Tampa Thread:Pasco,Pinellas,Hillsborough, Manatee

[Noah]

Please retract that doom and gloom statement, There is no reason to flame me.

But it is absolutely true that we won't know where Wilma is going until the trough picks her up and brings her there.. Could be Tampa, could be the Keys, could miss Florida..

We don't know.. So excuse me.. I cover every potential perameter and am not a doom and gloomer thank you very much..

I happened to have a lot of friends who were whipped by the 3 canes up here last year.. I myself got a big scare from Charley, but am still incredibly fascinated by the power of these winds. I am not afraid to admit that Charley DID NOT take that away.

So excuse me but please retract the doom and gloom statement..

Maybe if charley took your home away like it did a few of my friends and my family got hit hard, you would be less fascinated with winds?? Just a thought.

[Josephine96]

I'll actually have you know that back in 1998, I was inside a house that was severely damaged by that horrific night of tornadoes we had up here,..

But.. That still wasn't enough to take my fears away. Tornadoes scare me to death, but hurricanes just like tornadoes are all a part of nature.

I do now get all jumpy everytime I hear tornado warnings, but hurricanes for me are different. The power of the winds is actually an exciting thing for me to watch.

[TampaFl]

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
940 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

FLZ050-051-055-060-062-065-222100-
/X.NEW.KTBW.CF.S.0001.051022T1500Z-051023T0300Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
940 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY

SWELLS FROM HURRICANE WILMA WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR RIP
CURRENTS TODAY ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLAND BEACHES OF THE SUNCOAST.
AT 745 AM THIS MORNING...A LOCAL OBSERVER REPORTED 2 TO 4 FEET OF
SURF OF WHICH ALL WAS SWELL RELATED. THE SOUTHWESTERLY
SWELL...RUNNING INTO THE SHORELINE...IS NOTORIOUS FOR PRODUCING
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

THOUGH SURF IS RISING...IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT CHEST HEIGHT
OR LOWER THROUGH THE DAY. BECAUSE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES ARE
EXPECTED LATER TODAY...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL NOT BE ISSUED AT
THIS TIME.A RIP CURRENT IS A 10 TO 30 YARD WIDE CHANNEL OF WATER THAT CAN
PULL EVEN A STRONG SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER.

TO AVOID GETTING CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM AT GUARDED
BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL. AT UNGUARDED
BEACHES AND NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND INLETS...DO NOT GO INTO THE
SURF MUCH ABOVE YOUR KNEES.

IF CAUGHT IN THE SEAWARD PULL OF A RIP CURRENT...DO NOT ATTEMPT
TO MOVE DIRECTLY TOWARD SHORE. INSTEAD...MOVE SIDEWAYS ACROSS THE
RIP CURRENT UNTIL THE PULL EASES. ANOTHER METHOD OF ESCAPE IS TO
LET THE RIP CURRENT PULL YOU SEAWARD 50 TO 100 YARDS...WHERE THE
FORCE WEAKENS. THEN...SWIM TOWARD THE BEACH AT AN ANGLE AWAY FROM
THE CURRENT.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW


$$


BSG

[TampaFl]

FXUS62 KTBW 221354
AFDTBW

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
955 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...FORECAST STILL ON TRACK FOR SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CHANGES BY
MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...REST OF TODAY: A SOMEWHAT TRICKY FORECAST FOR THIS
AFTERNOON REGARDING IF...AND WHERE...BAND OF HEAVY RAINS SETS UP.
THE EVENTUAL DEVELOPMENT WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE CONVERGENT ZONE
SETS UP. GFS SHOWS WHAT COULD BE A SPURIOUS SHORT WAVE SLIDING
ACROSS CENTRAL FL LATER TODAY/THIS EVENING SETTING OFF AN
IMPRESSIVE BAND OF VERTICAL MOTION AND HENCE HEAVY RAINS.
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE FOLLOWS SUIT WITH RAIN CHANCES NEAR 100 PERCENT
ASSUMED BETWEEN 21Z AND 03Z GENERALLY FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH...AND QPF
VALUES OVER 2 INCHES. SHOULD THIS OCCUR...WILL NEED TO CONSIDER THE
NEED FOR A FLOOD WATCH IN ASSOCIATION WITH WILMA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY. OTHERWISE...RAINS ARE CONSIDERED BENEFICIAL MORE THAN
ANYTHING ELSE AFTER A VERY DRY END TO THE TYPICAL RAINY SEASON.

