Possibility of Wilma being stronger when hitting Florida....

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StormFury

Possibility of Wilma being stronger when hitting Florida....

#1 Postby StormFury » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:52 pm

According to S2k meteorologist Derek Ortt, the next few hours or next day will be critical. Wilma may stall out, but if she stalls stalls in the Yucatan Channel instead of over the Yucatan peninsula, there could be a big impending change in the intensity forecast.

Here is what he had to say about this..."whether this stalls just offshore or onshore could mean a 2 cat difference for Florida."
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StormFury

#2 Postby StormFury » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:06 pm

Anyone care to respond? By the way, Wilma looks to now be moving in an even more northerly component...probably NNW. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#3 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:13 pm

I don't know, some models are insisting on a bend back west. We will just have to wait and see if this northern movement becomes the trend and the models respond.
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#4 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:26 pm

StormFury wrote:Anyone care to respond? By the way, Wilma looks to now be moving in an even more northerly component...probably NNW. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


IR clearly showing a NNW movement last several frames, I am also surprise the eye has not cleared out.
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#5 Postby jenshops » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:37 pm

I'm sick of watching this storm! I live in Venice, Fl and I told my husband not to put anything on the windows for now, and now I'm glad I did. I think this thing is going to either fiz out after destroying Mexico, or hit Florida far enough s. and weak enough, I'm not worried anymore.
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#6 Postby TS Zack » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:42 pm

Looks like a wobble.
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#7 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:43 pm

jenshops wrote:I'm sick of watching this storm! I live in Venice, Fl and I told my husband not to put anything on the windows for now, and now I'm glad I did. I think this thing is going to either fiz out after destroying Mexico, or hit Florida far enough s. and weak enough, I'm not worried anymore.


That's bad.
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CHRISTY

#8 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:45 pm

a wobble in what way EAST ,WEST ,NORTH?
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#9 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:45 pm

CHRISTY wrote:a wobble in what way EAST ,WEST ,NORTH?


Look at the satellite imagery.
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#10 Postby Myersgirl » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:51 pm

I think we should just chill and see if Wilma hits her next forecast position, that will give us some evidence as to watching motion or wobbles
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#11 Postby joseph01 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:54 pm

Myersgirl wrote:I think we should just chill and see if Wilma hits her next forecast position, that will give us some evidence as to watching motion or wobbles


Just stop it! That makes way too much sense. Wobble wathchers rule.
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#12 Postby Myersgirl » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:58 pm

joseph01 wrote:
Myersgirl wrote:I think we should just chill and see if Wilma hits her next forecast position, that will give us some evidence as to watching motion or wobbles


Just stop it! That makes way too much sense. Wobble wathchers rule.


I will be the first to admit, I get a lot of amusement in wobble watching......carry on 8-)
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#13 Postby jrtalon » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:59 pm

I'm wondering if Wilma won't "sense" the land and move along the southern coast until its cleared, sort of like a few hurricanes have done recently with Jamaica. The link stormfury posted looks like it might barely clip or just clear the pennisula.
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#14 Postby wxwonder12 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:00 pm

I personally am so sick of this storm. Everybody who rushed out to get storm supplies 2 days ago including me is going to be out by the time the storm actually hits, if it does.
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#15 Postby Myersgirl » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:03 pm

wxwonder12 wrote:I personally am so sick of this storm. Everybody who rushed out to get storm supplies 2 days ago including me is going to be out by the time the storm actually hits, if it does.


I personally know several people who may need to resupply their beer supply already :roll:
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#16 Postby wxwonder12 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:03 pm

Amen :D
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#17 Postby Javlin » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:17 pm

wxwonder12 wrote:I personally am so sick of this storm. Everybody who rushed out to get storm supplies 2 days ago including me is going to be out by the time the storm actually hits, if it does.


Trust me better to be ready than caught w/your pants down.I did not have enough supplies to feed my family fully till the Guard came in and had to send them out of town.
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