Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

This is a thread of Fire Weather Discussions and products.

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2005
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL CLOSE OFF OVER THE SRN CA COAST THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. DESPITE MODERATE NLY/OFFSHORE WINDS POSSIBLE TODAY OVER
   PORTIONS OF NRN CA...RECENT LIGHT RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED TO
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL ALSO
   OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SRN CA...BUT HERE LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
   IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO LIMIT ANY
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FURTHER EAST...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER
   MIDWEST WILL DEVELOP SEWD INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY/S BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SERN STATES EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
   WEAK COOLING WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT SO THE PRESENCE OF MUCH LOWER
   DEWPTS WILL AID IN VERY LOW RH READINGS. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
   SUFFICIENTLY MODERATE NLY WINDS /10-15 MPH/ A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES WHERE RECENT DRY
   CONDITIONS EXIST.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CENTRAL/SRN AL...CENTRAL/SRN
   MS...PORTIONS OF SERN LA AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
   20 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT
   
   THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE MORE OF A WIND SHIFT AS LOW LEVELS
   REMAIN MILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UP
   TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH AFTERNOON READINGS GENERALLY IN THE
   UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL COOL LITTLE WITH
   THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DRY AIR /WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S AND 40S/ WILL
   MOVE SWD INTO THE AREA. DEWPTS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AROUND 50 F ALONG
   THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. THE COMBINATION OF THE MILD TEMPERATURES
   AND LOW DEWPTS WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT IN
   CENTRAL AL/MS TO AROUND 30 PERCENT IN FAR SRN MS/AL...SERN LA AND
   THE WRN FL PANHANDLE. EARLY MORNING RADAR DERIVED WINDS /VWP/
   SUGGEST THAT WINDS ONLY A THOUSAND FEET AGL WERE AROUND 30 MPH. THIS
   WAS AROUND 10 MPH STRONGER THAN RECENT MODEL FCSTS FOR THE SAME
   LEVEL ACROSS THE REGION. EVEN WITH THE EXPECTED GRADUALLY WEAKENING
   OF THESE WINDS FIELDS THROUGH THE DAY...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUSTAINED NLY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH
   WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   COMBINED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW RH READINGS AND HIGH FIRE
   DANGERS/SHORT TERM DROUGHT...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS.
   WINDS WILL SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND RH RECOVERY
   IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES FALL QUICKLY THIS
   EVENING.
   
   ...NRN CA...
   EARLIER INDICATIONS OF A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT HAVE BEEN
   MITIGATED BY WETTING RAINS THAT OCCURRED OVER MOST OF NRN CA
   YESTERDAY. MODERATE /15-25 MPH/ NNELY WINDS ARE STILL LIKELY TO
   OCCUR THROUGH TODAY IN THE VALLEYS/MTNS...AND OVERNIGHT IN THE
   HILLS...AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS MODEST BETWEEN THE
   NRN GREAT BASIN AND COASTAL CENTRAL CA. MIN RH READINGS WILL BE
   AROUND 20 PERCENT TODAY...AND AROUND 20-25 PERCENT OVERNIGHT IN THE
   HILLS ABOVE 15OO FT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/16/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2005
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER LOW OFF THE CA COAST ON DAY ONE WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH
   DAY TWO...WITH A CONTINUATION OF SCT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED OVER SRN
   CA. OTHERWISE...BROAD WNWLY FLOW WILL EXIST FROM THE PAC NW/NRN
   ROCKIES SEWD TOWARDS THE EAST COAST. AN ENERGETIC LOW AMPLITUDE
   UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW INTO MT BY THE END OF THE
   PERIOD. INCREASING SURFACE SWLY WINDS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN
   FIRE DANGER OVER MT. FARTHER EAST...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
   INTO THE SERN STATES. ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH READINGS /25-35 PERCENT/
   CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS HIGH.
   HOWEVER SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN ON DAY ONE...AND THUS A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL NOT OCCUR.
   
   ...MT...
   SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40
   MPH IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER ALBERTA AHEAD OF A
   STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN CANADA.  THE AMOUNT OF MID AND
   HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER THAT WILL SPREAD EWD OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF
   THE UPPER SYSTEM IS UNCERTAIN ATTM...BUT THIS COULD HAVE A
   PRONOUNCED AFFECT ON AFTERNOON HIGHS AND MIN RH READINGS. SINCE
   ENOUGH CERTAINTY EXISTS IN HOW LOW MIN RH READINGS WILL BE...A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA WILL NOT BE INTRODUCED ATTM.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON
   AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. CLOSER PROXIMITY OF
   THE SURFACE HIGH THAN ON DAY ONE ALONG WITH DECREASE IN LOW LEVEL
   WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/16/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2005
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY JUST OFF THE SRN CA COAST
   THROUGH THE PERIOD. AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   SYSTEM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. FARTHER NORTH...A
   STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL PROGRESS SEWD ACROSS SWRN CANADA AND INTO
   THE NRN PLAINS. DESPITE STRONG SFC WINDS THAT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
   SYSTEM...MIN RH READINGS WILL NOT FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT. ELSEWHERE
   ACROSS THE NATION THE ONLY OTHER AREA OF FIRE WEATHER RELATED
   CONCERN WILL BE OVER THE SERN STATES WHERE ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH
   READINGS WILL OCCUR. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH READINGS WILL OCCUR AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTER MOVES INTO THE REGION. MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 75-85 DEGREE
   RANGE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 40-50 DEGREE RANGE WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS AROUND 30 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN
   GENERALLY WEAK SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT OUTLOOK AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED.
   
   ...MT...
   SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 30-40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN MT...CLOSEST TO A STRONG MID LEVEL
   WIND MAX THAT WILL BE MOVING SEWD OUT OF CANADA. COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF
   MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WILL LIMIT
   AFTERNOON HEATING WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING GENERALLY IN THE 60S.
   WITH DEWPTS NOT APPRECIABLY LOW /35-40 DEG F/...MIN RH READINGS ARE
   FCST TO BE IN THE 25-35 PERCENT RANGE. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/17/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0246 AM CDT MON OCT 17 2005
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER LOW OFF THE SRN CA COAST SHOULD OPEN UP AND BEGIN TO MOVE
   EWD INTO THE SWRN STATES ON DAY TWO. AREAS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WILL
   OCCUR ALONG THE PATH OF THIS SYSTEM FROM SRN CA INTO THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION. APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM FROM THE WEST WILL AID
   IN INTENSIFYING THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE AND AN INCREASE IN SSWLY
   SURFACE WINDS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. ATTM...NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONCERNS ARE APPARENT IN THIS AREA AS MIN RH READINGS SHOULD REMAIN
   SUFFICIENTLY HIGH /ABOVE 20 PERCENT/. FURTHER EAST...THE SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE
   REGION. DESPITE A SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE...WARMER TEMPERATURES
   WILL AID IN MAINTAINING MIN RH READINGS AROUND 30 PERCENT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ALTHOUGH DEWPTS ARE LIKELY TO BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN ON DAY ONE...
   GENERALLY IN THE 45-55 DEG F RANGE...WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH
   READINGS GENERALLY IN THE 80S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
   30-35 PERCENT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE REGION WILL AGAIN
   SUPPORT WEAK SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/17/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0230 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2005
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW OFF BAJA COAST WILL MOVE INLAND TODAY...REACHING THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION BY EARLY WED MORNING. WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS AND
   TSTMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
   RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST. IN THE NRN STREAM...A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS BC EARLY THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY
   DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS BY THIS AFTN. SFC LOW NOW OVER
   WRN ND WILL DEEPEN SLIGHTLY IN RESPONSE AS IT MOVES INTO WCNTRL WI
   BY EARLY EVENING. COLD FRONT WILL ACCELERATE SEWD ACROSS THE
   DAKOTAS/NE WY AND WRN NEB WITH STRONG WIND SHIFT INVOF FRONT.
   RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...ALTHOUGH
   SYNOPTIC SCALE WINDS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 10-15 MPH OR LESS.
   
