TS Delta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[P.K.]

OK...it's not often you read these words "DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE
IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A MOSTLY EASTWARD TRACK INTO
MOROCCO..."

Might be a while before you see them again.

Going by this season I'm starting to believe it is only a matter of time before I get a tropical system over here........

[P.K.]

Latest from La Palma:

METAR GCLA 281330Z 20034G50KT 4000 +RA OVC015 20/17 Q1002 NOSIG

[quandary]

Well... Delta's dead officially, tropically and finally. Only a few more days before the season is "over." Epsilon coming next week might drag us into overtime though...

[jusforsean]

what is with the disturbance around cuba? Any info

[Weatherfreak14]

NHC has posted finial advisory on delta. Looks delta has moved on. Hopefully this is the last one.

[no advance]

What about the disturbance out in the central atlantic at 12n 40w?

[HURAKAN]

What about the disturbance out in the central atlantic at 12n 40w?

I don't think it has even the smallest chance of becoming anything else than just a disturbance.

[wxman57]

I'm looking for a good satellite image of Delta, like this one, but without the writing on it. Didn't see any on MODIS.

[P.K.]

Some strong gusts at La Palma.

METAR GCLA 281730Z 25041G72KT 210V280 7000 RA OVC015 24/16 Q0993 NOSIG
GCLA 281800Z 26046G67KT 3000 +RA OVC015 20/16 Q0993 NOSIG

Note: 10 minute average winds used here.

[cjrciadt]

Some strong gusts at La Palma.

METAR GCLA 281730Z 25041G72KT 210V280 7000 RA OVC015 24/16 Q0993 NOSIG
GCLA 281800Z 26046G67KT 3000 +RA OVC015 20/16 Q0993 NOSIG

Note: 10 minute average winds used here.

I forgot the math to convert to one minute averages! I know it will be enough for a Cat1, but not the exact numbers.
Thanks P.K., just found them in the Bertie thread.

[P.K.]

46kts sustained goes to 53kts sustained for one minute averages. The 67 and 72kt readings are three second gusts.

[Dick Pache]

From NHC 10 am TS Delta Discussion #20

THIS WILL BE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON DELTA BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. FUTURE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN METEO-FRANCE ATLANTIQUE
METAREA-II MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW...
AND IN MARINE BULLETINS ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER FONT50 LFPW.

[AZS]

METAR GCLA 282000Z 28040G82KT 240V330 9999 SCT015 27/10 Q0991 NOSIG


94 mph gust

[P.K.]

Pressure is still falling there as well. That gust ratio is rather large there.

[P.K.]

I'm reading reports that at least 6 people have died after their boat got into difficulty. (No point in posting a link as it is just to another forum but I trust the person who has posted the news articles although they are without links)

[HURAKAN]

[senorpepr]

Not often does the USAF's 21st Operational Weather Squadron at Sembach, Germany get to post data on a tropical system:

http://ows.public.sembach.af.mil/GifIma ... atanal.gif

[yzerfan]

Via google translation:

http://translate.google.com/translate?h ... en%26lr%3D

ORIGIN: TOULOUSE Weather-France

BULLETIN CYCLONES OF MONDAY NOVEMBER 28, 2005

The ATLANTIC:

STRONG TROPICAL STORM "DELTA"
POSITION: 30.2 NORTH 23.3 WEST 28/09 UTC (A 300 Nm A WEST
The North-West OF The CANARIES).
DISPLACEMENT: IS North-eastern (75) A 25 NDS.
PRESSURE ESTIMEE IN THE CENTER: 988 HPA.
WIND MAX (AVERAGE ON 1 MINUTE) CLOSE TO THE CENTER: 55 NDS, GUSTS 65
NDS.
WIND SUP. To 50 NDS UNTIL A 60 Nm OF The CENTER.
WIND SUP. To 34 NDS UNTIL A 125 Nm OF The CENTER.
POSITION PREVUE 29/06 UTC: 30.3 NORTH 13.0 WEST.
PHENOMENON BECOMING Extra-Tropical.


http://www.meteo.fr/marine/naviweb/bulletins/RFI.html

DE METEO-FRANCE :

- VITESSE DU VENT EN ECHELLE BEAUFORT
- ATTENTION : EN SITUATION NORMALE, LES RAFALES PEUVENT ETRE
SUPERIEURES DE 40% AU VENT MOYEN ET LES VAGUES MAXIMALES ATTEINDRE
2 FOIS LA HAUTEUR SIGNIFICATIVE.


BULLETIN METEO MARINE POUR RADIO FRANCE INTERNATIONALE
.
DATE : LUNDI 28 NOVEMBRE 2005
.
POUR RIDGE, EST BERMUDES, COLORADO, IRVING, MADEIRA, AGADIR,
TARFAYA, METEOR, CANARIAS COUP DE VENT A TEMPETE EN COURS OU PREVU.

