Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[THead]

The way she is layed out, with the huge eye, you'd be better off being in the landfall location, instead of getting raked by the whole length of the north or south eyewall.

[vaffie]

The way she is layed out, with the huge eye, you'd be better off being in the landfall location, instead of getting raked by the whole length of the north or south eyewall.

That's the sad thing...that's what Miami and Fort Lauderdale are going to experience...the whole raking.

[WxGuy1]

I would be VERY surprised if damage exceeded $15 billion. Cmon, Ivan, Charlie, Frances, etc, were all <$15 billion last year. It takes quite a storm hitting expensive real estate to encroach upon the $25 billion mark.

Clearly you've never been to Naples... There's easily $10-20 billion within two miles of the beach in Collier County.

I have been to Naples, but you would need complete destruction of every house/condo/etc to realize that. I'm not saying we won't see $10 bil., but I'm a little skeptic of >Andrew type of damages. If she was Cat 4, then maybe yes. Than again, her biggest impacts haven't even been felt yet, so who are we to argue? LOL

[Scorpion]

I am afraid we might get the brunt of the southern eyewall. It is moving NE right now so perhaps it will landfall at Naples or north. This would put Palm Beach County and Broward under the worst conditions. Perhaps 105-120 sustained would be possible.

[CronkPSU]

eye is definitely contracting now

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/radbyx.html

[THead]

About to really start heatin up in the Keys.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml

Best local Miami/Ft Laud live feed available IMO.

http://www.cbs4.com/

[Droop12]

Despite the newest recon report, according to my eye's the overall eye of Wilma seems to have contracted a bit and may continue to do so. That certainly wouldnt be a good thing and IMO its possible she could make it to a legit 120-125mph Cat 3 before landfall.

[eyewall07]

Reading in West Kendall which is about 20 sw of Miami is 998.5mb

[Brent]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

...WILMA HEADED FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS LASHING THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 140 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...AND AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... WILMA IS A LARGE
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA WELL BEFORE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE EYEWALL... ACCOMPANIED BY THE STRONGEST WINDS...
WILL REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA ABOUT 2 HOURS BEFORE
THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS
LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH WAS REPORTED AT HAVANA CUBA AND
A WIND GUST TO 49 MPH WAS REPORTED AT KEY WEST.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 17 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY... AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA.

WILMA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES THROUGH TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA. RAINFALL
ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...
INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TODAY.

SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION......24.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

[HURAKAN]

LOOKING "NICE" HERE!

[jkt21787]

I will soon turn in for the night, but do want to leave my thoughts and prayers to all of you Floridians tonight. I hope for the best for you guys. Good luck and be safe!

[DrStorm]

Ak! How can you watch this thing all day and then go to bed hours from landfall!!!!

[THead]

I will soon turn in for the night, but do want to leave my thoughts and prayers to all of you Floridians tonight. I hope for the best for you guys. Good luck and be safe!

Thanks. I tried to turn in, but turned right back out........

[floridahurricaneguy]

Good night. wish everyone luck. Hope we end up alright here. Just worried about tornados. I am getting up around 6 to see whats goin on .

Matt

[jkt21787]

Ak! How can you watch this thing all day and then go to bed hours from landfall!!!!

Sorry , but I have college tomorrow! I will be up early, so I might catch landfall actually.

[vaffie]

Where's an ERC when you need one?!

[THead]

Hmm, none of these radars are updating. NWS having comm problems, CBS 4 is saying. Perfect timing!!

[CronkPSU]

these two i am using are updating at least

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... raprod=n0z

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/radbyx.html

[vaffie]

Did you guys realize that 35 "Hurricane Andrew eyes" could comfortably fit within Wilma's eye with 80 square miles of space left over...

[Brent]

I will soon turn in for the night, but do want to leave my thoughts and prayers to all of you Floridians tonight. I hope for the best for you guys. Good luck and be safe!

Thanks. I tried to turn in, but turned right back out........

LOL... I've been up for 17 hours now and I'm not sleepy at all.

I don't know what I'm gonna do with myself when the tropics are finally done.