   ...SCNTRL ND/SD...
   BREEZY SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS
   ASSOCIATED WITH MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT. MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER
   70S/LOWER 80S ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARM AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...WHERE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL FACILITATE DEEPER
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH A FEW
   HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY DURING FROPA AND BEHIND THE FRONT.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY DIP AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT AS SUGGESTED BY
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS. RECENT NFDRS FIRE DANGER CLASS VALUES HAVE ALSO
   BEEN IN THE HIGH RANGE...SO SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES
   EXISTS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/18/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0230 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2005
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW NOW OFF BAJA COAST WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS
   REGION AT THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SYSTEM WILL EVOLVE
   INTO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AT IT MOVES EWD ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
   ON WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS
   SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA AHEAD OF NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM
   WRN CANADA. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM LOWER MI/CNTRL IL EARLY IN THE
   DAY ACROSS THE OH RIVER VALLEY...BECOMING STATIONARY ALONG THE KS/OK
   BORDER AND CO FRONT RANGE. MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE
   CONFINED TO SRN PLAINS WHERE STRONGER SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP INVOF
   LEE TROUGH ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED
   TO BE TOO HIGH /ABOVE 20-25 PERCENT/ TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/18/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280853
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0353 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE WRN
   STATES...PROVIDING FOR COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
   SCATTERED PRECIPITATION TO MUCH OF THE REGION. THE PRESENCE OF
   MODERATE WSWLY FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL SUSTAIN THE SURFACE LEE
   TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. MEANWHILE...A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE...REINFORCED BY A STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN
   SEABOARD...WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF MUCH OF THE COUNTRY EAST OF THE
   PLAINS. A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST BETWEEN THE LEE
   TROUGH AND THE HIGH PRESSURE...AIDING IN BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH
   OF THE PLAINS STATES. LOW RH READINGS WILL BE PRESENT ESPECIALLY IN
   CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM TX ENEWD
   INTO THE OH VALLEY/SERN STATES. PRESENCE OF GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS IN
   THIS REGION WILL OFFSET THE LOW RH READINGS TO LIMIT ANY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ...PLAINS STATES...
   MODERATE /20-25 MPH/ SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS
   ALONG THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS FROM NWRN OK INTO ERN SD/WRN MN.
   ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS WILL BE SEASONABLY LOW /30S TO 40S/ TEMPERATURES
   WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE IN THE 60S WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH
   READINGS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN 35-40 PERCENT.
   
   ...TX EWD INTO THE SERN STATES...
   ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE /70S/ AND COMBINED WITH
   DEWPTS IN THE 30S TO 40S WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35
   PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE
   HIGHER THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS /AVERAGE AROUND 10 MPH/ DUE TO THE
   PRESENCE OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAVE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO.
   SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST MAY REACH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH
   FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THESE GENERALLY LIGHT
   WIND CONDITIONS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0355 AM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WRN STATES.
   UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SCATTERED PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROCKIES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. A WEAK
   SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES/PLAINS.
   THIS WILL AID IN SHIFTING THE LEE TROUGH FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO THE
   CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS. THUS BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
   CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WHILE INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE
   OVER THE SRN PLAINS AS A BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
   OVER THE OH VALLEY/SERN STATES. LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE
   PRESENT OVER THE SERN STATES. BUT AS ON DAY ONE...SUSTAINED WINDS
   WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE 10 MPH OR LESS PRECLUDING ANY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
   SUSTAINED SLY WINDS...WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH...WILL OCCUR
   OVER MUCH OF OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE NEWD INTO KS/WRN MO.
   TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WARM...WITH READINGS INTO THE
   LOWER-MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. WITH LITTLE TO NO INCREASE
   IN DEWPTS EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF LIMITED GULF MOISTURE RETURN...MIN
   RH READINGS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN DAY ONE /30-35 PERCENT/. A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE MARGINAL
   RH READINGS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/28/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0336 AM CST TUE NOV 01 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVELS ACROSS THE NATION WILL BEGIN A PATTERN CHANGE DURING
   DAY ONE...AS UPPER RIDGING OVER THE WEST WILL BE REPLACED BY UPPER
   TROUGHING BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. FURTHER EAST OVER THE
   PLAINS...UPPER TROUGHING WILL BE REPLACED BY UPPER RIDGING MOVING
   OUT OF THE ROCKIES. THE SENSIBLE RESULT AT THE SURFACE WILL BE AN
   EWD SHIFT OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE ERN
   STATES...AND LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL
   AID IN A WARM-UP COMMENCING OVER THE PLAINS REGION TODAY. NO AREAS
   OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
   NATION TODAY AS WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY WEAK WHERE LOW RH
   READINGS WILL BE PRESENT /FROM CA EWD INTO THE PLAINS/.
   
   ...SOUTHERN CA...
   WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
   WEST...OFFSHORE FLOW EARLY THIS MORNING WILL TURN ONSHORE BY THIS
   AFTERNOON. HOWEVER MIN RH READINGS WILL REMAIN LOW /10-20 PERCENT/
   IN INTERIOR VALLEYS AND MTNS. GIVEN RELATIVELY LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS
   EXPECTED EVEN AT 12Z /GENERALLY 15-20 MPH/...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.
   
   ...SOUTHERN TX...
   IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...MUCH DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED
   INTO THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. DEWPTS TODAY WILL BE IN THE
   30S/40S...WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. SUSTAINED NLY
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THIS MORNING...BUT SPEEDS AT TIMES AROUND 20
   MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS RH READINGS FALL BELOW 25
   PERCENT FOR A FEW HOUR PERIOD. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTORS FOR THE
   LACK OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MARGINAL WINDS
   SPEEDS DURING THE AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH SOAKING RAINS THAT COVERED
   THE WHOLE AREA YESTERDAY.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0337 AM CST TUE NOV 01 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGHING WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE WRN CONUS
   THROUGH DAY 2. AHEAD OF THIS UPPER TROUGHING...A BROAD UPPER RIDGE
   WILL CONTINUE TO FLATTEN WHILE SLIDING EWD FROM THE PLAINS TOWARDS
   THE EAST COAST. STRONG MID LEVEL WSWLY FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES ON THE
   BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AID IN STRENGTHENING THE LEE
   TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD AREA OF
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES/GULF COAST
   REGION...AN INCREASE IN SLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS
   STATES. IN ADDITION...STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS AND STEEP LAPSE RATES
   IN THE LOWER LEVELS WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SURFACE SWLY WINDS OVER
   THE SRN GREAT BASIN/DESERT SW AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. ATTM...MIN RH
   READINGS IN BOTH OF THESE AREAS APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH THAT
   A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT APPARENT.
   
   ...SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/DESERT SW...
   SWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
   DURING THE PERIOD AS STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS OVERSPREAD
   THE REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE SRN
   GREAT BASIN...WHERE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NRN/CENTRAL
   NV WILL AID IN AN ADDITIONAL PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE TO THE SURFACE
   WIND FIELDS. MIN RH READINGS OVER THE ENTIRE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO
   BE BORDERLINE CRITICAL /15-20 PERCENT/ AS WARM AIR REMAINS IN PLACE
   UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SWLY WIND TRAJECTORIES. THE AREA WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE LATER UPGRADE IF TRENDS INDICATE LOWER RH
   READINGS.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH /STRONGEST FROM THE
   TX PANHANDLE NEWD INTO CENTRAL KS ALONG LOW LEVEL JET AXIS/ AS THE
   LEE TROUGH/LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES DURING THE PERIOD. MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 30-35 PERCENT OVER THE LOWER PLAINS OF OK AND KS...TO
   20-25 PERCENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS...ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
   AFTERNOON HOURS. AGAIN THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR TREND IN
   POSSIBLE LOWER RH/CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005


.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
WEATHER TODAY. ONLY CHANGES COMING UP WILL BE THE INCREASING CRITICAL
FIRE DANGER ON THURSDAY...AS A DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES
ENHANCES PRESSURE FALLS ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...THUS INCREASING
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER NORTH TEXAS WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
WELL INTO THE 80S. MINIMUM DAYTIME HUMIDITIES THROUGH THURSDAY WILL
BE A CRITICAL LEVELS AS OVERALL FUEL MOISTURES REMAIN LOW. THE ONLY
SAVING GRACE TODAY WILL BE THE WINDS REMAINING BELOW 15 KNOTS. THE
LEE SIDE LOW PRESSURE WILL EJECT TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY
MORNING...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT AND STALLING IT OVER OKLAHOMA...WHICH
SHOULD HELP DIMINISH THE WINDS ONCE AGAIN...BUT KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMDITIES CRITICAL ACROSS SOME AREAS OF NORTH TEXAS.