THE NAM IS MUCH LESS AGGRESSIVE...WHICH MAY BE MORE REALISTIC.
FOR NOW...WILL CONTINUE THE NUMEROUS SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM WORDING FOR
ALL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TWEAK AS NECESSARY LATER THIS MORNING
AS TIME PERMITS.

FOR NOW...NO UPDATES PLANNED TO ZONES.

THEREAFTER...THE FOCUS IS ON WILMA AND THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
LINK UP WITH THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST MODEL TRACKS REMAIN IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH LOCATION...STILL HONING IN ON COLLIER
COUNTY...BUT CONTINUE TO WAFFLE ON TIMING AS THE 06Z RUNS WERE
SEVERAL HOURS SLOWER THAN THE 00Z RUNS. THE BIG PICTURE WEATHER FOR
THIS EVENT CONTINUES TO BE THE SAME: A NASTY DAY MONDAY WITH RAIN
AND COOLING WINDS GUSTING OVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM SARASOTA
NORTH...AND SHIFTING WINDS FROM EAST TO NORTH GUSTING NEAR OR ABOVE
HURRICANE FORCE IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY ALONG WITH 3 TO 6
HOURS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS. BY MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY...SAY "HELLO" TO
DECEMBER-LIKE TEMPERATURES AND THE END OF OUR HURRICANE SEASON
SINCE THE COOL AIR WILL SOON KNOCK DOWN GULF TEMPERATURES INTO THE
HOSTILE 75 DEGREE RANGE.MORE ON THE EXPECTED KEY HAZARDS THIS AFTERNOON.

[TampaFl]

Hurricane Local Statement
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
530 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...HURRICANE WILMA SLOWLY DEPARTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES
OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR NEAR THE NORTHEAST TIP
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS IS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA
AND 490 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA WAS DRIFTING NORTH AT 2
MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED. BY SUNDAY...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACCELERATING TO THE NORTHEAST.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY THIS AFTERNOON. TIDE LEVELS WILL FURTHER INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN THESE
AREAS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY GREATLY BY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF
THE CENTER OF WILMA. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST THREAT
OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY. LEE AND PERHAPS CHARLOTTE
COUNTY WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY...
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY EXPOSE
SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...AND
HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
ON SUNDAY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY...RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT
MORE MINOR FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES..MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO POLK
COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
THE COMBINATION OF WILMA LINKING UP WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
ENSURE AT LEAST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS... SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS. THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO BE NIL FROM TAMPA BAY
NORTHWARD...AND LOW SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
NORTH WINDS USHERING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ENSURE STABLE CONDITIONS
FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE
CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE
ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 11
PM TONIGHT.

$$

CP

[TampaFl]

NOUS42 KTBW 222307
PNSTBW

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT - HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
700 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS AND SECURE YOUR PROPERTY.
THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME SUGGESTIONS FOR PREPARING FOR THE STORM.

GROCERY STORE MAY SELL OUT OF ITEMS SOON. STOCK UP ON...
BATTERIES FOR RADIOS AND FLASHLIGHTS
CANNED OR DRIED FOOD AND DRINKING WATER
FIRST AID SUPPLIES
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE
CASH...CREDIT CARDS AND ATM'S MAY NOT WORK WITHOUT POWER
FUEL FOR AUTOMOBILES...GENERATORS AND CHAIN SAWS

AROUND THE HOUSE...
STORE LOOSE ITEMS SUCH AS TRASH CANS OR YARD FURNITURE
SECURE WINDOWS WITH SHUTTERS... BOARDS ETC
BATTERY OPERATED RADIOS ARE WORKING
MOVE BOAT TO A SAFE LOCATION
TRIM LARGE TREES THAT COULD FALL ON HOUSE
MAKE SURE VALUABLE PAPERS ARE SECURE

MAKE RESERVATIONS NOW. PLAN TO EVACUATE IF YOU LIVE...
IN A MOBILE HOME
ON THE COAST
IN A LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREA
IN A HIGH RISE

IF YOU MUST EVACUATE TO A PUBLIC SHELTER REMEMBER TO BRING...
FIRST AID KIT
MEDICINE
BABY FOOD AND DIAPERS
TOILETRIES
CHANGE OF CLOTHES
BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND EXTRA BATTERIES
FLASHLIGHT
SLEEPING BAGS OR BLANKETS
IDENTIFICATION
VALUABLE PAPERS
CASH
GAMES

REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN PUBLIC SHELTERS.

