
severethundrstorms!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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severethundrstorms!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Hi hurrdavid,
This is the info out of Melborne with regards to the severe weather threat for the Orlando\central FL areas
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHEST FROM AROUND THE
ORLANDO METRO AREA AND CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO
EXISTS FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS
APPROACH THE EAST COAST...WHERE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE GREATEST.
Take care and keep an ear and eye on the local alerts if they are issued
This is the info out of Melborne with regards to the severe weather threat for the Orlando\central FL areas
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHEST FROM AROUND THE
ORLANDO METRO AREA AND CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO
EXISTS FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS
APPROACH THE EAST COAST...WHERE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE GREATEST.
Take care and keep an ear and eye on the local alerts if they are issued

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EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
607 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT:
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR THE ALABAMA COAST THIS MORNING IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA TONIGHT. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
DESTABILIZE TODAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW AND PARTIAL BREAKS OF SUNSHINE
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S. WIND FIELDS
AND SHEAR VALUES WILL BE STRONG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN CENTRAL
FLORIDA. STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND AN ORGANIZED LINE
OF STORMS MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHEST FROM AROUND THE
ORLANDO METRO AREA AND CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO
EXISTS FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS
APPROACH THE EAST COAST...WHERE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE GREATEST.
ADDITIONALLY...A DEEP FETCH OF MOISTURE AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW MAY ALSO BRING SOME PERSISTENT AND HEAVY RAINS. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAIN AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES MAY FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...LEADING TO FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
ALSO...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL RESULT IN A
NORTHWARD FLOWING LONG SHORE CURRENT NEAR THE BEACHES TODAY. A LONG
SHORE CURRENT FLOWS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH AND CAN BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
KNOCK YOU OFF A SAND BAR AND INTO DEEP WATER. NEVER TRY TO SWIM
DIRECTLY AGAINST THE CURRENT...AND ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A
LIFE GUARD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE LIKELY FRIDAY...WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL ACCELERATE
UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD SATURDAY...WITH SOME DRIER AIR WORKING INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA. AS THIS OCCURS...STORM COVERAGE WILL DECREASE OVER
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD BE READY TO SELF ACTIVATE IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA.
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...GO TO
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
607 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT:
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR THE ALABAMA COAST THIS MORNING IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA TONIGHT. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
DESTABILIZE TODAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW AND PARTIAL BREAKS OF SUNSHINE
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S. WIND FIELDS
AND SHEAR VALUES WILL BE STRONG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IN CENTRAL
FLORIDA. STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...AND AN ORGANIZED LINE
OF STORMS MAY DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHEST FROM AROUND THE
ORLANDO METRO AREA AND CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. THE POTENTIAL ALSO
EXISTS FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY AS THE STORMS
APPROACH THE EAST COAST...WHERE SHEAR VALUES WILL BE GREATEST.
ADDITIONALLY...A DEEP FETCH OF MOISTURE AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW MAY ALSO BRING SOME PERSISTENT AND HEAVY RAINS. LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAIN AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES MAY FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...LEADING TO FLOODING OF ROADS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
ALSO...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL RESULT IN A
NORTHWARD FLOWING LONG SHORE CURRENT NEAR THE BEACHES TODAY. A LONG
SHORE CURRENT FLOWS PARALLEL TO THE BEACH AND CAN BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
KNOCK YOU OFF A SAND BAR AND INTO DEEP WATER. NEVER TRY TO SWIM
DIRECTLY AGAINST THE CURRENT...AND ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A
LIFE GUARD. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE LIKELY FRIDAY...WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL ACCELERATE
UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD SATURDAY...WITH SOME DRIER AIR WORKING INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA. AS THIS OCCURS...STORM COVERAGE WILL DECREASE OVER
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD BE READY TO SELF ACTIVATE IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA.
FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...GO TO
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
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Excerpt from Storm Prediction Centers "Day 1":
...NRN FL/SRN-SERN GA/SRN SC...
ALTHOUGH THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FROM CENTRAL NC SWD INTO
THE FL PANHANDLE MAY LIMIT THE INSTABILITY. LAPSE RATES ARE POOR...
THOUGH SURFACE DEWPOINTS FROM 65F TO 70F SHOULD SUPPORT MODERATE
INSTABILITY. LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...BUT WEAK CAPPING SHOULD ALSO
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. THE DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR
INCREASES OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A SLOWLY DEEPENING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. SEVERE POTENTIAL
WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AS WIND PROFILES
WOULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR STORM UPDRAFTS TO BECOME ORGANIZED.
ASSUMING INSTABILITY IS MAINTAINED...STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A FEW TORNADOES
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK.
...NRN FL/SRN-SERN GA/SRN SC...
ALTHOUGH THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FROM CENTRAL NC SWD INTO
THE FL PANHANDLE MAY LIMIT THE INSTABILITY. LAPSE RATES ARE POOR...
THOUGH SURFACE DEWPOINTS FROM 65F TO 70F SHOULD SUPPORT MODERATE
INSTABILITY. LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL INCREASE AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...BUT WEAK CAPPING SHOULD ALSO
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. THE DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR
INCREASES OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A SLOWLY DEEPENING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. SEVERE POTENTIAL
WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AS WIND PROFILES
WOULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR STORM UPDRAFTS TO BECOME ORGANIZED.
ASSUMING INSTABILITY IS MAINTAINED...STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A FEW TORNADOES
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK.
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