TXZ091-100>102-115>117-030015-
MONTAGUE-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GRAHAM...OLNEY...
JACKSBORO...DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...
WEATHERFORD...BRIAR
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      81 (+6)      53 (+6)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      18 (-3)      66 (-23)     21
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  7                      S 12
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S 10         S 10         S 17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1471                      915
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4827                      3002
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      SW 11
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ092-093-103-104-118-119-030015-
COOKE-GRAYSON-DENTON-COLLIN-TARRANT-DALLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAINESVILLE...SHERMAN...DENISON...
DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO...
FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      79 (+7)      52 (+7)      82
RH % (24H TREND)      20 (-2)      71 (-18)     24
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  6                      S 11
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  9         S  9         S 17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1467                      935
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4813                      3069
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      S 11
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ095-106-107-122-123-030015-
LAMAR-DELTA-HOPKINS-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PARIS...COOPER...SULPHUR SPRINGS...
WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD...EMORY...
POINT...EAST TAWAKONI
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+6)      51 (+8)      81
RH % (24H TREND)      25 (-1)      74 (-22)     27
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S  9
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  8         S  8         S 14
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1152                      947
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3779                      3107
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      S 10
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ129-130-141>143-156-030015-
EASTLAND-ERATH-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-LAMPASAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CISCO...EASTLAND...RANGER...GORMAN...
STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...
HAMILTON...HICO...LAMPASAS
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      81 (+5)      52 (+7)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      18 (0)       66 (-23)     24
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  7                      S 10
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  9         S  9         S 16
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1480                      944
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4856                      3097
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  7                      SW 10
SUNSHINE HOURS        9                         9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ131>134-144-145-157>159-030015-
HOOD-SOMERVELL-JOHNSON-ELLIS-BOSQUE-HILL-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANBURY...OAK TRAIL SHORES...
GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE...ENNIS...
MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...CLIFTON...MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...
HILLSBORO...COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...KILLEEN...TEMPLE...
FORT HOOD...WACO
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      79 (+6)      51 (+8)      82
RH % (24H TREND)      18 (0)       71 (-22)     25
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  5                      S  9
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  9         S  8         S 16
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1519                      987
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4982                      3237
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      S  9
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ135-147-148-162-175-030015-
HENDERSON-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LEON-ROBERTSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY...TEAGUE...
FAIRFIELD...PALESTINE...BUFFALO...CENTERVILLE...JEWETT...
OAKWOOD...HEARNE...FRANKLIN...CALVERT
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+5)      51 (+10)     81
RH % (24H TREND)      24 (+1)      74 (-26)     29
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S  7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  6         S  6         S 12
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1186                      1080
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3890                      3544
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  3                      S  8
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ094-105-120-121-030015-
FANNIN-HUNT-ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BONHAM...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...
ROCKWALL...TERRELL...KAUFMAN...FORNEY
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (+6)      52 (+8)      81
RH % (24H TREND)      25 (0)       71 (-22)     27
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  5                      S 10
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  9         S  9         S 16
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1412                      935
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4631                      3069
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  5                      S 11
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TXZ146-160-161-174-030015-
NAVARRO-FALLS-LIMESTONE-MILAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORSICANA...MARLIN...MEXIA...
GROESBECK...CAMERON...ROCKDALE
606 AM CST WED NOV 2 2005

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (+5)      51 (+9)      81
RH % (24H TREND)      19 (0)       74 (-22)     30
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S  8
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  8         S  8         S 14
MIXING HGT(M-AGL/MSL) 1185                      1027
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3889                      3368
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      S  8
SUNSHINE HOURS        10                        9

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
________________________________________________________________________________________

[TexasStooge]

Code: Select all

   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0239 AM CST WED NOV 02 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVELS WILL TRANSITION ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY AS A STRONG
   UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING OFF THE WEST COAST MOVES INTO THE WRN CONUS
   THROUGH THE PERIOD. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS TROUGH...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
   MOVE EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE INCREASING WSWLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVER
   THE ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT A STRENGTHENING LEE TROUGH/LOW LEVEL JET
   OVER THE PLAINS. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS COMBINED
   WITH THE WINDS WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER
   PORTIONS OF THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS
   WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN
   IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...BUT RH READINGS IN THESE
   REGIONS WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENTLY LOW FOR A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT. FURTHER EAST...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE OVER THE
   SERN STATES...PROVIDING FOR LOW RH READINGS AND LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MOST OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLE...WRN
   OK AND SWRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
   30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT...
   
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST WILL AID IN STRENGTHENING THE
   LEE TROUGH. THE SENSIBLE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SLY LOW LEVEL
   FLOW OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. THE STRONGEST WINDS TODAY ARE
   FORECAST TO OCCUR WHERE THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS OVERLAYS THE
   STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK INTO
   SWRN/SCENTRAL KS. DESPITE LACK OF FULL MIXING ANTICIPATED OVER THIS
   REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY BE FROM 20-25 MPH...WITH GUSTS
   OVER 30 MPH. IN ADDITION...WARMING LOW LEVELS WITH READINGS REACHING
   THE LOWER 80S...AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 20S/30S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 15-20 PERCENT FROM THE TX PANHANDLE NEWD ACROSS WRN OK
   INTO SWRN KS.
   
   ...WRN...NWRN AND NCENTRAL TX...
   MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT WILL OCCUR TODAY AS WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S COMBINE WITH LOW DEWPTS IN THE 20S/30S.
   AREA WILL RESIDE OUTSIDE OF STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT/LOW LEVEL
   JET AXIS AND THUS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE FROM 10-15
   MPH WITH GUSTS AT TIMES OVER 20 MPH.
   
   ...SRN GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS...
   SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL
   OCCUR OVER THE REGION TODAY AS WEAK MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION OCCURS
   IN ASSOCIATION WITH PROGRESSIVE/DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH MOVING
   THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. OVERALL AMOUNT OF MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER
   SHOULD LIMIT INSOLATION AND FULL MIXING POTENTIAL. THUS TEMPERATURES
   GENERALLY NEAR AVERAGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH MIN RH READINGS ABOVE
   15 PERCENT.
   
   ...LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS...
   MIN RH READINGS TODAY WILL BE BETWEEN 20-30 PERCENT UNDER INFLUENCE
   OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. WINDS WILL
   GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 MPH PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER THREATS.
   
   ...NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
   MILD TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR INTO THE NEB/SD AND IA/SRN MN TODAY
   UNDER UPPER RIDGING ALOFT. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 15-20
   MPH OVER WRN HIGH PLAINS TO BETWEEN 20-30 MPH OVER ERN NEB/IA AND
   SRN MN. MIN RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT OVER THE
   WRN HIGH PLAINS AND BETWEEN 25-35 PERCENT OVER THE REMAINDER THE
   AREA. MARGINAL NATURE OF THE RH READINGS IN THE EAST AND WINDS IN
   THE WEST WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CST WED NOV 02 2005
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS INTO
   PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS REGION...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
   PLAINS STATES DURING DAY TWO. IN THE WAKE OF THIS LEAD SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH...A SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD TOWARDS THE CA/ORE
   COAST. THE OVERALL RESULT WILL BE BROAD UPPER TROUGHING FROM THE
   WEST COAST INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...A DEEPENING OF
   THE LEE CYCLONE IS FCST TO OCCUR OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AHEAD
   OF THE FIRST SHORTWAVE TROUGH. INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   BETWEEN THIS LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH AND A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
   OVER THE SERN STATES WILL SUPPORT MODERATE-STRONG SSWLY WINDS OVER
   MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY. THE COMBINATION
   OF STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH READINGS AND
   RECENT-LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICIT/DORMANT VEGETATION WILL LEAD TO A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER A LARGE AREA OF THE SRN PLAINS
   REGION.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM...NRN/WRN
   TX...MOST OF OK/NWRN AR...SRN/ERN KS AND WRN MO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 35 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT...DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS
   
