Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5
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jlauderdal
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- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
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My word. NWS update with three exclamation marks.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
...IMMINENT LANDFALL FOR MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA...
...NEW INFORMATION...
FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SHIFTING FROM
TORNADOES...TO LOCAL FLOODING...AND THEN TO DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH WILMAS EYEWALL AS IT PLOWS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO
TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH
OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN
BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 175 MILES MILES SOUTHWEST OF STUART.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY SAFELY INSIDE
AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
THEIR AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER. IN THE
EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER
RAINBANDS AND EYEWALL OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
...WIND IMPACTS...
NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND IS MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT
FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE
PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! THE THREAT
FOR WIND GUSTS TO 110 MPH EXISTS FOR PARTS OF MARTIN AND SAINT
LUCIE COUNTIES AS THE LARGE EYEWALL OF WILMA APPROACHES...AND THEN
MOVES OFFSHORE IN VICINITY OF STUART AND PALM BEACH LATER THIS
MORNING. IF THE THREAT SITUATION PRESENTS ITSELF...WARNINGS WILL BE
ISSUED FOR THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYEWALL AND
INNER BANDS. PEOPLE SHOULD TREAT THESE WARNINGS AS THEY WOULD TORNADO
WARNINGS...TAKING THE SAME ACTION TO PROTECT THEIR LIVES. AGAIN...
THIS IS A VERY REAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE
COUNTIES.
THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING
MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED
TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME
LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE
WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS CAN NOW BE EXPECTED
ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES...AND TO BEGIN SPREADING ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...
SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BY 8 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BEGIN FOR OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...
SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY
SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID
MORNING.
...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SLOWLY GIVE
WAY TO THE ACTUAL WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH WILMA AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES. HOWEVER...UNTIL THAT TIME...A HIGH THREAT FOR TORNADOES
WILL PERSIST.
...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
LAKE...VOLUSIA...AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 11 AM. DOPPLER
RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE A LARGE AREA HAS RECEIVED ONE TO THREE
INCHES OF RAIN WITH A FEW SPOTS RECEIVING TOTALS IN EXCESS OF SIX TO
EIGHT INCHES SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS WITH TWO TO FOUR INCHES
OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. ONCE
HURRICANE WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE...THE RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING STANDING
WATER AND FLOODING PROBLEMS...AND LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF
STREETS...INTERSECTIONS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF
WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE
LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON OVER AREAS
INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO
LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE
SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING
TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE
LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE
AROUND 9 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE
VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO.
$$
DWS
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
...IMMINENT LANDFALL FOR MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA...
...NEW INFORMATION...
FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SHIFTING FROM
TORNADOES...TO LOCAL FLOODING...AND THEN TO DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH WILMAS EYEWALL AS IT PLOWS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO
TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH
OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN
BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 175 MILES MILES SOUTHWEST OF STUART.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY SAFELY INSIDE
AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
THEIR AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER. IN THE
EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER
RAINBANDS AND EYEWALL OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
...WIND IMPACTS...
NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND IS MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT
FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE
PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! THE THREAT
FOR WIND GUSTS TO 110 MPH EXISTS FOR PARTS OF MARTIN AND SAINT
LUCIE COUNTIES AS THE LARGE EYEWALL OF WILMA APPROACHES...AND THEN
MOVES OFFSHORE IN VICINITY OF STUART AND PALM BEACH LATER THIS
MORNING. IF THE THREAT SITUATION PRESENTS ITSELF...WARNINGS WILL BE
ISSUED FOR THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYEWALL AND
INNER BANDS. PEOPLE SHOULD TREAT THESE WARNINGS AS THEY WOULD TORNADO
WARNINGS...TAKING THE SAME ACTION TO PROTECT THEIR LIVES. AGAIN...
THIS IS A VERY REAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE
COUNTIES.
THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING
MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE
WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED
TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME
LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE
WINDS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS CAN NOW BE EXPECTED
ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER
COUNTIES...AND TO BEGIN SPREADING ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...
SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BY 8 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BEGIN FOR OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...
SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY
SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID
MORNING.
...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL
11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SLOWLY GIVE
WAY TO THE ACTUAL WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH WILMA AS THE MORNING
PROGRESSES. HOWEVER...UNTIL THAT TIME...A HIGH THREAT FOR TORNADOES
WILL PERSIST.
...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
LAKE...VOLUSIA...AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 11 AM. DOPPLER
RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE A LARGE AREA HAS RECEIVED ONE TO THREE
INCHES OF RAIN WITH A FEW SPOTS RECEIVING TOTALS IN EXCESS OF SIX TO
EIGHT INCHES SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
TO TWO INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS WITH TWO TO FOUR INCHES
OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. ONCE
HURRICANE WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE...THE RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING STANDING
WATER AND FLOODING PROBLEMS...AND LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF
STREETS...INTERSECTIONS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF
WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC.
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE
LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON OVER AREAS
INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO
LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE
SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING
TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE
LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.
...MARINE IMPACTS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE
AROUND 9 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE
VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO.
$$
DWS
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markymark8
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 111
- Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 11:57 am
- Location: North Carolina
I really doubt this storm has 125 mph sustained winds. Maybe in gusts in certain places. I really dont think the winds are making mixing to the surface. The everglades would be the judge of that for sure but how can u get an actual wind reading from there??? It seems there is only a small part of the storm that has these winds if even at all. Nobody else has measured anything close to 100mph from what i have seen so far. Maybe the western eyewall will be stronger.
Last edited by markymark8 on Mon Oct 24, 2005 5:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Scorpion
markymark8 wrote:I really doubt this storm has 125 mph sustained winds. Maybe in gusts in certain places. I really dont think the winds are making mixing to the surface. The everglades would be the judge of that for sure but how can u get an actual wind reading from there??? It seems there is only a small part of the storm that has these winds if even at all. Nobody else has measured anything close to 100mph from what i have seen so far. Maybe the western eyewall will be stronger.
You downplay every freakin storm.
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Scorpion wrote:markymark8 wrote:I really doubt this storm has 125 mph sustained winds. Maybe in gusts in certain places. I really dont think the winds are making mixing to the surface. The everglades would be the judge of that for sure but how can u get an actual wind reading from there??? It seems there is only a small part of the storm that has these winds if even at all. Nobody else has measured anything close to 100mph from what i have seen so far. Maybe the western eyewall will be stronger.
You downplay every freakin storm.
I still have the telegraph paper from his comments on the 1919 storm:
"TIS ONLY A BLUSTRY WIND STOP I AM GOING TO FLY A KITE STOP STORM CANCEL STOP"
Last edited by Windy on Mon Oct 24, 2005 5:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Fox News is reporting that NHC says the storm just made landfall near Cape Romano, FL.
000
WTNT64 KNHC 241033
TCUAT4
HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
630 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
AT 630 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA MADE LANDFALL VERY
NEAR CAPE ROMANO FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE
ESTIMATED TO BE 125 MPH...A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE.
FORECASTER PASCH
000
WTNT64 KNHC 241033
TCUAT4
HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
630 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
AT 630 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA MADE LANDFALL VERY
NEAR CAPE ROMANO FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE
ESTIMATED TO BE 125 MPH...A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE.
FORECASTER PASCH
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jlauderdal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 7182
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
markymark8 wrote:I really doubt this storm has 125 mph sustained winds. Maybe in gusts in certain places. I really dont think the winds are making mixing to the surface. The everglades would be the judge of that for sure but how can u get an actual wind reading from there??? It seems there is only a small part of the storm that has these winds if even at all. Nobody else has measured anything close to 100mph from what i have seen so far. Maybe the western eyewall will be stronger.
i really think you have no clue what you are talking about.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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