Wilma Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
bigmoney755

#921 Postby bigmoney755 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:04 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the MBL wind also increased

what is an MBL wind?
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#922 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:12 pm

mean boundary layer
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
rainbird
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 38
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:50 pm
Location: Jacksonville, NC

#923 Postby rainbird » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:38 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:mean boundary layer


Thanks - I was wondering also - :lol:
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#924 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Oct 21, 2005 8:50 pm

Ummm... any new RECON reports?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
thunderchief
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 306
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:03 pm

#925 Postby thunderchief » Fri Oct 21, 2005 8:58 pm

theres one on the schedule that should be in the air but I dont see it.
0 likes   
Top
superfly

#926 Postby superfly » Fri Oct 21, 2005 9:19 pm

Recon usually doesn't investigate systems over land and Wilma is just about to make landfall.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
thunderchief
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 306
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:03 pm

#927 Postby thunderchief » Fri Oct 21, 2005 9:32 pm

ya the flight must be cancelled its supposed to be there now.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#928 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Oct 21, 2005 9:35 pm

Has the 137KT surface wind measured in the dropsonde been confirmed yet?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
thunderchief
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 306
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:03 pm

#929 Postby thunderchief » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:42 pm

NHC talks about it in the 11pm discussion.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#930 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:38 am

Are they holding off with more recon flights until she gets back out over water?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#931 Postby senorpepr » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:46 am

x-y-no wrote:Are they holding off with more recon flights until she gets back out over water?
Most likely.
0 likes   
Top
HenkL
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2401
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:33 pm
Location: Groningen, The Netherlands
Contact:
Contact HenkL

#932 Postby HenkL » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:47 am

NOAA2 on it's way now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145748
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#933 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 12:44 pm

URNT40 KWBC 221730
NOAA2 1824A WILMA
170100 2330 08440 15384 +0672 149043 +005 -028 149044 031 000
170200 2327 08441 14434 +0604 152044 +024 -024 153044 029 000
170300 2323 08443 13487 +0542 147044 +039 -025 146045 028 000
170400 2319 08445 12527 +0465 147045 +056 -033 148045 027 000
170500 2315 08447 11716 +0398 145045 +069 -025 146046 029 000
170600 2312 08449 11035 +0354 148049 +082 -025 146052 032 000
170700 2310 08453 10295 +0305 144049 +094 -027 143052 035 001
170800 2308 08457 10053 +0283 147050 +101 -031 147051 031 000
170900 2305 08501 10046 +0278 147053 +103 -032 147054 033 000
171000 2303 08505 10046 +0273 145054 +099 -032 145057 031 000
171100 2301 08509 10048 +0262 147054 +096 -035 147055 033 000
171200 2259 08513 10048 +0253 148051 +103 -035 147055 033 000
171300 2256 08516 10053 +0246 156050 +103 -036 154055 035 000
171400 2253 08519 10044 +0236 150049 +101 -038 151050 035 000
171500 2250 08522 10046 +0226 149054 +101 -042 148056 033 000
171600 2248 08525 10046 +0217 150055 +098 -043 149056 036 000
171700 2245 08528 10044 +0209 150058 +100 -041 151061 037 000
171800 2243 08532 10048 +0200 153061 +103 -059 154062 039 000
171900 2240 08535 10046 +0186 153062 +102 -049 154062 045 001
172000 2237 08538 10045 +0173 154060 +106 -046 154061 041 000
172100 2234 08540 10046 +0162 152059 +102 -045 152060 039 000
172200 2232 08543 10049 +0151 153065 +110 -049 153067 041 000
172300 2229 08546 10043 +0137 152066 +108 -052 153070 042 000
172400 2226 08549 10044 +0128 148061 +104 -056 150067 044 004
172500 2224 08552 10042 +0118 146065 +109 -061 147067 043 002
172600 2221 08555 10043 +0105 145066 +109 -058 145067 040 000
172700 2218 08558 10047 +0092 145069 +111 -065 143071 044 000
172800 2215 08601 10042 +0073 141070 +107 -065 142071 043 000
172900 2213 08604 10044 +0051 138073 +103 -064 138075 045 000
173000 2210 08607 10042 +0028 136074 +110 -064 138076 047 000