   LITTLE DIFFERENCE EXISTS BETWEEN THE NAM/GFS FCST MODELS ON THE
   EVOLUTION OF THE EJECTING LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE
   ROCKIES ON DAY TWO. AS A RESULT OF THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE...A
   STRENGTHENING OF THE SFC LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH WILL OCCUR OVER ERN
   CO/NWRN KS/SWRN NEB REGION. AS THE LEE CYCLONE INTENSIFIES...SO WILL
   THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE LOWER SRN PLAINS AND OZARK MTNS
   REGION. A COMPARISON BETWEEN DAY ONE AND DAY TWO SUGGESTS AN
   ADDITIONAL 2-4 MB OF PRESSURE GRADIENT ON DAY TWO OVER MOST OF NRN
   TX...OK/MO AND WRN AR. IN MOST OF THIS REGION...A STRONG LOW LEVEL
   JET WILL ALSO EXIST. DESPITE LACK OF FULL MIXING OF THE ASSOCIATED
   40-50 KT WIND MAX IN THE 1 KM LAYER...SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM
   20-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED PRESSURE
   GRADIENT. VERY WARM AIR IN THE 1 KM LAYER /+20-22 C AT 850 MB/ WILL
   SUPPORT SURFACE TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL /IN THE LOWER TO MID
   80S/ OVER THE REGION. IT APPEARS THAT THE NAM IS OVER FORECASTING
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN/DEVELOPMENT OVER MUCH OF OK/KS...AND
   EXPECT SURFACE DEWPTS TO REMAIN IN THE 30S OVER MOST OF THE
   REGION...WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT. FURTHER WEST OVER
   THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...SWRN TX AND ERN NM...DESPITE A  SLIGHTLY
   WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT...MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION COMBINED WITH
   STRONG MID LEVEL WIND MAX WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM
   20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. MIN RH
   READINGS WILL BE MARGINALLY CRITICAL /15-20 PERCENT/ DUE TO
   TEMPERATURES NOT REALIZING THE FULL MIXING POTENTIAL AS MID-HIGH
   CLOUDS MOVE INTO THE REGION. BUT THE DEGREE OF STRONG WINDS COMBINED
   WITH DORMANT VEGETATION DUE TO RECENT FALL FREEZES WILL SUPPORT A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ....SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT FRONT RANGE...
   SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL
   OCCUR AS STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEVELOP BENEATH STRONG MID
   LEVEL COLD ADVECTION. PRESENCE OF LARGE AMOUNTS OF MID-HIGH CLOUD
   COVER ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TEND TO KEEP
   TEMPERATURES TO JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. CONSEQUENTLY MIN RH
   READINGS APPEAR TO REMAIN GENERALLY AROUND 20 PERCENT PRECLUDING A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...MID MS VALLEY...
   SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED OVER MUCH OF THE
   MID MS VALLEY AS A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT/LOW LEVEL JET EXISTS
   OVER THE REGION. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN READINGS FURTHER
   SW /HIGHS IN THE 70S/ WILL LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 25-35
   PERCENT. THUS THIS AREA WILL BE JUST OUTSIDE OF CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY EWD INTO THE CAROLINAS...
   UNDER PRESENCE OF SURFACE HIGH...DRY CONDITIONS WITH MIN RH READINGS
   FROM 25-35 PERCENT WILL PERSIST. HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
   AVERAGE LESS THAN 10 MPH OVER THE REGION.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/02/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0251 AM CST THU NOV 03 2005
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS NEWD INTO
   THE OZARK REGION...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE
   PLAINS STATES DURING DAY ONE. IN THE WAKE OF THIS LEAD SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH...A SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD TOWARDS THE CA/ORE
   COAST. THE OVERALL RESULT WILL BE BROAD UPPER TROUGHING FROM THE
   WEST COAST INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...A DEEPENING OF
   THE LEE CYCLONE WILL OCCUR OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST
   AHEAD OF THE FIRST SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AN INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS CYCLONE/LEE TROUGH AND A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE OVER THE SERN STATES WILL SUPPORT MODERATE-STRONG SSWLY
   WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS NEWD INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES. THE
   COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   READINGS AND RECENT-LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICIT/DORMANT VEGETATION
   WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER A LARGE AREA OF
   THE SRN PLAINS NEWD INTO THE OZARKS REGION.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - PORTIONS OF ERN NM...MUCH OF
   NRN/WRN TX...MOST OF OK/WRN AR...SRN/ERN KS AND WRN MO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT...SUSTAINED
   SSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH...SHORT-LONG TERM
   DROUGHT
   
   AS A RESULT OF THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE...A STRENGTHENING OF THE SFC
   LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH WILL OCCUR OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AS THE LEE
   CYCLONE INTENSIFIES...SO WILL THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE LOWER
   SRN PLAINS AND OZARK MTNS REGION. IN MOST OF THIS REGION...A STRONG
   LOW LEVEL JET WILL ALSO EXIST. DESPITE LACK OF FULL MIXING OF THE
   LOW LEVEL JET...SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED
   GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED PRESSURE GRADIENT. VERY WARM AIR IN THE 1
   KM LAYER /+20-22 C AT 850 MB/ WILL SUPPORT SURFACE TEMPERATURES WELL
   ABOVE NORMAL /IN THE 80S/ OVER THE REGION. IT APPEARS THAT THE NAM
   IS OVER FORECASTING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN/DEVELOPMENT OVER MUCH
   OF WRN OK/KS...AND EXPECT SURFACE DEWPTS TO REMAIN IN THE 30S
   ...WITH CONSEQUENT MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT OVER THE LOWER
   PLAINS. THERE WILL BE A CUT-OFF TO EXTENT OF CRITICALLY LOW RH
   READINGS WINDS FROM CENTRAL INTO NERN TX AND CENTRAL AR WHERE LOW
   LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL OCCUR.
   
   FURTHER WEST OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...WRN TX AND PORTIONS OF ERN
   NM...MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION COMBINED WITH THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG
   MID LEVEL WIND MAX ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT
   SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN. MIN RH READINGS WILL FALL TO AROUND 15 PERCENT EVEN
   WITH A LARGE AMOUNT OF MID-HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE
   REGION DURING THE DAY. THE DEGREE OF STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH
   DORMANT VEGETATION DUE TO RECENT FALL FREEZES SHOULD SUPPORT A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IN THIS AREA AS WELL.
   
   ....SRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT FRONT RANGE...
   SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL
   OCCUR AS STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES DEVELOP BENEATH STRONG MID
   LEVEL COLD ADVECTION. PRESENCE OF LARGE AMOUNTS OF MID-HIGH CLOUD
   COVER ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL
   TEND TO KEEP TEMPERATURES SUFFICIENTLY LOW /60S-LOWER 70S/ THAT
   CONSEQUENT MIN RH READINGS WILL BE AROUND 20 PERCENT PRECLUDING A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...MID MS VALLEY NEWD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...
   SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED OVER MUCH OF THE
   MID MS VALLEY NEWD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION AS A STRONG
   PRESSURE GRADIENT/LOW LEVEL JET EXISTS OVER THE REGION. SLIGHTLY
   COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN READINGS FURTHER SW /HIGHS IN THE 70S/
   COMBINED WITH DEWPTS IN THE 35-45 F RANGE WILL LEAD TO MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 30-35 PERCENT.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY EWD INTO THE CAROLINAS...
   UNDER PRESENCE OF SURFACE HIGH...DRY CONDITIONS WITH MIN RH READINGS
   FROM 25-35 PERCENT WILL PERSIST. HOWEVER SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
   AVERAGE LESS THAN 10 MPH OVER THE REGION.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/03/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CST THU NOV 03 2005
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL RESIDE OVER MUCH OF THE NATION ON DAY TWO.
    THE LACK OF A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PRECLUDE THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF A DEEPER SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS
   AS WILL BE THE CASE ON DAY ONE. IN ADDITION A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   WILL MOVE SWD AND EXTEND FROM A LOW OVER OK NEWD INTO THE GREAT
   LAKES. ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...A WEAKER PRESSURE
   GRADIENT IS LIKELY. THUS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FCST TO BE LESS ON DAY
   TWO OVER THE SRN PLAIN/MS VALLEY REGION. WHERE WINDS ARE FCST TO BE
   MARGINALLY CRITICAL WITH SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH /FROM NORTH TX NEWD
   INTO THE OHIO VALLEY/ GRADUAL MOISTENING OF THE LOWER LEVELS WITH
   DEWPTS IN THE 45-55 F RANGE SHOULD PRECLUDE RH READINGS FROM FALLING
   LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. FURTHER WEST OF THE LEE TROUGH OVER THE SRN
   HIGH PLAINS...WINDS WILL ALSO BE WEAKER THAN ON DAY ONE AS MID LEVEL
   FLOW DECREASES. THUS ATTM...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT
   ANTICIPATED OVER THE CONUS.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   PROXIMITY OF SURFACE FRONT...WEAKER LOW LEVEL JET/PRESSURE GRADIENT
   SUGGESTS THAT SUSTAINED SSWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-20 MPH WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. IN ADDITION...OVER THE LOWER PLAINS /GENERALLY
   EAST OF I-35/ THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN AS
   SURFACE RIDGING DIMINISHES OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO AND SLY FLOW
   TAPS THE GULF COAST BOUNDARY LAYER. WITH DEWPTS EXPECTED TO RISE
   INTO THE 45-55 F RANGE...MIN RH READINGS WILL BE ABOVE 30 PERCENT.
   
