Probability of β?

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Aqua Teen Hunger Force

Probability of β?

#1 Postby Aqua Teen Hunger Force » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:02 am

What's the chances of Tropical Storm β forming?
Last edited by Aqua Teen Hunger Force on Sat Oct 22, 2005 3:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Weatherfreak000

heh...

#2 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:03 am

here comes the group of haters to say "After Alpha it's over".



Even though they had done that for Vince....and Wilma...and were wrong.





Beta? HIGHLY likely.
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Aqua Teen Hunger Force

#3 Postby Aqua Teen Hunger Force » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:05 am

^ That's what I'm thinking.

I know nothing about the weather however something tells me this season is not your typical. :lol:

I would not be suprised if we see hurricanes after the season officially ends.
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Brent
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#4 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:12 am

I would say it's highly likely... based on how this season has gone so far.

Seems like everytime we think it's over 3 more pop up.

:lol:
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conestogo_flood
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#5 Postby conestogo_flood » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:13 am

What those haters must think, if we don't mention it then most likely it wont happen.
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#6 Postby senorpepr » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:26 am

For what it is worth...

Over the past 30 years we've averaged 9.57 tropical storms by October 22nd. The full-season average for this time period is 10.67 tropical storms. That gives us an average 1.10 tropical storms to go. (Beta)

Over the past 10 years we've averaged 12.60 tropical storms by October 22nd. The full-season average for this time period is 13.90 tropical storms. That gives us an average 1.30 tropical storms to go. (Beta)

However, 2005 has been running at near 220% of normal. If the rest of the season maintains this pace, we're looking at 2.41 to 2.85 more tropical storms before the year is over. (Gamma - Delta)

Remember... we have 39 more days left in the regular season...
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Aqua Teen Hunger Force

#7 Postby Aqua Teen Hunger Force » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:30 am

senorpepr wrote:For what it is worth...

Over the past 30 years we've averaged 9.57 tropical storms by October 22nd. The full-season average for this time period is 10.67 tropical storms. That gives us an average 1.10 tropical storms to go. (Beta)

Over the past 10 years we've averaged 12.60 tropical storms by October 22nd. The full-season average for this time period is 13.90 tropical storms. That gives us an average 1.30 tropical storms to go. (Beta)

However, 2005 has been running at near 220% of normal. If the rest of the season maintains this pace, we're looking at 2.41 to 2.85 more tropical storms before the year is over. (Gamma - Delta)

Remember... we have 39 more days left in the regular season...
:blowup:

Very impressive!
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#8 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 12:52 pm

Too many things have happend this year not to say it isn't possible. As we've all seen, it seems anything is possible.
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#9 Postby JtSmarts » Sat Oct 22, 2005 12:57 pm

I think there is a very good chance to see Beta, and perhaps Gamma and Delta. Even if we don't see any storms in November, we may have a December storm similar to 03 and 04.
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#10 Postby dreadnought93 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 2:37 pm

we might see a Beta thanks to GLOBEL WARMING! :grr: but thats a different story lol
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#11 Postby El Nino » Sat Oct 22, 2005 2:58 pm

Maybe it would be faster to maike a poll like : which would the last named system of the 2005 season. Here we go for Gamma or Delta I think ...
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#12 Postby Terrell » Sat Oct 22, 2005 3:01 pm

Given this Hurricane Season I'd be more surprised if we didn't see Beta this year than if we did.
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#13 Postby milwaukeebrian » Sat Oct 22, 2005 3:03 pm

I'm thinking Gamma, but would not be surprised if there was Tropical Storm or Hurricane Epsilon.
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