SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

[SouthFloridawx]

000
WONT41 KNHC 172024
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
425 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR THE
EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA HAS NOT DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. WHILE THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003
MB IN THE LOW...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN BOTH COVERAGE AND
ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.

THE AIRCRAFT ALSO INVESTIGATED THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN TO THE NORTH OF EASTERN HONDURAS AND DID NOT FIND A
CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE PLANE REPORTED WINDS OF
NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THIS
AREA.

THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE
WESTERN OR NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
AND INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
COMPLEX SYSTEM. EVEN IF DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...HEAVY RAINS
ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

$$


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[dixiebreeze]

BTT. Need to be watching this closely.