   ...SERN STATES/MID ATLANTIC...
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST
   THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITH FLOW BECOMING MORE SLY...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
   WILL BE GRADUALLY INCREASING. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO BE
   INCREASING...WITH SSELY WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH. LACK OF MIN RH
   READINGS LESS THAN 30 PERCENT GIVEN ANTICIPATED SLOW MOISTURE
   INCREASE WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/03/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CST MON NOV 07 2005
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/SRN KS/OK/TX PANHANDLE AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MAINLY ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST
   PERIOD...BUT A TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO
   AMPLIFY BY EARLY TUE. ALSO APPARENT IN SATELLITE LOOPS IS A JET MAX
   NOW ACROSS SRN CA WHICH WILL MOVE OUT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS LATER
   TODAY. AT THE SFC...LEE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM ERN WY INTO SE CO WILL
   STRENGTHEN AS SFC LOW MOVES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY AFTN. SFC WINDS
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONGER
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. EVEN THOUGH RH VALUES WILL BE RATHER
   HIGH...COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
   WILL WARRANT AN OUTLOOK AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/SRN KS/OK/TX PANHANDLE AND
   NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL...GENERALLY
   BY 15-20 DEGREES. A FEW RECORD HIGHS ARE EVEN POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF OK/TX PANHANDLE. ALSO...40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET AXIS WILL
   BE FOCUSED ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OK/SE KS THROUGH THE DAY. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST INVERSION WILL BREAK BY MID-LATE MORNING ALLOWING
   HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR TO MIX TO THE SFC. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
   WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH SEEM LIKELY. RECENT 10 HR FUEL
   MOISTURE VALUES BETWEEN 5-6 PERCENT AND HIGH KBDI VALUES IN THE
   500-700 RANGE ARE INDICATIVE OF THE DRY FUELS ACROSS THE AREA.
   
   ONE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE RELATIVELY HIGH RH VALUES. SFC DEWPOINTS
   EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/KS/TX PANHANDLE ARE IN THE
   MID/UPPER 30S. BUT...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 40S/50S INVOF OF THE
   RED RIVER AND IN THE 60S ACROSS NCNTRL TX. WITH STRONG SLY WINDS
   TODAY...RAPID MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED WITH DEWPOINTS QUICKLY
   INCREASING INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S ACROSS KS/OK. EVEN WITH MAX
   TEMPS IN THE 80S...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 30
   PERCENT...INCREASING TO AROUND 40-50 PERCENT. ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND NE NM...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE IN THE 15-25 PERCENT
   RANGE...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS FARTHER EAST. THE
   COMBINATION OF WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT THE CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT DESPITE THE HIGH RH VALUES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CST MON NOV 07 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/SRN
   KS/OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL EVOLVE INTO A
   CLOSED UPPER LOW BY EARLY WED MORNING. SRN STREAM FLOW ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST WILL REMAIN STRONG...WHILE IN THE NRN STREAM...IMPULSE NOW
   OFF THE BC COAST WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. SFC LOW ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WILL DEEPEN
   DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY MAINTAINING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   ANOTHER DAY OF WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/SRN
   KS/OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SLY WINDS 15-25 MPH/ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL AGAIN BE ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES IN OK/NCNTRL
   TX AND KS...THE WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPS AND WINDY CONDITIONS SHOULD
   COMPENSATE. SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   BY LATE MORNING/AFTN. MINIMUM RH VALUES ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND
   HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM WILL RANGE FROM 20-25 PERCENT WITH STRONGER
   WINDS THAN MONDAY. FUELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY WITH NO
   SIGNIFICANT RAINS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/07/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0356 AM CST TUE NOV 08 2005
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE SRN STATES WILL PERSIST
   TODAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS. NRN STREAM IMPULSE WILL MOVE EWD FROM ALBERTA
   TODAY...DEEPENING INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW BY EARLY WED MORNING. AS
   THIS OCCURS...SFC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT EJECTS EWD FROM THE LEE
   OF THE NRN ROCKIES TODAY MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY WED. COLD
   FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SWD INTO THE PLAINS TUE NIGHT AND WILL
   EXTEND FROM THE TX S PLAINS/CNTRL OK/MO OZARKS BY WED MORNING. GUSTY
   SLY WINDS TODAY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF NE NM/TX PANHANDLE AND OK.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NE NM/TX PANHANDLE/OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-30 MPH/ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD
   HIGH TEMPS/DRY FUELS
   
   TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH A
   FEW RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO
   THE 15-30 MPH RANGE...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN
   FIRES. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE MOST CRITICAL /15-20 PERCENT/
   ACROSS NE NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE...BUT FARTHER EAST RH VALUES WILL
   BE WELL ABOVE 30-40 PERCENT. HOWEVER GIVEN THE VERY HIGH KBDI
   VALUES/LOW 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE VALUES AND WINDY AND UNUSUALLY WARM
   CONDITIONS...PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA REMAIN AT RISK FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/08/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST TUE NOV 08 2005
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ZONAL FLOW WILL TRANSITION ON WED TO A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN...WITH NRN
   STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEEPENING INTO A LARGE CLOSED UPPER LOW JUST
   S OF HUDSON BAY BY WED EVE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPPER LOW NOW
   DEVELOPING OFF CA COAST WILL BE CUTOFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW AT LEAST
   THROUGH EARLY THU. ANOTHER LARGE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE
   GULF OF AK AND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTO QUEBEC WILL
   HELP AMPLIFY THE RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SWD ACROSS OK AND NCNTRL TX BY
   EARLY AFTN...WITH AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. NO
   PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT...BUT HIGH TEMPS WILL BE
   AROUND 10-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN ON MON/TUE ACROSS OK/TX PANHANDLE.
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/08/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0251 AM CST WED NOV 09 2005
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SPLIT FLOW PATTERN DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AS CUTOFF LOW OVER
   THE EASTERN PACIFIC MEANDERS SLOWLY EASTWARD...AND STRONG TROUGH
   DEEPENS OVER THE EASTERN STATES. SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE
   NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...FOLLOWED BY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
   BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD
   FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...WITH SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTHERN
   APPALACHIANS TO NORTHEAST TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR
   OVER SOUTHERN/CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AS UPPER LOW APPROACHES COAST.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   GUSTY WINDS DEVELOP AS DRY COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING.
   NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH BRING MUCH DRIER
   POSTFRONTAL AIRMASS TO THE AREA...WITH SURFACE RH FALLING TO 25 TO
   30 PERCENT. STEADY OR FALLING TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ARE EXPECTED
   THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE COMBINATION OF RH AND WIND DO NOT QUITE
   MEET CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...SHIFTING WINDS AND RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS
   COMBINED WITH ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS /KBDI 400 IN THE PANHANDLE
   REGION TO 700 IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA/ PRODUCE AN ABOVE NORMAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT TODAY.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/09/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0326 AM CST WED NOV 09 2005
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN OVER THE NATION AS STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES
   THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL STATES.
   ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WHICH HELPS EASTERN
   PACIFIC CUTOFF SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. THE
   SURFACE PATTERN IS DOMINATED BY A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
   THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE
   NORTHERN ROCKIES. POSTFRONTAL SHOWERS ARE OVER NEW ENGLAND...WITH
   RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SCATTERED
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST AS UPPER LOW MOVES
   INLAND.
   
