He always start in the lower end of the numbers in his first outlooks in early december.
I say that he will have for his first 2006 outlook 13/7/3.
What do you think he will have for his first forecast?
What will Dr Grays first 2006 forecast numbers be?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146228
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
What will Dr Grays first 2006 forecast numbers be?
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4423
- Age: 43
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
-
brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
-
senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
Well, here's some data for y'all:
From 1950 through 2000, the average numbers for tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, respectively, were 9.6/5.9/2.3.
From 1995 through 2005, minus the el Niño year of 1997, the numbers were 15.5/8.8/4.4, pending no further activity this year.
From the same time period, there were no less than 12 tropical storms in a given year, but no more than 24.
There were no less than 4 hurricanes, but no more than 13.
There were no less than 2 major hurricanes, but no more than 7.
So.... take that for what it's worth...
From 1950 through 2000, the average numbers for tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, respectively, were 9.6/5.9/2.3.
From 1995 through 2005, minus the el Niño year of 1997, the numbers were 15.5/8.8/4.4, pending no further activity this year.
From the same time period, there were no less than 12 tropical storms in a given year, but no more than 24.
There were no less than 4 hurricanes, but no more than 13.
There were no less than 2 major hurricanes, but no more than 7.
So.... take that for what it's worth...
0 likes
-
Forecaster Colby
senorpepr wrote:Well, here's some data for y'all:
From 1950 through 2000, the average numbers for tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, respectively, were 9.6/5.9/2.3.
From 1995 through 2005, minus the el Niño year of 1997, the numbers were 15.5/8.8/4.4, pending no further activity this year.
From the same time period, there were no less than 12 tropical storms in a given year, but no more than 24.
There were no less than 4 hurricanes, but no more than 13.
There were no less than 2 major hurricanes, but no more than 7.
So.... take that for what it's worth...
Do the maxes really have to be quoted? They're all 2005.
0 likes
-
senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
quandary wrote:senorpepr wrote:Well, here's some data for y'all:
From 1950 through 2000, the average numbers for tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, respectively, were 9.6/5.9/2.3.
From 1995 through 2005, minus the el Niño year of 1997, the numbers were 15.5/8.8/4.4, pending no further activity this year.
From the same time period, there were no less than 12 tropical storms in a given year, but no more than 24.
There were no less than 4 hurricanes, but no more than 13.
There were no less than 2 major hurricanes, but no more than 7.
So.... take that for what it's worth...
Do the maxes really have to be quoted? They're all 2005.
There is no reason not to quote the maxima. However, to blow your skirt up, the maxima, excluding 2005, would be 19, 11, and 6, respectively. (Not all that much differenence to 2005, except for named storms)
0 likes
-
NCHurricane
- Category 1
- Posts: 400
- Age: 54
- Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:50 pm
- Location: Winterville, North Carolina, USA
- Contact:
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 71 guests