TS Delta,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[WindRunner]

The header is fine, remember the time at the top is my time rather than your time.

I thought it would be odd using α on the forum but I can't believe we have reached δ (Or Δ if you want the upper case)

No, the 5 pm EST should have been 4 pm EST, which they have corrected now.

[brunota2003]

Wouldn't it be a fitting way to end the season with one last 70mpn TS? (and assuming the NHC forecast verifies, we will)

Or hurricane??? That sounds better, since it is called HURRICANE SEASON!!! Think about it, DELTA!!!

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and it is possible that Delta could briefly become a hurricane.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Wouldn't it be a fitting way to end the season with one last 70mpn TS? (and assuming the NHC forecast verifies, we will)

Or hurricane??? That sounds better, since it is called HURRICANE SEASON!!! Think about it, DELTA!!!

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and it is possible that Delta could briefly become a hurricane.

Ok so they start this sucker at 60MPH? And your telling me it was not a 45 MPH TS 2 days ago...What's wrong with this Pic?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wouldn't it be a fitting way to end the season with one last 70mpn TS? (and assuming the NHC forecast verifies, we will)

Or hurricane??? That sounds better, since it is called HURRICANE SEASON!!! Think about it, DELTA!!!

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and it is possible that Delta could briefly become a hurricane.

Ok so they start this sucker at 60MPH? And your telling me it was not a 45 MPH TS 2 days ago...What's wrong with this Pic?

I agree just like Vince. The nhc likes to take there time on these systems. They will likely say it was 24 hours ago in post season.

[ChaserUK]

tell me about it PK. Re my post about the hurricane season not ending. After all, we do seem to be getting formation in areas you would not normally expect this time of year too.

[superfly]

Ok so they start this sucker at 60MPH? And your telling me it was not a 45 MPH TS 2 days ago...What's wrong with this Pic?

It was a 45 MPH extratropical low 2 days ago. It was likely subtropical yesterday and will likely be classified as such post-season.

[Buck]

Anyone notice how big the windfield is? TS winds 345 miles away from center... 690 mile diameter and expected to grow! WOW!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If this thing was in the Gulf. Every one would get some tropical storm force winds.

[HURAKAN]

[krysof]

Now the real question is: Is it over or is Epsilon waiting in the wings. If Epsilon were to form this month than more records would be broken. Have there ever been three storms in November.

[hurricanefreak1988]

YOU NEED TO UPGRADE YOUR CHART!

If you're talking about the scoreboard in my avatar, I already did.

By the way Matt, that's a nice avatar you have.

[HURAKAN]

This is from STS Nicole last year:

WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM FROM THE
CENTER.

[superfly]

Anyone notice how big the windfield is? TS winds 345 miles away from center... 690 mile diameter and expected to grow! WOW!

It's not expected to grow. The wind field was so large because it was extratropical. As it is now tropical, the wind field will start to shrink.

[WindRunner]

Anyone notice how big the windfield is? TS winds 345 miles away from center... 690 mile diameter and expected to grow! WOW!

It's not expected to grow. The wind field was so large because it was extratropical. As it is now tropical, the wind field will start to shrink.

Until it begins ET transition in 3 days or so . . .

[ChaserUK]

forgive me but if a 'tropical' system shrinks its wind field it can get stronger?

[jusforsean]

what exactly is steering this thing or is it just drifting, usually storms east of us head west is our cold front keeping it out there? And could it possibly head to the florida sode or east coast at all?

[superfly]

what exactly is steering this thing or is it just drifting, usually storms east of us head west is our cold front keeping it out there? And could it possibly head to the florida sode or east coast at all?

It is being steared by westerlies but a high to its NE is blocking any north/east movement until the cold front gets to it.

[P.K.]

forgive me but if a 'tropical' system shrinks its wind field it can get stronger?

Think about it this way: Say the vorticity of the storm stays the same but it shrinks, then to maintain the same vorticity then the wind speed will need to increase to conserve it.

That high to its NE is good, kept the tmperature down here for the last week.

[johngaltfla]

You guys sound so surprised. I said that we'd get to Delta back in September.

With this being 2005, nothing is surprising anymore. Don't head for the exits on November 30, folks. You never know when the action will end.

In a much earlier post this season, right about the umpteenth time we were all going "holy crap" with Hurricane Girl, I postulated in a joking manner that the last storm would be Epsilon and it would form on Christmas Eve.

I apologize to whoever I offended if this comes true.

[Forecaster Colby]

Delta should become a hurricane just based on the wind field. If it's moving 340^2 * pi square miles of air now, and it contracts to, say, 170^2 * pi, than it'll need to move the air it IS moving four times faster. I don't think we'll see the full effect because this doesn't take into account winds below T.S. force, but even so, only a 30-40% increase is needed.