   ...GULF COAST...
   COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL OFFSHORE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH
   NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIRMASS TO THE
   SOUTHEAST. RH COULD FALL TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT WITH MAX TEMPERATURES
   IN THE MID 60S NORTH TO MID 70S NEAR THE COAST. RH AND WIND BOTH
   APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
   
   ....SRN PLAINS...
   AS SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
   SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARM ADVECTION RETURN TO WEST TEXAS AND THE
   PANHANDLES. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND RH AROUND 20 TO 25
   MPH LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST FLOW HELPS TEMPERATURES RECOVER INTO THE UPPER
   60S AND LOWER 70S.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/09/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0246 AM CST THU NOV 10 2005
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN U.S....
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. TODAY AS ASSOCIATED
   SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES REACHING
   NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE
   FRONTAL PASSAGE...A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND MUCH
   DRIER AIRMASS EXTENDS FROM THE PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST. OUT
   WEST...ANOTHER SEASONABLY STRONG SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST COAST WHICH HELPS EASTERN PACIFIC CUTOFF ADVANCE TOWARD
   THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. SHOWERS LINGER OVER THE NORTHEAST...WITH
   RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE APPROACHING
   UPPER LOW BRINGS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHERN
   CALIFORNIA... ARIZONA...AND THE GREAT BASIN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN AL/SRN GA/FL PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY POSTFRONTAL AIRMASS AND BREEZY NORTH WINDS
   
   SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO CENTRAL SOUTH
   CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING ADVANCES SOUTHWARD REACHING THE NORTHERN
   GULF OF MEXICO AND NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA BY EARLY THIS EVENING.
   WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...USHERING IN A MUCH DRIER CONTINENTAL AIRMASS. TEMPERATURES
   STILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE AND BEGIN
   TO FALL THEREAFTER.  THE RAPIDLY ADVANCING DRY AIRMASS MEANS RH WILL
   FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT...AND PERHAPS TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT OVER
   NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. AS SUNSET APPROACHES
   RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES AND DECREASING WIND BRING A QUICK
   RECOVERY FROM THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   EASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WITH DEVELOPING LEE
   TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS TURNS WINDS TO SOUTHWESTERLY AT 15 TO 20
   MPH OVER WESTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA. TEMPERATURES
   RECOVER TODAY FOLLOWING YESTERDAYS COOL DOWN...AND REACH THE UPPER
   60S TO LOWER 70S WITH MINIMUM RH AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/10/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0406 AM CST THU NOV 10 2005
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FLOW BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE FRIDAY AS CUTOFF LOW FORMERLY OVER THE
   SOUTHWEST BECOMES ENTRAINED IN WESTERLY FLOW AND MOVES INTO THE
   CENTRAL PLAINS LATE IN THE PERIOD. PROGRESSIVE UPPER RIDGE ADVANCES
   TO THE EASTERN STATES...WHILE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND COOL WESTERLY
   FLOW IMPINGE UPON THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. LEE CYCLONE CONSOLIDATES
   OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AS MILD PREFRONTAL AIRMASS OVERSPEADS THE
   PLAINS AND MIDWEST. STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT
   EXTENDS FROM NEW MEXICO TO KANSAS...WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTERED OVER MID ATLANTIC REGION MAINTAINS VERY DRY AIRMASS IN THE
   SOUTHEAST.
   
   ...SOUTHEASTERN STATES...
   TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM LARGE SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE
   CAROLINAS MAINTAINS DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS IN THE SOUTHEAST. MODELS
   SUGGEST THE DRIEST AIR WILL BE LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF
   MISSISSIPPI WHERE MINIMUM RH FALLS TO ABOUT 20 PERCENT...AND AROUND
   25 TO 30 PERCENT ELSEWHERE. WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
   APPROACHING RIDGE AXIS ALOFT KEEP SURFACE WINDS WELL BELOW CRITICAL
   LEVELS AND GENERALLY FROM THE EAST/NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
   
   ...NEW MEXICO/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
   VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH OVER ARIZONA WITH SURFACE COLD FRONT ADVANCING
   TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON BRING SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
   WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH FROM EASTERN NEW MEXICO TO THE SOUTHERN
   PLAINS. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS MINIMUM RH /GENERALLY 25 TO 35
   PERCENT/ WILL STAY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  CLOUDS AND A CHANCE
   OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM OVER THE
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/10/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW OVER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ADVANCES EASTWARD TODAY...
   REACHING THE HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY
   FLOW STRENGTHENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS
   OVER EASTERN COLORADO. HIGH PRESSURE IS THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE IN
   THE EAST...WITH SURFACE HIGH BECOMING CENTERED AROUND THE MID
   ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW
   MAINTAINS THE DRY AIRMASS IN THE SOUTHEAST FOR ANOTHER DAY.
   PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE WESTERN STATES...WITH
   SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY TO THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION...AND RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
   
   ...MS/AL/GA/FL PANHANDLE...
   RH FALLS TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS
   THIS AFTERNOON AS LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
   MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES REACH THE MID 60S TO
   LOW 70S...BUT DUE TO THE LIGHT SURFACE WINDS A LARGE-SCALE CRITICAL
   AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED. AFTERNOON RH BEGINS TO MODERATE ON SATURDAY
   AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OFFSHORE.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS...
   SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH FROM WEST TEXAS TO
   SOUTHERN KANSAS AS LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.
   SURFACE DEWPOINTS INCREASE DURING THE PERIOD...BUT MINIMUM RH STILL
   FALLS TO ABOUT 20 OR 25 PERCENT FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO THE
   PANHANDLES OF TEXAS/OKLAHOMA. EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE WELL
   ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS AND GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/11/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0328 AM CST FRI NOV 11 2005
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SHORT WAVES OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
   CONSOLIDATE OVER THE MIDWEST PLACING MOST OF THE NATION UNDER BROAD
   UPPER TROUGH. SURFACE LOW MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO SOUTHERN
   ONTARIO AS COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDWEST. AN
   EXTENSIVE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS DURING THE
   PERIOD IN MILD PREFRONTAL AIRMASS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO
   THE GREAT LAKES REGION. STRONG WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING RAIN
   AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
   
   DRY AIR LINGERS OVER THE SOUTHEAST...BUT AS THE SURFACE HIGH
   REPOSITIONS ITSELF OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM THE HIGH
   GRADUALLY MOISTEN. AFTERNOON RH IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 30
   PERCENT OVER SUBSTANTIAL AREAS OF THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY.
   
   A WEDGE OF RELATIVELY DRY AIR WITH SURFACE RH AROUND 25 TO 30
   PERCENT COULD REMAIN FROM EASTERN ARKANSAS TO EASTERN INDIANA. BUT
   AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AT 20 TO 30 MPH ANY NEAR CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WOULD BE SHORT-LIVED. CLOUDS AND
   PRECIPITATION REACH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY EVENING.
   
   THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ARE AGAIN SUSCEPTIBLE TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS...PRIMARILY WEST OF THE TROUGH/DRYLINE EXPECTED
   TO REACH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA/TEXAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE PANHANDLE
   REGION OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA WILL SEE WINDS TURN NORTHWEST AT 10 TO
   20 MPH WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND RH AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 11/11/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0413 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN OK/NORTH TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS...WITH
   STRONG/BROAD UPPER TROUGH TRANSITIONING EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL
   STATES...WITH UPPER RIDGING PROGRESSING INTO THE WEST. STRONG COLD
   FRONT WILL RACE E/SE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER/MIDDLE
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS...WITH VERY STRONG WINDS IN ITS WAKE ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL INTERMOUNTAIN REGION
   WILL REINFORCE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SRN CA...WITH SANTA
   ANA SCENARIO/GUSTY WINDS INDUCING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEIGHTENED
   FIRE DANGER ACROSS SRN CA. OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL FURTHER INCREASE
   THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH 10-11 MBS LAX-TPH. NELY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   WILL BE COMMON...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY THROUGH/BELOW PASSES
   AND CANYONS. STRONG OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL PROMOTE TEMPERATURES
   WARMING THROUGH THE 80S AND LOWERING RH VALUES. MINIMUM RH VALUES
   WILL LIKELY DROP TO AROUND 10-15 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH
   VERY POOR RH RECOVERY EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - NRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG N/NE WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   MODERATE OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE GRADIENT WILL EXIST ACROSS NRN CA OWING
   TO 1040+ MB INTERMOUNTAIN HIGH PRESSURE. GUSTY N/NE WINDS OF 15-30
   MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES AND
   CONTINUAL DRYING SHOULD CAUSE RH VALUES TO APPROACH CRITICAL VALUES
   THIS AFTERNOON...WITH POOR RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. NEAR-RECORD AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE 70S AND PERHAPS LOWER 80S ACROSS
   INTERIOR NRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 3 - LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG NLY WINDS AND LOWERING RH
   
