What are your early 2006 predictions?

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cycloneye
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What are your early 2006 predictions?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 24, 2005 8:28 am

My early numbers are (15/9/4 ) but of course those can change as time goes by when I will look at how the parameters are shaping up as June 1 2006 draws closer.

As every year I will do a storm2k contest poll starting at march 15 until may 31 so what you post at this thread may be the same or not by the time that poll comes.

FYI=The 2005 contest poll will be brought into this forum on november 30th for the members who participated to see how they did and who was the more closest from the 25/13/7.
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#2 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:22 am

Really early to be thinking about it since this season is still not over, but I will go for 18/9/5
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:42 am

that I will lose even more of my hair, and need to smoke a pack a day, lol

seriously, its a long way off, though we are at least in a multi-decadal active cycle, if not an active millenium (Thanks Katrina and Rita for ending that study)
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#4 Postby Rainband » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:50 am

Mine are 23/12/6. Subject to change depending on if we have a La Nina.
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#5 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:54 am

Too Many: 17/9/5
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:57 am

Barring el Nino, it should be another significantly above average season. But I'm not even going to try and come up with numbers until April at the earliest.
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#7 Postby Scorpion » Thu Nov 24, 2005 9:59 am

I will join the numbers fray early this year, and begin with 18/10/5.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 24, 2005 10:02 am

x-y-no wrote:Barring el Nino, it should be another significantly above average season. But I'm not even going to try and come up with numbers until April at the earliest.


Ok good Jan.Then you will post your numbers at the official poll by then. :)
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#9 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Nov 24, 2005 10:02 am

25/15/9
My reasoning:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=78069

Ridge-feedback mechanism analysis...
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Thu Nov 24, 2005 6:15 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#10 Postby WindRunner » Thu Nov 24, 2005 10:04 am

17/10/6
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#11 Postby TheEuropean » Thu Nov 24, 2005 10:37 am

At this early time a give no exact forecast:

17-20 / 10-13 / 5-7

In the second half of the season 2006 eastern pacific may warm up a little. In case La Nina developing my forecast for 2006 will be even higher. The first forecast für 2006 (than german and english) you can read on my site at the beginning of january.
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#12 Postby Rainband » Thu Nov 24, 2005 10:45 am

TheEuropean wrote:At this early time a give no exact forecast:

17-20 / 10-13 / 5-7

In the second half of the season 2006 eastern pacific may warm up a little. In case La Nina developing my forecast for 2006 will be even higher. The first forecast für 2006 (than german and english) you can read on my site at the beginning of january.
I agree about the la Nina. If that is the case, my numbers may be too low. Anything worse than 2004/2005 would be unimaginable :eek:
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#13 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 24, 2005 11:14 am

17 - 11 - 5

ANOTHER UNBELIEVABLE SEASON!
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#14 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Nov 24, 2005 11:30 am

15-8-4
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#15 Postby gilbert88 » Thu Nov 24, 2005 4:17 pm

18-11-6

All the way to letter S, with one Cat. 5 in September.
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#16 Postby Terrell » Thu Nov 24, 2005 4:44 pm

I think that next season will be almost but not quite as active as this year, assuming there isn't an el nino.
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#17 Postby angelwing » Thu Nov 24, 2005 5:02 pm

Way too early to predict, but I'll say 27-15-6
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2005 1:22 pm

Bumping as some missed this thread about 2006 early predictions.
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#19 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Nov 25, 2005 2:15 pm

As I said in the other thread, 28/15/7, but I think it should be more like 25-28/15-17/7-9 which is Storms/Hurricanes/Major Hurricanes...
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 25, 2005 2:23 pm

brunota2003 wrote:As I said in the other thread, 28/15/7, but I think it should be more like 25-28/15-17/7-9 which is Storms/Hurricanes/Major Hurricanes...


As I said at the first post here I will make the annual storm2k contest poll of forecast numbers starting at march 15 so you can post those same numbers or make changes by then.
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