Gamma bursting with convection.......

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dixiebreeze
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Gamma bursting with convection.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:20 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

She is looking much better tonight.
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#2 Postby f5 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:24 pm

that shear from the south is kicking strong after all its less than a week from thanksgiving
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#3 Postby mike815 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:25 pm

yup shear is really kicking.
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#4 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:26 pm

The shear is shooting the convection immediately well off to the north as soon as it forms, its not forming/persisting over the center, thus its not organizing in any way. If the shear keeps up, as looks likely, Gamma will be no more in a day or so.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Gamma bursting with convection.......

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:27 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg

She is looking much better tonight.


On the contrary...looking worse IMO. The center is very displaced.


Image
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CHRISTY

#6 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:27 pm

just curious is south florida completely out of the woods??looking better 2night..
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#7 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:27 pm

CHRISTY wrote:just curious is south florida completely out of the woods??looking better 2night..

Almost surely. Maybe a few passing showers/squalls with a brief period of gusty winds. That would be it, and I'm not sure that happens.
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#8 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:28 pm

The center isn't anywhere close to the convection...

It's just about the most pathetic looking thing with a name I have ever seen.
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#9 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:28 pm

I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
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#10 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:29 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

No way with this shear, and the shear is not forecast to go away.
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#11 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:30 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html


Not with 80-90 kt shear...
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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:30 pm

At least Gamma is trying to say that she isn't dead yet, not jet!!!
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#13 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:30 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

No way with this shear, and the shear is not forecast to go away.


I respectfully disagree.
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#14 Postby f5 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:32 pm

the low that is going to form in the NE GOM is really going to kick it apart which will later early next week kick new england just in time for thanksgiving travel.Gamma is no TD-10 remember that one
Last edited by f5 on Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:32 pm

thanks... then i think thats it for the 2005 hurricane season cause after this cold front comes down it will clean house in the atlantic. i feel 2006 will very bad for the eastcoast! so people thinking about building homes near the coastline need to rethink there plans just to be on the save side.
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#16 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:32 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

No way with this shear, and the shear is not forecast to go away.


I respectfully disagree.

All right then. We'll see who's right. You are the only one thinking it will organize, even boca_chris admits it now, so you know its looking bad then...
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#17 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:35 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

No way with this shear, and the shear is not forecast to go away.


I respectfully disagree.

All right then. We'll see who's right. You are the only one thinking it will organize, even boca_chris admits it now, so you know its looking bad then...


Well, Memphis, I'm not saying I think she will become a 'Cane, but more likely a strong TS before she fizzles. She is drifting N at this time. There may be a surprise or two before this season ends.
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#18 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:35 pm

I agree with jkt, Gamma looks more and more disorganized by the minute. It could be one of those few western Caribbean storms that dissipate over water.
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#19 Postby f5 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:36 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:I agree with jkt, Gamma looks more and more disorganized by the minute. It could be one of those few western Caribbean storms that dissipate over water.


beascuse its late NOVEMBER and not late AUGUST
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#20 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 19, 2005 9:37 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:I think she will organize soon. Here's another view --

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

No way with this shear, and the shear is not forecast to go away.


I respectfully disagree.

All right then. We'll see who's right. You are the only one thinking it will organize, even boca_chris admits it now, so you know its looking bad then...


Well, Memphis, I'm not saying I think she will become a 'Cane, but more likely a strong TS before she fizzles. She is drifting N at this time. There may be a surprise or two before this season ends.

It would indeed be a big surprise if it organizes even into a strong TS given this shear...
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