   OWING TO INTERMOUNTAIN HIGH PRESSURE/STRONG GRADIENT...GUSTY NLY
   WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MIDDAY ALONG THE CO RIVER VALLEY OF
   FAR SRN NV/SRN CA/WRN AZ. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY.
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES MAY INITIALLY BE MARGINAL...BUT WILL A DOWNWARD
   TREND WILL OCCUR ATTRIBUTABLE TO STRONG MIXING/SUBSIDENCE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 4 - SRN OK/NORTH TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG N/NW WINDS
   
   VERY STRONG AND GUSTY N/NW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN WAKE OF STRONG COLD
   FRONT SWEEPING SEWD ACROSS SRN OK/NORTH TX THIS MORNING. WINDS OF
   25-35 MPH WILL DEVELOP EARLY TODAY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS /40-50 MPH/
   POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON ATTRIBUTABLE TO DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
   TRANSFER. IN SPITE OF COOLING POST-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES...THE
   MAGNITUDE OF THE WIND SPEEDS COUPLED WITH DRY VEGETATION AND
   SUFFICIENTLY LOW RH VALUES WILL CAUSE A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 11/15/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0422 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SCNTRL/SE TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN WILL PERSIST AS EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH
   TRANSITIONS EWD ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY...WITH COLD FRONT
   PUSHING EWD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC STATES DURING THE DAY. UPPER RIDGING
   WILL EXIST ACROSS THE WRN STATES...WITH BROAD SFC HIGH PRESSURE
   PREVALENT ACROSS THE ROCKIES/CNTRL STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT/SANTA ANA SCENARIO WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   SRN CA ON WEDNESDAY. GUSTY NELY WINDS WILL BE COMMON BELOW
   CANYONS/PASSES...ALTHOUGH OFFSHORE GRADIENT MAY WEAKEN /7-9 MBS
   LAX-TPH/ SOMEWHAT DURING THE DAY. PERSISTENCE OF OFFSHORE GRADIENT
   WILL AGAIN YIELD WARM 80S TEMPERATURES...WITH RH VALUES LOWERING TO
   AROUND 8-12 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COAST. RH RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN
   POOR INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - SCNTRL/SE TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH AND GUSTY NLY WINDS
   
   ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES /UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S/ WILL BE COOL IN WAKE
   OF THE COLD FRONT...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WITH CRITICAL RH VALUES OF
   15-25 PERCENT WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF SCNTRL/SE TX WEDNESDAY
   AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE RATHER LOW RH VALUES...GUSTY NLY WINDS
   OF 15-20 MPH APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A CRITICAL FIRE OUTLOOK.
   
   ...NRN CA...
   OFFSHORE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN ACROSS NRN CA
   OWING TO A SIMILAR WEAKENING TREND OF NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES HIGH
   PRESSURE. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD /70S/ AND RH VALUES
   RELATIVELY LOW...DIMINISHED WIND SPEEDS SHOULD MITIGATE THE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 11/15/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

High winds fan flames in North Texas

DALLAS, Texas (WFAA ABC 8) - High winds played havoc with efforts to fight two fires in the Dallas area Tuesday morning.

Dallas Fire-Rescue called three alarms at the Condominiums of Bent Trail complex in the 6200 block of Bentwood Trail, near Preston Road and the President George Bush Turnpike in far North Dallas.

Six units in one building were heavily damaged as firefighters used water and foam to put down the flames in the two-story structure.

Extra manpower was called in due to concern that sparks from the fire could spread to adjacent buildings in the complex.

No residents or firefighters were hurt.

At the same time, in Flower Mound, firefighters from three neighboring cities pitched in to help fight a brush fire in the 2800 block of Scenic Drive.

High winds, gusting to 38 mph, also stymied fire crews at this location, on the north side of Lake Grapevine. As of 11:50 a.m., the fire had consumed about 25 acres.

The National Weather Service issued a Red Flag Warning for the northwest sector of North Texas because the windy conditions coupled with dry weather and low humidity increase fire danger.

The weather service said the Red Flag alert should end by sunset Tuesday.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0133 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2005
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTRY
   TODAY...AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE ERN 1/3RD OF THE
   NATION...WHILE A STRONG UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE WEST. LOW RH
   READINGS WILL AGAIN BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE WEST AS A RESULT OF
   THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE. MEANWHILE...DRY MID LEVEL NWLY FLOW
   WILL REMAIN OVER THE PLAINS STATES. DOWNSLOPE NATURE OF THE LOW
   LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN WARM TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS
   5-10 DEG ABOVE NORMAL. DESPITE LOW RH READINGS...LACK OF MODERATE
   SURFACE WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER
   THIS REGION.
   
   ...SRN PLAINS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...
   AFTERNOON WNWLY WINDS FROM 5-15 MPH WILL OCCUR FROM THE SRN PLAINS
   EWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE FLOW WILL
   AID IN GRADUALLY WARMING LOW LEVELS WITH SFC TEMPERATURES IN THE
   UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. GIVEN PRESENCE OF LOW DEWPTS...CONSEQUENT RH
   READINGS WILL AVERAGE FROM 20-30 PERCENT. GIVEN LACK OF STRONGER LOW
   LEVEL FLOW...OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL
   LEVELS.
   
   ...CA...
   OFFSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN LIMITED TODAY DUE TO PRESENCE OF AN UPPER
   TROUGH OFFSHORE. DESPITE PRESENCE OF WEAK ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE
   COAST...THE MARINE LAYER IS FCST TO BE SUFFICIENTLY SHALLOW THAT
   MTNS/INTERIOR VALLEYS WILL STILL SEE WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT. LACK OF SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 20 MPH
   WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/22/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0133 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2005
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER TROUGH OFF THE CA COAST DURING DAY ONE...WILL MOVE TOWARDS
   NWRN MEXICO AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   MEANWHILE...A BROAD UPPER RIDGE WILL RESIDE OVER MOST OF THE
   REMAINDER OF THE WEST...AND BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL RESIDE OVER
   THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW
   COUPLED WITH MILD TEMPERATURES OVER THE SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS WILL LEAD
   TO INCREASING FIRE DANGERS AND AT LEAST NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREATS ARE APPARENT.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
   AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM SRN CANADA INTO THE
   GREAT LAKES...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
   REGION EARLY IN THE DAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS TROUGH...STEEPENING LOW
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL FLOW IN THE
   LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET AGL WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN WSWLY SFC
   WINDS OVER THE AREA. FCST WIND SPEEDS ARE FROM 10-20 MPH...WITH THE
   STRONGEST WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF NRN KS/SRN NEB...CLOSER TO THE SFC
   LOW PRESSURE AREA. WITH THE AID OF DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE LOW
   LEVEL FLOW...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE FROM 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
   NORMAL...RANGING FROM THE MID 60S IN NRN NEB TO THE LOWER 80S IN
   CENTRAL TX. ALONG WITH LOW DEWPT READINGS...MIN RH READINGS WILL
   AVERAGE BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT /LOWEST IN THE HIGH PLAINS/. PORTIONS
   OF THIS REGION WILL BE MONITORED FOR STRONGER WINDS AND POSSIBLE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   SWLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH DURING THE
   PERIOD AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF INTO THE GULF AND LOW
   PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION. LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE RETURN
   /LOW DEWPTS/ COMBINED WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO MIN
   RH READINGS FROM 30-40 PERCENT. GIVEN RECENT WETTING RAINFALL AND
   MARGINAL WIND SPEEDS...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 11/22/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0222 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL FEATURE A POLAR VORTEX MOVING INTO THE
   UPPER GREAT LAKES...WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE ACROSS THE WRN
   STATES. CIRCULATION CENTER NOTED IN EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR
   IMAGERY OFF THE CA COAST IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN INTO AN UPPER LOW BY
   EARLY THU...WITH A LEAD IMPULSE PROGRESSING INTO THE SOUTHWEST. AT
   THE SFC...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS/MN/IA
   TODAY...BRINGING ANOTHER SURGE OF POLAR AIR INTO THE REGION.
   ALTHOUGH THE MAIN JET STREAK WILL MOVE ACROSS MN/WI...STRONG WINDS
   BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SFC WILL AFFECT THE HIGH PLAINS. THE WINDIER
   CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/LOW RH WILL INCREASE
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ...WRN SD/WRN NEB...
   TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
   PAST FEW DAYS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WLY /DOWNSLOPE/ WINDS. SFC WINDS
   WILL BECOME MORE NWLY ACROSS THE DAKOTAS INTO KS. ONCE THE MORNING
   INVERSION BREAKS...SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-30 MPH RANGE
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE
   ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES...OR ABOVE 20 PERCENT WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
   IN THE 60S.
   
