Why do people think an ERC is going on now. There has been no information from recon that would lend credence to this? Thoughts?
Shawn
Why are people hooked on an ERC?
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Why are people hooked on an ERC?
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jax
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whereverwx
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x-y-no
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Well, I admit I've been busy so I haven't been looking at recon, but ...
1) the eye was so tiny it's hard to see how the storm dynamics could sustain it,
2) the small eye has clouded over, although it does appear it still maintains its structure, and
3) what looks like a moat inbetween the old eyewall and a new larger eyewall has been appearing on visible sattelite.
1) the eye was so tiny it's hard to see how the storm dynamics could sustain it,
2) the small eye has clouded over, although it does appear it still maintains its structure, and
3) what looks like a moat inbetween the old eyewall and a new larger eyewall has been appearing on visible sattelite.
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soonertwister
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The 11AM NHC discussion very clearly mentioned the beginning of an ERC.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1459.shtml
As evidence that such may be occurring, it's pretty unlikely that surface winds would only be measured at 115 knots when the measured pressure is 892 mb without such a thing occurring.
It's bound to be happening.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1459.shtml
As evidence that such may be occurring, it's pretty unlikely that surface winds would only be measured at 115 knots when the measured pressure is 892 mb without such a thing occurring.
It's bound to be happening.
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wxwatcher91
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I'm young and about beginner to intermediate ( 
) but it kinda looked like dry air getting into the system. any thoughts?
ERC is the best bet though
) but it kinda looked like dry air getting into the system. any thoughts?
ERC is the best bet though
Last edited by wxwatcher91 on Wed Oct 19, 2005 2:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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This is absolutely not true. Recon data showed the formation of an outer eyewall as winds peaked to near 100 mph well away from the center, then decreased back to TS force, before the primary eyewall with cat 5 winds. A clear double wind maxima though the secondary (outer) is just in development at this time. Microwave satellite imagery reveals a clear outer eyewall is developing as well.
HOWEVER, There is some dry air issues with Wilma right now, but mainly non significant at this point. Nevertheless, and ERC is beginning at this time.
HOWEVER, There is some dry air issues with Wilma right now, but mainly non significant at this point. Nevertheless, and ERC is beginning at this time.
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ncweatherwizard
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deltadog03
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