Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[caneman]

Could Wilma develop a new center more NE. Look at the latest sat.

No She is feeling the Tug now...Elongating N-S...Getting ready to make her move N..

Should start movin and off the Yuc by dinner time.

[AZS]

I don´t think that WILMA is going inland......

[DESTRUCTION5]

She is still sucking in that warm water ain't she...

[jenshops]

Doesn't anyone else think that after spending all day on the YP, we won't even have a hurricane? I just looked at the satellite and I just don't see how this storm is going to survive being on land so long. I find it hard to believe it's a cat3 right now.

[wxwatcher2]

Could Wilma develop a new center more NE. Look at the latest sat.

No She is feeling the Tug now...Elongating N-S...Getting ready to make her move N..

Should start movin and off the Yuc by dinner time.

What time is dinner at your house?
1200 noon?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Could Wilma develop a new center more NE. Look at the latest sat.

No She is feeling the Tug now...Elongating N-S...Getting ready to make her move N..

Should start movin and off the Yuc by dinner time.

What time is dinner at your house?
1200 noon?

LOL...I think she will be off by 300...

[AZS]

[storms in NC]

She really not that far inland. if any thing there is a small part of the eye over water. So it wouldn't taker her that long to go back over water. Just my two cents.

Going to be a long day

[otowntiger]

Yeah she's really looking pretty bad. I don't see how she will even be a cane by this afternoon. She's showing no interest in getting off the YP. Boy that place is getting hammered -90 knots for over 9 hours straight!

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yeah she's really looking pretty bad. I don't see how she will even be a cane by this afternoon. She's showing no interest in getting off the YP. Boy that place is getting hammered -90 knots for over 9 hours straight!

Really bad? Her core is still straight and strong...NOt to mention the E Eye wall is over the Coast again!

[caneman]

Yeah she's really looking pretty bad. I don't see how she will even be a cane by this afternoon. She's showing no interest in getting off the YP. Boy that place is getting hammered -90 knots for over 9 hours straight!

Really bad? Her core is still straight and strong...NOt to mention the E Eye wall is over the Coast again!

yep. I think she;ll still be 90 to 100 mph when she exits

[AZS]

[SouthFloridawx]

Well I don't like that graphic where it strengthens when it gets off land.

[inotherwords]

Just woke up.

Still a major storm? Check.
Still the same basic track? Check.
Time to get my butt in gear and batten down the hatches? Check.

Oh waiter? Check!

[inotherwords]

Well I don't like that graphic where it strengthens when it gets off land.

I thought it was always forecast to strengthen slightly after it moved off the YP, even if it dissipated quite a bit. This is not too surprising.

[cycloneye]

WHXX04 KWBC 221130
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 6Z OCT 22

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 20.9 87.1 320./ 2.9
6 21.0 87.3 290./ 2.5
12 21.0 87.5 285./ 1.8
18 21.2 87.5 27./ 1.8
24 21.4 87.3 45./ 2.6
30 22.0 87.1 18./ 6.2
36 22.7 86.7 33./ 7.8
42 23.4 85.9 44./10.1
48 24.1 84.9 55./12.0
54 25.1 83.5 57./15.9
60 26.3 81.5 59./21.4
66 27.6 79.2 60./24.6
72 29.6 76.7 52./29.3
78 32.4 73.7 47./37.6
84 35.3 70.1 51./42.1
90 38.5 66.5 49./42.2
96 41.2 63.8 45./34.0
102 43.3 61.1 52./29.7
108 45.0 58.8 52./23.6
114 46.0 57.4 57./14.3



6z GFDL.

[wxman57]

THAT is the 2300 3 day forecast. Note the position and location. North of the last advisory, and still at sea at 1300 on 24.10.2005.

The time (1pm monday) in which it is SW of FLA shows the 4PM CDT time which would be the 5pm track?

Just checking in before I resume putting up sheetrock. Want to point out that you have to be VERY careful trying to interpolate a landfall point on those NHC tracks when a storm is moving as fast as Wilma will be. Those points on either side of Florida are not going to be a straight line as is indicated on the map. But that's all that can be depicted. The center could actually track south of Naples and curve back up to the point up the east coast. You just can't draw a straight line between two points during recurvature.

[Scorpion]

Wow new GFDL takes it almost right over me.

[DESTRUCTION5]

WHXX04 KWBC 221130
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 6Z OCT 22

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 20.9 87.1 320./ 2.9
6 21.0 87.3 290./ 2.5
12 21.0 87.5 285./ 1.8
18 21.2 87.5 27./ 1.8
24 21.4 87.3 45./ 2.6
30 22.0 87.1 18./ 6.2
36 22.7 86.7 33./ 7.8
42 23.4 85.9 44./10.1
48 24.1 84.9 55./12.0
54 25.1 83.5 57./15.9
60 26.3 81.5 59./21.4
66 27.6 79.2 60./24.6
72 29.6 76.7 52./29.3
78 32.4 73.7 47./37.6
84 35.3 70.1 51./42.1
90 38.5 66.5 49./42.2
96 41.2 63.8 45./34.0
102 43.3 61.1 52./29.7
108 45.0 58.8 52./23.6
114 46.0 57.4 57./14.3



6z GFDL.

Morn Luis...Looks like you in for alot of rain again with Potential Alpha..

[DESTRUCTION5]

Wow new GFDL takes it almost right over me.

Scorp are you boarding up? Im still debating here in Stuart