Tampa Thread:Pasco,Pinellas,Hillsborough, Manatee

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
SkeetoBite
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 515
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 8:25 am
Contact:

#21 Postby SkeetoBite » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:13 am

Links to all Florida official Emergency Management offices for all counties statewide are now available via our home page: http://www.skeetobiteweather.com
0 likes   

User avatar
dcuevas
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 101
Age: 57
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:04 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

#22 Postby dcuevas » Wed Oct 19, 2005 7:17 am

Nice Website!! Thanks!
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#23 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:24 am

Tampa Bay should not let their guard down with all of the "it's going to hit S. Florida hype." I urge you, I'm very concerned about Tampa Bay/Sarasota area.
0 likes   

NPR
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 9
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:40 pm
Location: New Port Richey, FL

#24 Postby NPR » Wed Oct 19, 2005 10:43 am

New Port Richey here.

This one has me scared. I am thinking of boarding the windows for the first time but don't know if I will have enough time or what not. I wonder when all the plywood will be gone.
0 likes   

floridahurricaneguy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 10:37 pm
Location: Tampa,FL
Contact:

#25 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:01 pm

Still no signs of northward shift. When would we see it happen if it happens?
Matt
0 likes   

Loring
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 12:59 pm

#26 Postby Loring » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:13 pm

Lakeland checking in. I haven't got my hopes up yet.
0 likes   

caneman

#27 Postby caneman » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:17 pm

floridahurricaneguy wrote:Still no signs of northward shift. When would we see it happen if it happens?
Matt


I think it has the 5:00 AM advisory seems to have at Naples but the 11:00 has it Ft. Myers. models have shifted a little too. Maybe only 30 miles but none the less.....
0 likes   

floridahurricaneguy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 10:37 pm
Location: Tampa,FL
Contact:

#28 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Wed Oct 19, 2005 12:30 pm

I think we might not know until it actually gets into to gulf. Will give people no time to prepare in tampa.

Matt
0 likes   

stormie
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 135
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:07 pm
Location: Tampa
Contact:

#29 Postby stormie » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:15 am

Now that's more like it! We've now got the media coverage of the storm here in Tampa that we should have had yesterday (good thing the storm slowed down...) We're now overtly taking this storm seriously, and I feel much more confident that the proper steps will be taken throughout Hillsborough and Pinellas that should be taken to prepare for being in a 3-day out cone. The media is urging people to ramp-up their supplies, but not panic, not evacuate (unless that would make them feel better :D), and not board up just yet...I think the media is right on track with their messages and the schools are doing a good job by moving/cancleing extra-curriculars, but not cancelling classes just get (for the most part).

It looks like they'll start making more difficult decisions this afternoon...
0 likes   

User avatar
dcuevas
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 101
Age: 57
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:04 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

#30 Postby dcuevas » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:21 pm

I was just told by my boss. It's going to the Keys not to Tampa, Naples, Sarrasota. Any info on this misterious information.
0 likes   

caneman

#31 Postby caneman » Thu Oct 20, 2005 12:23 pm

dcuevas wrote:I was just told by my boss. It's going to the Keys not to Tampa, Naples, Sarrasota. Any info on this misterious information.


Yeah, tell him to join NHC then cause they don't even know. They could use his expert analysis.
0 likes   

aquaholic901
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 24
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 7:51 am
Location: Tampa & Marathon, FL

#32 Postby aquaholic901 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 1:06 pm

Been lurking since last year, we are in Valrico but have a place in Marathon. They have issued mandatory evacuations down there for all non-residents and it seems many of the residents in our neighborhood (down there) are packing up and leaving as well.
0 likes   

floridahurricaneguy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 10:37 pm
Location: Tampa,FL
Contact:

#33 Postby floridahurricaneguy » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:16 pm

Wow, your boss is smart. What is his secret that he knows that from. Because last time I checked NHC said central florida and south florida are potential targets.

Matt
0 likes   

jax

#34 Postby jax » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:20 pm

dcuevas wrote:I was just told by my boss. It's going to the Keys not to Tampa, Naples, Sarrasota. Any info on this misterious information.


he's probably right... that would put you on the "good" side of the storm...
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#35 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:31 pm

jax wrote:
dcuevas wrote:I was just told by my boss. It's going to the Keys not to Tampa, Naples, Sarrasota. Any info on this misterious information.


he's probably right... that would put you on the "good" side of the storm...