IF YOU ARE STAYING AT HOME...
TURN REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD
TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS
UNPLUG SMALL APPLIANCES
FILL STERILIZED JUGS AND BOTTLES WITH WATER FOR DRINKING
FILL BATH TUB AND CONTAINERS WITH WATER FOR SANITARY
PURPOSES

WHEN WINDS BECOME STRONG...
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS
REMAIN IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE FIRST FLOOR
CLOSE ALL INTERIOR DOORS
SECURE AND BRACE EXTERIOR DOORS.

PRECAUTIONS OUTSIDE YOUR HOME SHOULD BE STARTED NOW WHILE THE
WEATHER IS STILL GOOD. IT MAY BE IMPOSSIBLE TO WORK OUTSIDE SOON.

...DEFINITIONS...

HURRICANE WATCH...
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SPECIFIED AREA OF THE WATCH
USUALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. DURING A HURRICANE WATCH...PREPARE TO TAKE
IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT YOUR FAMILY AND PROPERTY IN CASE A
HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED.

HURRICANE WARNING...
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SPECIFIED ARE OF THE
WARNING...USUALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. COMPLETE ALL STORM PREPARATION
AND EVACUATE IF DIRECTED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDE...
THE PERIODIC RISE AND FALL OF THE WATERS OF THE OCEAN AND
ITS INLETS...PRODUCED BY THE ATTRACTION OF THE MOON AND SUN...AND
OCCURRING ABOUT EVERY 12 HOURS.

STORM SURGE...
A LARGE DOME OF WATER OFTEN 50 TO 100 MILES WIDE THAT SWEEPS ACROSS
THE COASTLINE NEAR WHERE A HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL.

STORM TIDE...
THE COMBINATION OF THE STORM SURGE AND THE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.

INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR INLAND AREAS EXPECTED WITHIN 36
HOURS.

INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR INLAND AREAS EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS.

INLAND HURRICANE WATCH...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR INLAND AREA EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INLAND HURRICANE WARNING...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FOR INLAND AREAS EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

$$



[TreasureIslandFLGal]

We can expect sustained tropical storm force winds around here of around 60mph for a few hours.
This will be much like what the Bay Area experienced last year when Frances & Jeane went through... Tropical Storm conditions with Hurricane gusts.

[TampaFl]

WWUS72 KTBW 222350
NPWTBW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
750 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...DAMAGING WINDS FROM HURRICANE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...

HURRICANE WILMA IS MOVING OFF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS EVENING.
BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILMA
IS EXPECTED TO TURN AND ACCELERATE NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MOVING ACROSS THE PENINSULA
DURING MONDAY MORNING.

FLZ056-057-060>062-065-231000-
/X.NEW.KTBW.HI.A.0001.051024T0000Z-051025T0000Z/
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...
SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...
CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
750 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

AS HURRICANE WILMA APPROACHES THE PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT WINDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...AND STRONG WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT INLAND SECTIONS OF SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE...LEE
AND DESOTO COUNTIES BY MIDNIGHT...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE
BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD EAST
INTO HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES DURING MONDAY MORNING. AT THE
PRESENT TIME THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT CHARLOTTE
AND LEE COUNTIES...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HIGHLANDS AND
DESOTO COUNTIES DURING MONDAY MORNING AS WILMA MOVES ACROSS THE
PENINSULA.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. BE
SURE TO HAVE AN AMPLE STORM KIT READY...INCLUDING NON PERISHABLE
FOOD ITEMS...POTABLE WATER...FLASHLIGHT...AND A TRANSISTOR RADIO.


$$

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-231000-
/X.NEW.KTBW.TI.A.0002.051024T0000Z-051025T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON
750 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

AS HURRICANE WILMA APPROACHES THE PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT WINDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...AND STRONG WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT INLAND SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
MIDNIGHT AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA. THESE WINDS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD
THE NATURE COAST TOWARDS SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING AS WILMA MOVES
ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MOVE LIGHT AND MODERATE WEIGHT ITEMS INDOORS BEFORE THE WINDS
INCREASE. HIGH PROFILE OR LIGHT WEIGHT VEHICLES WILL BECOME VERY
DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE...TO DRIVE WHEN THE WINDS INCREASE.

$$


MCMICHAEL

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Now that we are in a Hurricane Warning in Pinellas County, when would the schools announce closure for Monday? -or do they stay open during tropical storms?