.
SITUATION GENERALE LE LUNDI 28 NOVEMBRE 2005 A 00H UTC ET EVOLUTION
:

TEMPETE TROPICALE "DELTA" 988 HPA PAR 30.2 NORD ET 23.3 OUEST LE 28
A 09 UTC, SE DEPLACE VERS L'EST A NORD-EST 25 NDS. VENT MAX. PRES
DU CENTRE ATTEIGNANT 50 NDS AVEC DES RAFALES A 65 NDS. ELLE EST
PREVUE PAR 30.3 NORD ET 13.0 OUEST LE 29 A 06 UTC.
DEPRESSION 1018 HPA PAR 54 NORD ET 47 OUEST SE DEPLACE VERS LE NORD
EN SE CREUSANT. FRONT FROID ET TALWEG ASSOCIE SUR L'OUEST DE
FLEMISH SE DECALANT VERS L'EST.
DEPRESSION 1008 HPA PAR 48 NORD ET 17 OUEST, SE DEPLACE VERS LE
SUD-OUEST. ELLE EST PREVUE PAR 37 NORD ET 10 OUEST LE 29 A 12 UTC.
DEPRESSION 1001 HPA PAR 31 NORD ET 46 OUEST SE CREUSE PRATIQUEMENT
SUR PLACE.
ANTICYCLONE 1030 HPA PAR 52 NORD ET 34 OUEST, SE DECALE LENTEMENT
VERS LE SUD-EST. IL EST PREVU 1026 HPA PAR 44 NORD ET 27 OUEST LE
29 A 12 UTC.
ANTICYCLONE 1032 HPA CENTRE SUR LA NOUVELLE-ECOSSE, PREVU 1036 HPA
AU SUD-EST IMMEDIAT DE TERRE-NEUVE LE 29 A 12 UTC.
.
PREVISIONS PAR ZONES JUSQU'AU MARDI 29 NOVEMBRE A 12H UTC :

Babelfish translation:

NSXX60 LFPW 281036

ORIGIN: METEO-FRANCE TOULOUSE

METEO-FRANCE:

- SPEED OF THE WIND IN BEAUFORT SCALE
- ATTENTION: IN NORMAL SITUATION, THE GUSTS CAN BE
SUPERIEURES OF 40% WITH THE MODERATE WIND AND THE MAXIMUM WAVES TO REACH
2 TIMES THE SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT.


BULLETIN WEATHER NAVY FOR RADIO INTERNATIONAL FRANCE
.
DATE: MONDAY NOVEMBER 28, 2005
.
FOR RIDGE, IS BERMUDA, COLORADO, IRVING, MADEIRA, AGADIR,
TARFAYA, METEOR, CANARIAS STRONG GALE A STORM IN PROGRESS OR PREVU.

.
GENERAL SITUATION MONDAY NOVEMBER 28, 2005 A 00H UTC AND EVOLUTION
:

TROPICAL STORM "DELTA" 988 HPA BY 30.2 NORTH AND 23.3 WEST 28
To 09 UTC, SE DEPLACE TOWARDS NORTH-EASTERN EAST A 25 NDS. WIND MAX. NEAR
CENTER REACHING 50 NDS WITH GUSTS A 65 NDS. IT EAST
PREVUE BY 30.3 NORTH AND 13.0 WEST 29 A 06 UTC.
DEPRESSION 1018 HPA BY 54 NORTH AND 47 WEST SE DEPLACE TOWARDS NORTH
IN SE DIGGING. COLD FACE AND THALWEG ASSOCIATE ON the WEST OF
FLEMISH SE DECALANT TOWARDS the EAST.
DEPRESSION 1008 HPA BY 48 NORTH AND 17 WEST, SE DEPLACE TOWARDS
SOUTH-WESTERN. IT IS PREVUE BY 37 NORTH AND 10 WEST The 29 A 12 UTC.
DEPRESSION 1001 HPA BY 31 NORTH AND 46 WEST SE PRACTICALLY DIGS
ON THE SPOT.
ANTICYCLONE 1030 HPA BY 52 NORTH AND 34 WEST, SE DECALE SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE SOUTH-EASTERN ONE. IT IS PREVU 1026 HPA BY 44 NORTH AND 27 WEST IT
29 A 12 UTC.
ANTICYCLONE 1032 HPA CENTERS ON THE NOUVELLE-ECOSSE, PREVU 1036 HPA
WITH SOUTH-EASTERN IMMEDIATE OF TERRE-NEUVE 29 A 12 UTC.
.
FORECASTS BY ZONES UNTIL TUESDAY NOVEMBER 29 A 12H UTC:

(snip)

CASABLANCA:
VARIABLE 2 A 4, DIRECTING SECTOR EAST 5 A 7 TOWARDS CUS A END.
STRONG GUSTS ON CUS A END. STRONG SEA BY SWELL CROISEE.
STORMY GRAINS BY the WEST.

CANARIAS:
QUICKLY BECOMING DEPRESSIONNAIRE 8 A 10 BY the WEST, BUT
SOUTH-WESTERN ON THE CUS. FORCE GUSTS. SEA BECOMING STRONG A VERY
STRONG BY SWELL CROISEE, TEMPORARILY LARGE. RAIN AND GRAINS
STORMY.

[HURAKAN]

LETS CONTINUE ADDING!!!

[senorpepr]

Awesome graphic, Sandy! Thanks!