Dennis peak was 130kts and 938 mbs although later he had 125 kts with a lower pressure 930 mbs.
At Emily's peak the pressure was at 929 mbs with 135kts maximun winds.
What do you think about post analysis for these two hurricanes?
I say that Emily has a better chance to get the cat 5 than Dennis. But we will know as soon the reports for both come out after the season is over officially.
Will Dennis and Emily be upgraded to cat 5's or not?
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Anonymous
I think Emily was a Cat 5
ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005
AT 0324Z...THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 153 KT. THE STANDARD ADJUSTMENT OF
THIS VALUE TO THE SURFACE WOULD YIELD 138 KT...OR JUST ABOVE THE
CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD. AT THAT TIME HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS RISING RAPIDLY AND ON THE NEXT PASS THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT ONLY 132 KT WINDS WERE FOUND. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT EMILY REACHED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY BRIEFLY AROUND 03Z. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 130 KT. WHILE THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS
RESTRICTED IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT...CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE
FAVORABLE FOR EMILY TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL IT REACHES
THE YUCATAN. DEPENDING ON THE PRECISE TRACK...EMILY COULD SPEND
ABOUT 12 HOURS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SUCH A SMALL SYSTEM
IS LIKELY TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED OVER LAND. HOWEVER...THERE
WILL BE AMPLE TIME IN A LIGHT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE WARM GULF
WATERS FOR EMILY TO REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE ITS FINAL
LANDFALL.
ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005
AT 0324Z...THE AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
REPORTED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 153 KT. THE STANDARD ADJUSTMENT OF
THIS VALUE TO THE SURFACE WOULD YIELD 138 KT...OR JUST ABOVE THE
CATEGORY FIVE THRESHOLD. AT THAT TIME HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS RISING RAPIDLY AND ON THE NEXT PASS THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT ONLY 132 KT WINDS WERE FOUND. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT EMILY REACHED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY BRIEFLY AROUND 03Z. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 130 KT. WHILE THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS
RESTRICTED IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT...CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE
FAVORABLE FOR EMILY TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL IT REACHES
THE YUCATAN. DEPENDING ON THE PRECISE TRACK...EMILY COULD SPEND
ABOUT 12 HOURS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND SUCH A SMALL SYSTEM
IS LIKELY TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED OVER LAND. HOWEVER...THERE
WILL BE AMPLE TIME IN A LIGHT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE WARM GULF
WATERS FOR EMILY TO REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE ITS FINAL
LANDFALL.
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