[ladygatorslayer]

Now that we are in a Hurricane Warning in Pinellas County, when would the schools announce closure for Monday? -or do they stay open during tropical storms?

Wondering the same thing myself. All the School Boards that are under TS and Hurricane warnings might as well go ahead and make the call cause I doubt many kids will show up on Monday.

[jkt21787]

Now that we are in a Hurricane Warning in Pinellas County, when would the schools announce closure for Monday? -or do they stay open during tropical storms?

Any School that is open for TS or Hurricane conditions is crazy. School buses could easily sway in such winds with the possibility of turnover. I imagine the announcement will come tomorrow, but I can tell you with 99% confidence that it will be closed Monday

[TampaFl]

Now that we are in a Hurricane Warning in Pinellas County, when would the schools announce closure for Monday? -or do they stay open during tropical storms?

Pinellas Co. is not in a hurricane warning. You are in a tropical storm warning. The hurricane warning starts at Long Boat Key, just south of you. Now if Wilma turns later than forecast, then hurricane warnings would have to be extended up the west coast IMHO. They just annouced on ABC Channel 28 that Pinellas CO School Board will meet on Sunday, same for Hillsbourogh Co.

Robert

[jkt21787]

If there is just a TS warning, there is a slighly better chance they could still be open. It would still be a crazy idea and I doubt they do it. As poster said above, no one will show up anyway.

[TampaFl]

Hurricane Local Statement
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230630-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
11 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...WITH HURRICANE WILMA NOW HEADING FOR THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS
ALL WATCHES FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ARE UPGRADED TO
WARNINGS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA...513 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA AND
465 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA WAS DRIFTING NORTH AT 3
MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY NIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY THIS AFTERNOON. TIDE LEVELS WILL FURTHER INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND RUN 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IN THESE
AREAS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY GREATLY BY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE
CENTER OF WILMA. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST THREAT OF
STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY. LEE AND PERHAPS CHARLOTTE COUNTY
WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND TIDAL FLOODING EARLY MONDAY AS
WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY EXPOSE SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES
ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...AND HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
ON SUNDAY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING
AREAS. ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY...RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT
MORE MINOR FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES OR HIGHER..MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY
TO POLK COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES
ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS...SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS. THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS NOT EXPECTED FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY A LOW THREAT SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY IS EXPECTED.
NORTH WINDS BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE
CONDITIONS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE
ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 2
AM TONIGHT.

$$

REYNES





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[floridahurricaneguy]

I am in pasco. Weather radio didnt go off for watch or warning? Any reason why? Could I be picking up another station?

[TampaFl]

Inland Tropical Storm Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1224 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...DAMAGING WINDS FROM HURRICANE WILMA ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY...

HURRICANE WILMA JUST OFF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT IS FORECAST
TO TURN AND ACCELERATE NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MOVING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
MONDAY MORNING.

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-231600-
/X.UPG.KTBW.TI.A.0002.051024T0000Z-051025T0000Z/
/X.NEW.KTBW.TI.W.0001.051024T0000Z-051025T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON
1224 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY. THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

AS HURRICANE WILMA APPROACHES THE PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT WINDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...AND STRONG WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT INLAND SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
MIDNIGHT AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA. THESE WINDS WILL THEN
OVERSPREAD THE NATURE COAST TOWARDS SUNRISE ON MONDAY MORNING AS
WILMA MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

MOVE LIGHT AND MODERATE WEIGHT ITEMS INDOORS BEFORE THE WINDS
INCREASE. HIGH PROFILE OR LIGHT WEIGHT VEHICLES WILL BECOME VERY
DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE...TO DRIVE WHEN THE WINDS
INCREASE.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

$$

PRC

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Brent]

Now that we are in a Hurricane Warning in Pinellas County, when would the schools announce closure for Monday? -or do they stay open during tropical storms?

