What is going on?

[StormFury]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

[fci]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

I keep hearing that the fuirther West now, the more danger for the extreme Southern part of Fl.

Why is that?
Wouldn't it make the storm come in further North in Fl. since it would have to be an even sharper turn to the East as opposed to the Northeast?

I'm not criticising the statement but just confused why all are saying this.
Can someone explain it ????

[inotherwords]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

I would not say Cat 1 predictions are ignorant, this kind of weakening is possible. The 5 a.m. Discussion shows NHC predicting 80 kts in 96 hrs. at current landfall estimates, this is not Cat 3. And a lot will depend on how long it stalls over the Yucatan, the models seem to be suggesting this will happen again. The longer it stays there, the better it should be for FL no matter where it eventually comes in, if it does come in at all.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0836.shtml

[joe_koehle]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

I would not say Cat 1 predictions are ignorant, this kind of weakening is possible. The 5 a.m. Discussion shows NHC predicting 80 kts in 96 hrs. at current landfall estimates, this is not Cat 3. And a lot will depend on how long it stalls over the Yucatan, the models seem to be suggesting this will happen again. The longer it stays there, the better it should be for FL no matter where it eventually comes in, if it does come in at all.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0836.shtml

80 kts at 27.0N 80.0W, which is the east coast of florida...looks like it's still forecasted to be a weak 3 at landfall

[margaritabeach]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

I keep hearing that the fuirther West now, the more danger for the extreme Southern part of Fl.

Why is that?
Wouldn't it make the storm come in further North in Fl. since it would have to be an even sharper turn to the East as opposed to the Northeast?

I'm not criticising the statement but just confused why all are saying this.
Can someone explain it ????

I believe the reason is that the trough is going to pick this up irregardless of where it is in the Gulf/ NW Carib. The more latitude it gains before it gets picked up the more North it will go. If it continues on the wnw track and does not gain as much latitude then it will swing further south when it gets picked up

just my .02

[skysummit]

When will the High Pressure north of Wilma move away so a Northward movement can begin?

Why are there some meteorologists who ignorantly say that Wilma could make landfall as a category 1. The NHC predicts a 125 mph Category 3 during landfall.

Since Wilma has been steered more west, this seems to be a greater problem for the southern third of the peninsula. A sharper turn will probably result.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... hart?large

Cat 1 is really not out of the question. It all depends on when she decides to turn around and head back toward the east. When that happens, there's likely going to be a lot of shear from that front. Gradual weakening will take place. If she's over the Yucatan before she turns around, her weakening trend will have already started so the trough will just add to it.