You completely contradict Max Mayfield. To say something like
that at this time is DANGEROUS and highly misinformative.

There's no way to say with any certainty that it is not going
to Tampa, Naples, or Sarasota at this time. Max Mayfield
specifically stated the risk area...and these cities are included
in it--- Tampa, Naples, and Sarasota are part of central and south
florida.
0 likes   

jax

#36 Postby jax » Thu Oct 20, 2005 2:40 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
jax wrote:
dcuevas wrote:I was just told by my boss. It's going to the Keys not to Tampa, Naples, Sarrasota. Any info on this misterious information.


he's probably right... that would put you on the "good" side of the storm...


You completely contradict Max Mayfield. To say something like
that at this time is DANGEROUS and highly misinformative.

There's no way to say with any certainty that it is not going
to Tampa, Naples, or Sarasota at this time. Max Mayfield
specifically stated the risk area...and these cities are included
in it--- Tampa, Naples, and Sarasota are part of central and south
florida.


i agree... but he's probably right... looking at the Tampa forcast....
Sunday morning should be cooling off there... low humidity... lots
of dry air. Based on all the data that's coming in... Wilma would
have to hold her breath for about 18 hours to keep from filling her
lungs with cool dry air.

This is just my opinion... but if she made it up that far... she'd be lucky
to have TS winds the way the front is looking. Look at your 4 day
weather outlook... the front is coming through your area. Forcast low
for sunday night is 59.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#37 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 3:33 pm

It will all depend on where Wilma is when she gets picked up and begins her NE or ENE motion.

She could make it as far north as Tampa, but we must wait at least another agonizing 2-3 days to see..
0 likes   

ay
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 23
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:48 pm
Location: Tampa
Contact:

#38 Postby ay » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:20 pm

Josephine96 wrote:It will all depend on where Wilma is when she gets picked up and begins her NE or ENE motion.

She could make it as far north as Tampa, but we must wait at least another agonizing 2-3 days to see..


First time I've been here in a year, and old "gloom and doom' is at it again. Good to see you haven't changed. I don't think we really need to wait 2-3 days. I'd expect the planned curve to happen sooner than that.

I'm not trying to be dismissive here. I get nervous just like everyone else, but when all of the reliable data has not changed much for the last 36 hrs, and with the strong possibility that this will be a Cat 2 (not 4 or 5), its not likely to be a doomsday scenario.

When the NHC or the computer models on weather underground show a shift towards our area, then is the time to worry. Right now I don't really see anything to get all chicken little about.
0 likes   

stormie
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 135
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 1:07 pm
Location: Tampa
Contact:

#39 Postby stormie » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:55 pm

According to the Hillsborough County EOC, if Wilma follows the projected path, Tampa should see no tidal surge, less than 1” of rain, occasional gusts of tropical storm force winds, and possibly isolated tornadoes as Wilma makes landfall. However, they also note that there is still a great deal of uncertainty in the track, and Wilma will likely strike Florida as a large storm with tropical winds extending out 250 miles from center and hurricane force winds as much as 80 miles from center.

The EOC continues to advise concerned agencies to continue to finalize plans and be prepared to respond on short notice, and all essential employees should be given time to get their families and property prepared as soon as possible so they will ready to perform their emergency assignments as needed.

Information on Evacuation Zones, Shelters, Closings and Cancellations for:

Pasco County http://hurricane.weathercenter.com/coun ... ndex.shtml

Pinellas County http://hurricane.weathercenter.com/coun ... ndex.shtml

Hillsborough County http://hurricane.weathercenter.com/coun ... ndex.shtml

Manatee County http://hurricane.weathercenter.com/coun ... ndex.shtml
0 likes   

Josephine96

#40 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:59 pm

Please retract that doom and gloom statement, There is no reason to flame me.

But it is absolutely true that we won't know where Wilma is going until the trough picks her up and brings her there.. Could be Tampa, could be the Keys, could miss Florida..

We don't know.. So excuse me.. I cover every potential perameter and am not a doom and gloomer thank you very much..

I happened to have a lot of friends who were whipped by the 3 canes up here last year.. I myself got a big scare from Charley, but am still incredibly fascinated by the power of these winds. I am not afraid to admit that Charley DID NOT take that away.

So excuse me but please retract the doom and gloom statement..
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 137 guests