Any School that is open for TS or Hurricane conditions is crazy. School buses could easily sway in such winds with the possibility of turnover. I imagine the announcement will come tomorrow, but I can tell you with 99% confidence that it will be closed Monday

Heck... they shut down here for flurries...

[TampaFl]

WTUS82 KTBW 230910
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230930-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA IS BACK OVER WATER...NOW IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES..

..STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 475 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA AND 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA WAS
SLOWLY MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY EARLY THIS MORNING. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY
GREATLY BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF THE CENTER OF WILMA. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST
THREAT OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY. LEE AND PERHAPS
CHARLOTTE COUNTY WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND SOME TIDAL
FLOODING EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE
COUNTY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY
EXPOSE SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...
AND HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
TODAY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY HEAVY...
RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT MORE MINOR
FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY 5 INCHES OR HIGHER..MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO POLK
COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION..

..MARINE IMPACTS...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS. THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS NOT EXPECTED FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. FOR
TONIGHT AND MONDAY A LOW THREAT SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY IS EXPECTED. NORTH
WINDS BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE
CONDITIONS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 8 AM TODAY.

$$

CP/RD


[TampaFl]

Hurricane Local Statement
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-231530-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA IS BACK OVER WATER...NOW IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTH FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL
SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO
CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL
LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND
SARASOTA COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR
NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...
PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA AND 390 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS. WILMA
WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NO WIND EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED EARLY TODAY. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM OR JUST ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT...SPREADING TOWARD THE COASTLINE MONDAY.
TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...THEN DIMINISH TO A GUSTY NORTHERLY BREEZE
MONDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE PENINSULA.

...SURGE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS SOUTH
OF TAMPA BAY EARLY THIS MORNING. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY
GREATLY BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF THE CENTER OF WILMA. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST
THREAT OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY. LEE AND PERHAPS
CHARLOTTE COUNTY WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE OVERWASH AND SOME TIDAL
FLOODING EARLY MONDAY AS WILMA APPROACHES. NORTH OF CHARLOTTE
COUNTY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CREATE AN OUTGOING TIDE WHICH MAY
EXPOSE SANDBARS AND OTHER FEATURES ESPECIALLY ACROSS INLETS...BAYS...
AND HARBORS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
TODAY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM FEEDER BANDS WILL PRODUCE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND PERHAPS MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...MORE EXTENSIVE...AND LOCALLY HEAVY...
RAINFALL MAINLY FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTHWARD MAY PRODUCE A BIT MORE MINOR
FLOODING. EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY 5 INCHES OR HIGHER...MAINLY SOUTH OF A TAMPA BAY TO POLK
COUNTY LINE. RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ELSEWHERE.

AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED DUE TO THE FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA ACROSS THE REGION.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE WEST
WHICH WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...35 TO 60 KNOTS...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY OVER ALL COASTAL WATERS. THE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...64 KNOTS...IS GREATEST SOUTH OF TAMPA
BAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES IS NOT EXPECTED FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. FOR
TONIGHT AND MONDAY A LOW THREAT SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY IS EXPECTED. NORTH
WINDS BRINGING IN MUCH COOLER AIR WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE
CONDITIONS FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD. THE MOST UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
WILL BE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE STORM WHERE TROPICAL AIR IS MOST
ABUNDANT.

...NEXT STATEMENT...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 11 AM
TODAY.

$$

RD

[TampaFl]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
645 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-231600-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
645 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HURRICANE WILMA WILL APPROACH SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT
BRINGING INCREASING WINDS AND RAIN ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THESE EFFECTS WILL BEGIN LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION AS TO THE WINDS...RAINFALL...
TORNADIC AND MARINE THREATS FROM WILMA REFER TO OUR HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
WILMA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA MONDAY
MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL COMING TO AN
END BY EARLY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST AREAS...EXCEPT 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY UP
TO A 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

BY MONDAY NIGHT...SKIES WILL CLEAR WITH MUCH COOLER DRIER AIR
SWEEPING IN BEHIND WILMA FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES. A GRADUAL
MODERATING TREND IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

$$

PRC