Invest 99L,Eastern Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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Aquawind
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#21 Postby Aquawind » Fri Oct 21, 2005 8:22 am

Ohh Geesh.. yeah it's been a few days since Eastern Cuba and Haiti had a system bother them.. :roll: Conus would be incredible timing..

Paul
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#22 Postby bvigal » Fri Oct 21, 2005 8:46 am

Some of those winds overnight, Hewanorra Airport, St. Lucia:
Time
EDT (UTC) Temperature
F (C) Dew Point
F (C) Pressure
Inches (hPa) Wind
MPH Weather
Latest 9 AM (13) Oct 21 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.91 (1013) ESE 24 light rain showers
8 AM (12) Oct 21 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.88 (1012) E 22 light rain showers
7 AM (11) Oct 21 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.85 (1011) ESE 21 rain showers
6 AM (10) Oct 21 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.83 (1010) E 24 light rain showers
5 AM (9) Oct 21 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.83 (1010) E 26
4 AM (8) Oct 21 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) ESE 26 light rain
3 AM (7) Oct 21 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.80 (1009) E 28 light rain
2 AM (6) Oct 21 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.83 (1010) ENE 29 rain showers
1 AM (5) Oct 21 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.83 (1010) ENE 30 light rain
Midnight (4) Oct 21 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.85 (1011) ENE 26 light rain
11 PM (3) Oct 20 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.85 (1011) NE 21 light rain with thunder
10 PM (2) Oct 20 78 (26) 75 (24) 29.88 (1012) NE 24 light rain

I was emailing cautions about this yesterday morning to friends in Windwards, saying it wouldn't matter if it wasn't "tropical" (TWO was saying no development), the conditions would be TD in nature, i.e. winds, rain.
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#23 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 21, 2005 9:13 am

Wow pretty strong winds at that island.
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#24 Postby greels » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:02 am

This is not looking good for us here on the island of Provo.... :roll:

We are just now recovering from the Tuesday night storms generated from Wilma. Roads flooded out with numerous abandoned vehicles...power finally up and running again...

Time to restock the hurricane kit.
gretchen
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#25 Postby fci » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:07 am

Let's go A L P H A !!!!!


Just be a good fish, short lived; and go make history! :fishing:
Last edited by fci on Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#26 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:08 am

This is going to be one of them Trend west storms...I can feel it...
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#27 Postby skysummit » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:09 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:This is going to be one of them Trend west storms...I can feel it...


Uh Huh.....too much of an early turn in those models already.
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:10 am

fci wrote:Let's go A L P H A !!!!!


Just be a good fish and make history! :fishing:


This will be no fish as it will affect parts of the Caribbean and maybe the Bahamas.
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#29 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:12 am

only one model run has been done on this system and being so early in its life I am sure the models will be all over the place so IMO theres still a chance it could impact the USA!
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#30 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:15 am

Defanatly!
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#31 Postby cinlfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:25 am

This will be no fish as it will affect parts of the Caribbean and maybe the Bahamas.


I agree!!!
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#32 Postby bvigal » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:31 am

I agree, too. You can't call a system a "fish" once it's in the Caribbean.

The definition of "fish" isn't that it doesn't hit the continental U.S., but that it curves out into Atlantic before reaching ANY land of any kind.
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#33 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:33 am


ABNT20 KNHC 211532
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA... LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS
OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT A SURFACE CIRCULATION COULD BE
FORMING... AND SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS FAIRLY CONCENTRATED NEAR THE
DEVELOPING CIRCULATION CENTER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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#34 Postby skysummit » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:38 am

cycloneye wrote:
ABNT20 KNHC 211532
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA... LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS
OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS
FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT A SURFACE CIRCULATION COULD BE
FORMING... AND SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS FAIRLY CONCENTRATED NEAR THE
DEVELOPING CIRCULATION CENTER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB



Hello there....here kitty kitty.
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#35 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:38 am

LETS GO ALPHA!!!!!

Image
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#36 Postby cinlfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:40 am

FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT A SURFACE CIRCULATION COULD BE
FORMING... AND SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS FAIRLY CONCENTRATED NEAR THE
DEVELOPING CIRCULATION CENTER. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.




He we GOOOO!!!
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#37 Postby jpigott » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:43 am

it should be noted SSTs in the north central caribbean or still ridiculously warm, who knows whether or not this system will get over those waters
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#38 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:47 am

Image
Image
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#39 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:49 am

ALPHA! ALPHA! ALPHA! :D
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#40 Postby no advance » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:52 am

I cant root for something that might kill thousands. I hope it all get sucked up into Wilma before developing.
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