95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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#281 Postby Anonymous » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:32 am

Stacy Stewart knows what he's doing. Im sure they will upgrade later.
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#282 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:37 am

amazing how many people here with all of our limited sat views and info know more than the NHC
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#283 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:37 am

Forecaster Colby wrote:non-tropical=extratropical.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/img ... ap?509,199

This might be a "hurricane" now!


If you have the data to back it up please post it. I think NHC knows exactly what they are doing!!!
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#284 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:39 am

CronkPSU wrote:amazing how many people here with all of our limited sat views and info know more than the NHC


NO one here knows more than the NHC, that would be stupid to say, but according to all information that we have available, which I think is enough to say that this system is at least a subtropical cyclone.
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#285 Postby Forecaster Colby » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:54 am

vbhoutex wrote:
Forecaster Colby wrote:non-tropical=extratropical.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/img ... ap?509,199

This might be a "hurricane" now!


If you have the data to back it up please post it. I think NHC knows exactly what they are doing!!!


Winds are known to be at least 50kt, with higher vectors rain-contaminated. So it's probably at 50-65kt. Reasonably deep convection wraps all the way around a clear center, and the system is warm core. I meant a subtropical system to hurricane strength, hence the quotations.
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#286 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:56 am

Forecaster Colby wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
Forecaster Colby wrote:non-tropical=extratropical.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/img ... ap?509,199

This might be a "hurricane" now!


If you have the data to back it up please post it. I think NHC knows exactly what they are doing!!!


Winds are known to be at least 50kt, with higher vectors rain-contaminated. So it's probably at 50-65kt. Reasonably deep convection wraps all the way around a clear center, and the system is warm core. I meant a subtropical system to hurricane strength, hence the quotations.


Also, it has lost the cold and warm fronts.
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#287 Postby WindRunner » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:57 am

HURAKAN wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:amazing how many people here with all of our limited sat views and info know more than the NHC


NO one here knows more than the NHC, that would be stupid to say, but according to all information that we have available, which I think is enough to say that this system is at least a subtropical cyclone.


I believe that was sarcasm aimed at the people who claim they do know more.
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#288 Postby Forecaster Colby » Wed Nov 23, 2005 11:59 am

I don't claim I know more. I claim that in this case, and in many this year, I've interpreted it better. There is a big, big difference.
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Coredesat

#289 Postby Coredesat » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:03 pm

Image

Now the center is exposed on the whole western side. However, it's moving into an area of decreasing shear, so it should have at least one more chance for a comeback before moving into waters too cold for even Vince.
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#290 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:05 pm

Forecaster Colby wrote:I don't claim I know more. I claim that in this case, and in many this year, I've interpreted it better. There is a big, big difference.


wow :eek:
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#291 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:12 pm

Team Ragnarok wrote:Image

Now the center is exposed on the whole western side. However, it's moving into an area of decreasing shear, so it should have at least one more chance for a comeback before moving into waters too cold for even Vince.


I thought the farther south it went the warmer the water so if its moving south at 15mph how would it get into even colder waters?
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#292 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:20 pm

Ah, yes... and I bet they will upgrade it now just when it is looking less organized. It does not look as good as last night. I think it should have been upgraded last night or much earlier today. It now dosn't look like it may need upgrading if it dosn't get more organized.
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Coredesat

#293 Postby Coredesat » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:24 pm

Never mind on the cold water comment. It seems to be moving almost due south, maybe slightly SSE-ward right now.
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#294 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:26 pm

Image

The center is not fully exposed but on the edge to the WSW of the convection.Still looks good with the banding.
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MiamiensisWx

#295 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:26 pm

Might as well say it's dissipating because they will likely upgrade it now when it is looking less impressive instead of vice versa. Goodbye, Delta... unless you start getting organized again! It had an eye before, but that is now less evident, although banding on the eastern side is still fairly good.
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#296 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:42 pm

Forecaster Colby wrote:I don't claim I know more. I claim that in this case, and in many this year, I've interpreted it better. There is a big, big difference.

Your arrogance is really frustrating. Instead of seeing posts discussing the storm, I have to see a post by you every few minutes about how bad NHC is screwing up and that you know more (or "can intepret better" :roll:) than them.
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#297 Postby Forecaster Colby » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:43 pm

It's under shear, which is dropping. The eye is still there on microwave.
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#298 Postby WindRunner » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:48 pm

Just a note . . . even though the convection is rather lacking on the SW side, the entire western side of the storm has a large area containing the 45kt wind max, which beats the 30-35kts of wind on the east side.
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#299 Postby mike815 » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:49 pm

Yeah i think its just most people in here are flustrated it hassent been classified. I know i am, but the NHC makes the calls they do know better.
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MiamiensisWx

#300 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Nov 23, 2005 12:51 pm

WindRunner wrote:Just a note . . . even though the convection is rather lacking on the SW side, the entire western side of the storm has a large area containing the 45kt wind max, which beats the 30-35kts of wind on the east side.


True... however, there used to be previously 50KT wind vectors. It is now less organized, although eastern banding features exist. Even though the eye is still somewhat there, it is now much more clouded up. Who agrees?
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