   ...WRN KS/OK...
   WLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PERSIST ANOTHER DAY IN THIS
   REGION...BOOSTING TEMPS WELL INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. MINIMUM
   RH VALUES WILL BE AOA 20 PERCENT WITH SFC WINDS IN THE 10-20 MPH
   RANGE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MORNING INVERSION WILL TAKE
   SEVERAL HOURS TO BREAK...WHICH WILL LIMIT STRONGEST WINDS TO THE
   EARLY/MID AFTN. MARGINAL WINDS AND RH WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/23/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0224 AM CST WED NOV 23 2005
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SHOULD BE MINIMAL ON THU. A MAJOR WINTER
   SNOWSTORM IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND A POTENT
   COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO THE GULF COAST
   STATES AND SRN PLAINS. IN THE WEST...UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BE FORCED
   EWD AND WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SYSTEM FROM THE ERN PACIFIC.
   MEANWHILE...UPPER LOW NOW OFF CA COAST WILL TAKE A SLY TRACK ACROSS
   BAJA. SLY RETURN FLOW WILL INCREASE HOWEVER BY FRIDAY ACROSS THE
   PLAINS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/23/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 AM CST WED NOV 30 2005
   
   VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AND SRN OK / NRN AND NW TX /
   SERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES WILL MOVE SEWD INTO
   THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT
   WILL SINK SWD THROUGH ERN CO AND WRN KS...REACHING THE TX PANHANDLE
   BY LATE AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL COMBINE
   WITH A HIGH TO THE EAST TO INCREASE SWLY WINDS. A VERY DRY AIR MASS
   IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...AND WITH LITTLE
   MOISTENING...VERY LOW RH IS EXPECTED. THIS SAME AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL ALSO CAUSE LOW RH VALUES ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
   AND GULF COAST STATES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AND SRN OK / NRN AND NW TX /
   SERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
   
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS RESIDES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND SWRN STATES
   WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS OR LOWER THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH
   SOME MOISTENING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES...RH
   WILL REMAIN VERY LOW...FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS OVER ERN NM
   / FAR W TX TO THE 20S INTO N TX AND SRN OK. WINDS WILL INCREASE
   QUICKLY BY THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY WITH SUSTAINED S WINDS OF 20-25 MPH
   AND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY BE LESS OVER SERN NM /
   SWRN TX...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS NEAR THE MTNS. THE GREATEST FIRE
   POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE FROM N TX INTO ERN OK...WHERE KBDI VALUES
   ARE IN EXCESS OF 600.
   
   BY LATE AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NWRN PORTIONS OF THE
   CRITICAL AREA...EXTENDING FROM NWRN OK TO NEAR AMARILLO TO CLOVIS
   AND SHIFTING WINDS TO NWLY AT 15-20 MPH. BY THIS TIME...RH VALUES
   WILL BE INCREASING AS TEMPERATURES RAPIDLY COOL DURING THE EVENING.
   
   ...SRN MS VALLEY EWD INTO GA/FL...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WHICH WILL KEEP
   TEMPERATURES COOL BUT RH LOW. AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES OF 25-30
   PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE AREA FROM THE SABINE RIVER EWD
   INTO GA AND NRN FL WHILE TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO EXCEED 60 DEGREES.
   LIGHT WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH AND COOL TEMPERATURES/SHALLOW
   MIXING LAYERS WILL TEMPER FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/30/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 AM CST WED NOV 30 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE OVER THE ROCKIES THURSDAY...AS STRONG
   SHORTWAVE SHIFTS QUICKLY E OUT OF THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE MID
   ATLANTIC. AT THE SURFACE...A REINFORCING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   SETTLE INTO THE SRN PLAINS / LOWER MS VALLEY. FARTHER W...A POWERFUL
   AND EXPANSIVE STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE PACIFIC COAST
   STATES...AND WILL AFFECT MOST OF THE WRN STATES BY FRIDAY MORNING
   WITH COOLER AND MORE MOIST CONDITIONS.
   
   ...AL/GA/FL...
   A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE...WITH MIN
   RH VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE UP FROM PREVIOUS DAY...SUSTAINED AT ABOUT 10 MPH OUT
   OF THE NW. FIRE THREAT WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY INTO THE EVENING WITH
   GOOD RH RECOVERY AND COLD TEMPERATURES.
   
   ...SRN AND ERN OK / NRN TX...
   A DRY POST FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL KEEP RH VALUE LOW DURING THE
   DAYTIME...FROM 20-30 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN ON
   PREVIOUS DAY...FROM 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE N.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/30/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0259 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SERN
   STATES...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WHICH
   WILL SWING EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. LOW RH VALUES WILL ACCOMPANY
   THE HIGH WITH GENERALLY LIGHT BUT OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS.
   MEANWHILE...LEE TROUGHING BENEATH DEVELOPING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
   ONCE AGAIN CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO BECOME SLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
   SRN HIGH PLAINS. FARTHER W...A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
   AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA W OF THE ROCKIES WITH PRECIPITATION.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND NRN FLORIDA / SRN GA AND AL...
   LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY DUE TO A
   VERY DRY AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WIND
   GUSTS. TEMPERATURES LARGELY IN THE 60S F WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH
   VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT. WHILE WINDS WILL ONLY AVERAGE NEAR 10
   MPH...SOME AREAS COULD SEE HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN FL WHERE RH WILL ALSO BE A BIT HIGHER.
   OVERALL...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL LIKELY LIE ACROSS THE FL
   PANHANDLE REGION WHERE KBDI VALUES RANGE BETWEEN 400-600.
   
   ...SRN OK / NRN TX / WRN AR...
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL AND DRY WITHIN POST FRONTAL AIR MASS WITH
   TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM NEAR 50 IN OK TO NEAR 60 INTO CENTRAL TX.
   RH LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW WITH AFTERNOON MIN VALUES OF 20-30
   PERCENT. NLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH...AND WILL
   DIMINISH QUICKLY BY EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   MODERATELY STRONG S WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WILL RETURN TO ERN NM AND WRN
   TX TODAY...AS LEE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER ERN CO AND NERN NM. ALTHOUGH
   WINDY...RH LEVELS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY LOW DUE TO COOL
   TEMPERATURES...AVERAGING 20-30 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0317 AM CST THU DEC 01 2005
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS ON FRIDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE TX PANHANDLE
   WITH STRONG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO REMAIN OVER
   THE SERN STATES WHERE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG
   UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH NEW ENGLAND WITH COLD AND WINDY
   CONDITIONS...AND PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
   STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS  AND LOW RH
   
   STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL
   OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NM INTO WRN TX...AS UPPER LEVEL
   JET STREAM SHIFTS SWD OVER THE AREA. A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
   PLACE WITH RH DIPPING TO NEAR 15 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES RISE TO
   75-80 F. RH RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW DURING THE EVENING AS WINDS REMAIN
   ABOVE 15-20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...OK INTO NRN AND CENTRAL TX...
   WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN THESE AREAS AS WELL...WITH
   SUSTAINED SLY SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. MITIGATING
   FACTOR HERE WILL BE MARGINAL RH VALUES...AVERAGING 30-35 PERCENT.
   GIVEN VERY DRY FUELS...SOME THREAT WILL EXIST DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS BUT RH LEVELS WILL RECOVERY QUICKLY BY EVENING. IF RH LEVELS
   FALL BELOW CURRENT FORECAST VALUES...PORTIONS OF THIS AREA COULD BE
   UPGRADED TO CRITICAL IN NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK.
   
   ...GULF COAST STATES AND CAROLINAS...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA ALBEIT SOMEWHAT WEAKENED.
   WHILE RH WILL STILL REMAIN LOW AT 25-30 PERCENT DURING THE DAY WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S...WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT AT
   AROUND 5 MPH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 12/01/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...