Looks like the eye is getting ready to pass right over Cozumel. Seems to still be tracking NNW to me.
Is all that dry air up to the NW is starting to effect (weaken)Wilma?
Worst case scenario setting up.
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Furious George
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soonertwister wrote:Since about 80 of the hurricane circulation will be remaining over water, any weakening will not be dramatic, and she may in fact briefly return to a category 4 hurricane after exiting north of Cancun. The big question then becomes how fast does she accelerate toward FL, where, and how much strength will she retain when she gets there.
Doesn't really matter what percent of the circulation is over water. If the eye is over land, expect weakening. Rapid weakening over mountainous areas and less weakening over swampy areas.
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