NOAA plane is nearing Wilma.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#934 Postby artist » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:16 pm

173400 2159 08619 10025 -0077 141073 +108 -081 141074 053 008
173500 2156 08622 10056 -0102 138073 +109 -082 140074 054 009
173600 2153 08625 10044 -0144 137075 +112 -084 136077 057 010
173700 2150 08628 10053 -0185 135078 +110 -088 135081 058 006
173800 2147 08632 10002 -0240 132082 +110 -092 132085 060 010
173900 2144 08635 10040 -0298 138087 +110 -103 140091 070 018
174000 2142 08638 10091 -0361 146078 +114 -106 142091 077 015
174100 2139 08640 9971 -0413 132059 +130 -106 128063 077 004
174200 2136 08643 10035 -0452 129064 +135 -102 131065 066 000
174300 2133 08646 10042 -0510 128066 +140 -097 128067 062 000
174400 2129 08649 10045 -0581 130062 +139 -096 130064 057 005
174500 2126 08652 10046 -0652 132059 +142 +079 132061 053 002
174600 2123 08655 10049 -0751 132054 +137 +137 131055 999 999
174700 2120 08658 10047 -0816 128045 +137 +137 129054 999 999
174800 2117 08701 10047 -0849 133024 +140 +140 131030 999 999
174900 2114 08704 10047 -0879 141004 +140 +140 134014 999 999
175000 2111 08708 10045 -0862 316018 +139 +139 322023 999 999
175100 2108 08711 10049 -0819 325028 +137 +137 326034 999 999
175200 2105 08714 10046 -0752 322041 +135 +134 328045 999 999
175300 2103 08718 10044 -0663 332049 +135 +120 331050 999 999
175400 2100 08717 10044 -0574 318049 +135 +134 326050 999 999
175500 2102 08713 10048 -0690 309043 +135 +132 313045 999 999
175600 2106 08711 10051 -0752 307035 +135 +135 306040 999 999
175700 2109 08708 10039 -0820 296026 +138 +138 301029 999 999
175800 2113 08705 10046 -0876 288007 +138 +138 292018 999 999
175900 2117 08705 10042 -0875 092015 +140 +140 075023 999 999
180000 2116 08709 10045 -0874 039022 +138 +138 017026 999 999
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#935 Postby WindRunner » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:19 pm

Looks like the anonemeter screwed up . . . turned around and heading home now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#936 Postby storms in NC » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:21 pm

WindRunner wrote:Looks like the anonemeter screwed up . . . turned around and heading home now.



:?:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#937 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:25 pm

876
URNT12 KNHC 221820Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/1749Z
B. 21 DEG 13 MIN N
87 DEG 05 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2735 MA
D. 65
E. 045 DEG 60 NM
F. 140 DEG 90 KT
G. 042 DEG 40 NM
H. 958 MB
I. 11 C/ 3061 M
J. 14 C/ 3062 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E36/80/60
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1824A WILMA OB 03
MAX FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 1739Z
RAGGED EYEWALL
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#938 Postby Scorpion » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:30 pm

Its still got a closed wall. Thats all it really needs to restrengthen.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#939 Postby WindRunner » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:33 pm

storms in NC wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Looks like the anonemeter screwed up . . . turned around and heading home now.



:?:


Sorry, I don't know why I said that . . . I'm a little tired today.
0 likes   
Top
bigmoney755

#940 Postby bigmoney755 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:37 pm

are the waters in the loop current right now warm enough to support a cat 4? How strong a hurricane will the waters she will travel over support?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: HurricaneFan, JaviT, jlauderdal, johngaltfla, Ulf and 54 guests