95L C Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[krysof]

at this rate this could go from Invest right to Hurricane! lol

It has happened before...and when you think about it it is actually quite plausible. Some extratropical lows have had pressures and winds of Cat 3 strength, so theoritically, if they had turned into warm-core systems, they would've gone from Invest to Cat 3 right away.

Like the 1993 superstorm

[HURAKAN]

at this rate this could go from Invest right to Hurricane! lol

It has happened before...and when you think about it it is actually quite plausible. Some extratropical lows have had pressures and winds of Cat 3 strength, so theoritically, if they had turned into warm-core systems, they would've gone from Invest to Cat 3 right away.

Like the 1993 superstorm

Also, Hurricane Noel in 2001 is another example.

[krysof]

at this rate this could go from Invest right to Hurricane! lol

It has happened before...and when you think about it it is actually quite plausible. Some extratropical lows have had pressures and winds of Cat 3 strength, so theoritically, if they had turned into warm-core systems, they would've gone from Invest to Cat 3 right away.

Like the 1993 superstorm

Also, Hurricane Noel in 2001 is another example.

Where can I find info about Noel?

[JamesFromMaine2]

[Scorpion]

Whoa almost looks like an eyetype feature. I cannot believe the NHC hasnt upgraded this. It could be a hurricane right now.

[HURAKAN]

at this rate this could go from Invest right to Hurricane! lol

It has happened before...and when you think about it it is actually quite plausible. Some extratropical lows have had pressures and winds of Cat 3 strength, so theoritically, if they had turned into warm-core systems, they would've gone from Invest to Cat 3 right away.

Like the 1993 superstorm

Also, Hurricane Noel in 2001 is another example.

Where can I find info about Noel?

FROM THE NHC:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2001noel.html

In the best-track analysis they initiate Noel as a subtropical storm but the first advisory was issued when Noel became a hurricane.

[krysof]

Whoa almost looks like an eyetype feature. I cannot believe the NHC hasnt upgraded this. It could be a hurricane right now.

True but many powerful extratropical storms look like this.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its a aging extratropical cyclone...They have comma clouds...In as they reach there peak they grow eye like futures with rings of convection. Which look like hurricanes. No T numbers at all so no upgrade.

[wxmann_91]

at this rate this could go from Invest right to Hurricane! lol

It has happened before...and when you think about it it is actually quite plausible. Some extratropical lows have had pressures and winds of Cat 3 strength, so theoritically, if they had turned into warm-core systems, they would've gone from Invest to Cat 3 right away.

Like the 1993 superstorm

Also, Hurricane Noel in 2001 is another example.

Where can I find info about Noel?

FROM THE NHC:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2001noel.html

In the best-track analysis they initiate Noel as a subtropical storm but the first advisory was issued when Noel became a hurricane.

Yeah, most times when it's an extratropical to tropical transition they wait until all signs say tropical to upgrade it, then in the post-storm analysis they say it was a STS until the first advisory was issued. Otto was like that too, and most certainly Vince and if this one develops that will be the case.

[HURAKAN]

Here you can appreciate how a huge band of convection has been developing from the center to the north and east of the circulation, this could wrap around the storm and by tomorrow have a complete eye. Interesting!!

[quandary]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

[JamesFromMaine2]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

lol they will get a break when and if this season ever finishes! lol but right now theres a system developing that IMO should be up graded! lol but any ways its not like I am a pro.! lol

[krysof]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

lol they will get a break when and if this season ever finishes! lol but right now theres a system developing that IMO should be up graded! lol but any ways its not like I am a pro.! lol

They'll get plenty of breaks. Not like other people who work almost every single day for the whole year. They get sometimes over 6 months of break.

[superfly]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

lol they will get a break when and if this season ever finishes! lol but right now theres a system developing that IMO should be up graded! lol but any ways its not like I am a pro.! lol

They'll get plenty of breaks. Not like other people who work almost every single day for the whole year. They get sometimes over 6 months of break.

They get other jobs you know. It's not like they're just sitting on their ass for 6 months.

[Forecaster Colby]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

lol they will get a break when and if this season ever finishes! lol but right now theres a system developing that IMO should be up graded! lol but any ways its not like I am a pro.! lol

They'll get plenty of breaks. Not like other people who work almost every single day for the whole year. They get sometimes over 6 months of break.

Not really. When they get those six months, they analyze the data from the previous year.

[Forecaster Colby]

I am with you, I am stunned the NHC isn't taking this subtropical yet.

O.O The navy site has it at 988mb/40kt now...this COULD go straight to Hurricane at this rate!

[MGC]

The NHC will likely wait until the convection wraps totally around before upgrading this system.....MGC

[HURAKAN]

NOTHING NEW:

A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS...
CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM STILL
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SLOWLY ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

[Forecaster Colby]

"Continues to show signs of organization"...despite the complete lack of reference in previous TWOs today?
Meh...Ill write up an amateur advisory tomorrow morning...sleepy time. I love cold weather, THANK YOU NOR'EASTER!

[krysof]

I think it'll be upgraded if convection wraps around completely. But comeon, Greek letters aren't really names, so even if this isn't really tropical, we could just call it Sub-tropical Storm Delta! But I guess NHC doesn't really want to be working so much anymore; they deserve a break.

lol they will get a break when and if this season ever finishes! lol but right now theres a system developing that IMO should be up graded! lol but any ways its not like I am a pro.! lol

They'll get plenty of breaks. Not like other people who work almost every single day for the whole year. They get sometimes over 6 months of break.

I know they have to do that and this year they will spend a lot of time doing that. Its obvious they have other little jobs but they must be easier.

Not really. When they get those six months, they analyze the data from the previous year.