

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051130 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051130 0000 051130 1200 051201 0000 051201 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.4N 51.5W 31.9N 52.8W 32.5N 54.1W 32.7N 54.8W
BAMM 31.4N 51.5W 31.6N 53.0W 32.1N 54.4W 32.3N 55.4W
A98E 31.4N 51.5W 31.6N 53.0W 31.3N 54.4W 32.0N 54.6W
LBAR 31.4N 51.5W 32.0N 52.5W 32.9N 53.3W 33.9N 53.9W
SHIP 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS 53KTS
DSHP 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS 53KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051202 0000 051203 0000 051204 0000 051205 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.7N 53.5W 34.2N 47.1W 35.7N 43.7W 38.8N 40.2W
BAMM 32.0N 54.9W 31.0N 48.0W 32.9N 41.8W 34.7N 39.3W
A98E 33.1N 53.4W 36.9N 49.5W 37.8N 44.5W 38.4N 39.0W
LBAR 35.3N 54.2W 37.2N 51.9W 39.4N 45.8W 41.6N 38.9W
SHIP 56KTS 56KTS 55KTS 51KTS
DSHP 56KTS 56KTS 55KTS 51KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.4N LONCUR = 51.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 31.6N LONM12 = 50.0W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 30.9N LONM24 = 48.3W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 130NM RD34NW = 180NM



The 00:00z Models are unchanged in the intensity still at 45kts.

[cjrciadt]

You can see the true LLC now pretty organized.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Pretty tight system...Convection appears to be on the increase. Come on become a hurricane!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Pretty tight system...Convection appears to be on the increase. Come on become a hurricane!

Allright let's be careful with the hurricane wishing...
The voodoo has made this season insane...

[johngaltfla]

Epsilon establishes a new record aside from being the 26th storm, this system is the third names storm in November and that has never happened before since records began.

Another record?

[danman]

holy sheesh kabob!

[P.K.]

WHXX01 KWBC 300626
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051130 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051130 0600 051130 1800 051201 0600 051201 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.2N 52.2W 31.7N 53.6W 31.9N 54.6W 31.8N 53.9W
BAMM 31.2N 52.2W 31.5N 53.7W 31.7N 54.9W 31.7N 55.1W
A98E 31.2N 52.2W 31.2N 53.5W 30.8N 54.3W 31.9N 53.8W
LBAR 31.2N 52.2W 31.5N 53.0W 32.5N 53.5W 33.4N 53.9W
SHIP 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS 50KTS
DSHP 45KTS 46KTS 48KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051202 0600 051203 0600 051204 0600 051205 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 32.4N 50.6W 35.7N 45.2W 39.2N 42.9W 46.0N 40.4W
BAMM 31.4N 52.9W 32.5N 45.5W 34.6N 41.0W 36.8N 36.0W
A98E 33.4N 51.6W 37.2N 47.2W 39.5N 42.4W 41.5N 36.0W
LBAR 34.6N 53.4W 36.5N 51.2W 39.1N 45.8W 41.9N 38.7W
SHIP 51KTS 49KTS 48KTS 45KTS
DSHP 51KTS 49KTS 48KTS 45KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.2N LONCUR = 52.2W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 31.4N LONM12 = 50.8W DIRM12 = 262DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 31.3N LONM24 = 49.1W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 130NM RD34NW = 180NM

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

26 named storms....

If we had named storms with the letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z....We'd be holding our breath for Alpha right now!

[HurricaneGirl]

Who'd of thunk it??

[coriolis]

Who'd of thunk it??

Holy Crap!

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051130 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051130 1200 051201 0000 051201 1200 051202 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 30.8N 53.5W 31.0N 54.4W 31.0N 54.2W 31.7N 51.6W
BAMM 30.8N 53.5W 30.9N 54.6W 31.0N 55.0W 31.2N 53.3W
A98E 30.8N 53.5W 30.4N 55.1W 29.9N 54.4W 31.1N 51.1W
LBAR 30.8N 53.5W 31.2N 54.3W 31.7N 54.5W 32.6N 53.9W
SHIP 50KTS 52KTS 53KTS 53KTS
DSHP 50KTS 52KTS 53KTS 53KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051202 1200 051203 1200 051204 1200 051205 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.3N 49.2W 36.5N 46.2W 41.3N 45.2W 51.1N 42.9W
BAMM 32.2N 50.8W 34.1N 46.9W 36.0N 43.8W 38.7N 39.1W
A98E 32.4N 46.1W 33.9N 39.0W 33.8N 33.1W 35.2N 28.6W
LBAR 33.8N 52.9W 34.1N 49.6W 33.8N 43.7W 34.2N 38.4W
SHIP 52KTS 48KTS 45KTS 40KTS
DSHP 52KTS 48KTS 45KTS 40KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 30.8N LONCUR = 53.5W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 31.4N LONM12 = 51.5W DIRM12 = 259DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 31.6N LONM24 = 50.0W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 180NM


12:00z models has the winds increased to 50kts.