Wilma Likely Back to Cat 5 Status

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MWatkins
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Wilma Likely Back to Cat 5 Status

#1 Postby MWatkins » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:43 pm

Not sure where this goes...but just looking at satellite imagery as of 0415Z...Wilma does appear to have regained Cat 5 status. The eye is extremly well defined and there is a warm dot right in the center. Recon is still a little ways away...but I sure hope they come in at 10,000 feet.

Going to be interesting to see what they find...

MW
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#2 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:46 pm

yep, shes filling out on the left side now
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Re: Wilma Likely Back to Cat 5 Status

#3 Postby johngaltfla » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:46 pm

MWatkins wrote:Not sure where this goes...but just looking at satellite imagery as of 0415Z...Wilma does appear to have regained Cat 5 status. The eye is extremly well defined and there is a warm dot right in the center. Recon is still a little ways away...but I sure hope they come in at 10,000 feet.

Going to be interesting to see what they find...

MW


I tend to agree. Then again, I'm not agreeing with alot of the models. I'm not trusting the GFS/GFDL models at all with this storm yet.
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#4 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:50 pm

Mike, sadly I have to agree with you.

Also it is still tracking right towards Cozumel and Cancun.
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#5 Postby BReb » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:55 pm

Looks that way. Plus, there's a patch of particularly warm water right in the Cozumel-Cancun area:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 5292go.jpg

But if you look at the same heat content map, you see that the water is very cold just north-northwest of Cancun in the gulf.
Last edited by BReb on Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:56 pm

This is very likely a cat5...She looked a thousand times worst this afternoon when they found that 150 mph winds. I think its closer to 165 to 170 mph right now. With pressures maybe below 910 millibars.
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#7 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:57 pm

BReb wrote:Looks that way. Plus, there's a patch of particularly warm water right in the Cozumel-Cancun area:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 5292go.jpg


Wow. What a bad place for that orange.
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#8 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:00 am

I disagree. Western semi-circle is still pretty eroded. She needs a bit more time yet.
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#9 Postby MWatkins » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:04 am

Recon getting ready to punch through the RFQ...guess we will find out in the next 30 mins or so...

0456. 1942N 08554W 03039 5377 119 125 096 096 126 02667 0000000000
0457 1940N 08555W 03058 5408 118 100 108 108 109 02655 0000000000
0457. 1939N 08556W 03044 5438 117 090 132 130 092 02611 0000000000



MW
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#10 Postby sponger » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:05 am

Kind of makes you want to stay up for the 2am! I know 1/2 of you are saying, "well, its only 1 day tommorow" I could sleep Saturday. This is worse than drugs. At least with them, you finally run out of money!
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#11 Postby skysummit » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:06 am

sponger wrote:Kind of makes you want to stay up for the 2am! I know 1/2 of you are saying, "well, its only 1 day tommorow" I could sleep Saturday. This is worse than drugs. At least with them, you finally run out of money!


I'm staying up.
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#12 Postby boca » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:08 am

I have to be at work at 8am tomorrow what's wrong with me.
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#13 Postby skysummit » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:08 am

boca wrote:I have to be at work at 8am tomorrow what's wrong with me.


Same here.
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#14 Postby MysticOne » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:09 am

sponger wrote:Kind of makes you want to stay up for the 2am! I know 1/2 of you are saying, "well, its only 1 day tommorow" I could sleep Saturday. This is worse than drugs. At least with them, you finally run out of money!


Gads. you read my mind!!! I was just saying that to myself!! :eek: LOL
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#15 Postby mtm4319 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:13 am

No cat 5 according to recon. Maybe not even 150mph.
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kevin

#16 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:16 am

*sigh*

Recon is not done investigating.
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#17 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:16 am

kevin wrote:*sigh*

Recon is not done investigating.

That was a northern quadrant pass including the NE quad. Pressure will be higher as well. Sorry, no cat 5.
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#18 Postby kevin » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:17 am

Its not that I _want_ a category 5, its unqualified statements. There is no evidence yet for a category 5.
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#19 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:17 am

skysummit wrote:
sponger wrote:Kind of makes you want to stay up for the 2am! I know 1/2 of you are saying, "well, its only 1 day tommorow" I could sleep Saturday. This is worse than drugs. At least with them, you finally run out of money!


I'm staying up.


So am I. Even though I have to get up in 4 hours. :eek:
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#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Oct 21, 2005 12:17 am

It sure as heck looks alot better then it did earliler when it was going through that EWRC. With the clouded up eye. The eye is clear now. This season has been nothing but a surpize.
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